MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.0%
60.0%
+149
-158
+145
-153
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+125
3
5
-0.50428-0.51577-0.51019
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
35.9%
64.1%
+172
-180
+172
-176
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
8
9
-0.45229-0.45523-0.44502
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
46.1%
53.9%
+116
-126
+118
-124
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
6
-0.60453-0.60358-0.61735
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
61.7%
38.3%
-230
+213
-231
+225
-1½-162
+1½+145
-1½-160
+1½+150
4
8
-1.15734-1.18424-0.95980
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
45.9%
54.1%
+118
-124
+117
-123
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
1
2
-0.60358-0.60732-0.61349
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
40.0%
60.0%
+166
-177
+172
-180
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
3
6
-0.46269-0.45229-0.51093
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
39.3%
60.7%
+120
-127
+122
-130
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+146
4
3
-0.80236-0.81306-0.93374
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
48.7%
51.3%
+102
-109
+104
-110
+1½-197
-1½+187
+1½-185
-1½+175
0
3
-0.66744-0.66054-0.66828
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
45.3%
54.7%
-103
-103
-101
-105
+1½-215
-1½+187

2
1
-0.69315-0.70275-0.79173
Boston Red Sox
Atlanta Braves
48.7%
51.3%
+103
-111
+108
-107
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
10
8
-0.72654-0.73004-0.71867
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians
38.2%
61.8%
+157
-166
+160
-165
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+115
2
7
-0.48459-0.48102-0.48187
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
41.8%
58.2%
+126
-130
+124
-130
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+144
2
3
-0.57821-0.58212-0.54120
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
46.7%
53.3%
+110
-118
+114
-118
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
6
5
-0.75927-0.76934-0.76044
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
40.8%
59.2%
+149
-162
+153
-160
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+118
1
8
-0.50048-0.49610-0.52479
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
52.1%
47.9%
-140
+133
-135
+131
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
3
4
-0.85830-0.84460-0.73647
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.7%
59.3%
+159
-171
+160
-168
+1½-125
-1½+108
+1½-126
-1½+115
1
3
-0.47741-0.47844-0.52224
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.