MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
47.1%
52.9%
+121
-130
+122
-126
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+150
3
1
-0.81054-0.80544-0.75205
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
59.6%
40.4%
-157
+147
-154
+145
-1½-103
+1½-112
-1½+102
+1½-115
3
2
-0.50846-0.51473-0.51740
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
40.3%
59.7%
+135
-143
+138
-137
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+143
2
4
-0.54412-0.54631-0.51646
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
54.7%
45.3%
+104
-110
+105
-110
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-170
2
9
-0.66054-0.65817-0.79248
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.0%
62.0%
+150
-163
+155
-158
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
5
4
-0.93586-0.94063-0.96861
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
43.4%
56.6%
+126
-135
+129
-134
+1½-160
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+145
4
2
-0.83218-0.83785-0.83483
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians
52.3%
47.7%
-157
+149
-155
+149
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
5
6
-0.92470-0.92168-0.74120
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
45.2%
54.8%
+106
-108
+106
-113
+1½-195
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
1
-0.72737-0.73854-0.79343
San Diego Padres
Houston Astros
51.2%
48.8%
+107
-114
+106
-115
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-192
-1½+175
4
7
-0.64546-0.64582-0.71699
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
35.4%
64.6%
+190
-205
+192
-205
+1½-115
-1½-101
+1½-105
-1½+100
1
3
-0.41412-0.41180-0.43717
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
44.5%
55.5%
+117
-126
+120
-122
+1½-160
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+151
6
3
-0.79290-0.79255-0.80986
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians
46.7%
53.3%
-104
-103
+104
-105
+1½-230
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+208
4
1
-0.69079-0.71533-0.76237
Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay Rays
45.0%
55.0%
+131
-141
+133
-140
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+160
2
6
-0.55384-0.55144-0.59704
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
65.6%
34.4%
-185
+170
-180
+171
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+111
2
6
-1.01255-1.00876-1.06627
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
46.0%
54.0%
+101
-105
+102
-110
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+194
3
0
-0.70779-0.72177-0.77572
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.2%
51.8%
+106
-115
+109
-114
+1½-205
-1½+176
+1½-200
-1½+180
4
3
-0.74282-0.74828-0.72904
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.