MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
33.1%
66.9%
+200
-220
+195
-210
+1½-105
-1½-111
+1½+100
-1½-106
4
5
-0.39531-0.40573-0.40193
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
46.5%
53.5%
+115
-121
+110
-116
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+159
7
2
-0.77801-0.75509-0.76488
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
58.4%
41.6%
-175
+161
-174
+162
-1½-117
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
15
2
-0.47130-0.47064-0.53809
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
49.4%
50.6%
-136
+127
-137
+128
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-138
1
4
-0.83644-0.84070-0.68122
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
53.5%
46.5%
-157
+148
-155
+152
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
2
4
-0.92226-0.92889-0.76544
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
25.1%
74.9%
+264
-280
+260
-290
+1½+125
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-130
4
7
-0.31689-0.31741-0.28960
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
40.8%
59.2%
+140
-149
+140
-145
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
10
-0.52846-0.53299-0.52405
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
39.8%
60.2%
+145
-151
+146
-150
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+130
2
11
-0.51788-0.51730-0.50673
New York Yankees
Philadelphia Phillies
53.8%
46.2%
-124
+114
-117
+112
-1½+131
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-150
7
8
-0.78145-0.76222-0.77228
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
55.0%
45.0%
-165
+152
-162
+155
-1½+115
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-128
0
2
-0.94353-0.94652-0.79933
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.1%
70.9%
+292
-330
+310
-310
+1½+140
-1½-157
+1½+145
-1½-145
1
12
-0.28699-0.27958-0.34356
Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.7%
43.3%
-139
+130
-138
+133
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+115
+1½-120
6
5
-0.55823-0.55399-0.56729
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
37.3%
62.7%
+120
-130
+121
-127
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+156
3
4
-0.59012-0.59265-0.46606
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
57.2%
42.8%
-135
+125
-134
+130
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+107
+1½-115
6
4
-0.57304-0.56488-0.55786
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
33.1%
66.9%
+283
-305
+265
-293
+1½+135
-1½-140
+1½+130
-1½-141
4
7
-0.29767-0.31296-0.40257
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
40.1%
59.9%
+143
-153
+146
-152
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+124
0
7
-0.51909-0.51519-0.51328
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.