MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
45.5%
54.5%
+161
-173
+165
-170
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+165
3
4
-0.47287-0.46959-0.60770
Cincinnati Reds
Kansas City Royals
56.1%
43.9%
-126
+118
-125
+120
-1½+124
+1½-132
-1½+120
+1½-125
5
2
-0.60037-0.59784-0.57825
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
41.1%
58.9%
+138
-148
+139
-142
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+140
5
3
-0.88390-0.87647-0.88812
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
51.0%
49.0%
-102
-103
+102
-103
-1½+150
+1½-160

6
1
-0.69557-0.70552-0.67268
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.8%
40.2%
-153
+143
-151
+142
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-115
14
3
-0.51909-0.52288-0.51406
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
41.3%
58.7%
+143
-148
+140
-150
+1½-160
-1½+148
+1½-155
-1½+142
1
8
-0.52449-0.52736-0.53208
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
58.1%
41.9%
-158
+148
-158
+153
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-109
+1½-105
12
1
-0.50587-0.49801-0.54309
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
43.2%
56.8%
+152
-165
+155
-160
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+122
4
7
-0.49307-0.49303-0.56491
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
43.9%
56.1%
+121
-131
+122
-128
+1½-169
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+158
6
5
-0.81238-0.80930-0.82342
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.1%
49.9%
+119
-123
+118
-123
+1½-175
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+162
3
4
-0.60314-0.60523-0.69479
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
49.4%
50.6%
-110
+104
-112
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155

3
5
-0.72685-0.73382-0.68195
Cincinnati Reds
Kansas City Royals
51.9%
48.1%
-154
+144
-152
+144
-1½-101
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-118
6
7
-0.90800-0.90491-0.73170
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
54.4%
45.6%
-120
+110
-117
+110
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+137
+1½-155
4
1
-0.62755-0.63297-0.60820
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.0%
57.0%
+144
-153
+148
-154
+1½-136
-1½+130
+1½-138
-1½+125
6
9
-0.51743-0.50986-0.56221
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
41.2%
58.8%
+163
-173
+158
-167
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+113
5
10
-0.47002-0.48224-0.53152
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
52.8%
47.2%
-138
+129
-136
+128
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-131
15
10
-0.56140-0.56593-0.63802
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.