MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
50.7%
49.3%
-126
+118
-126
+120
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-147
7
8
-0.79542-0.80044-0.70688
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
48.8%
51.2%
+114
-121
+115
-120
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
2
-0.77551-0.77596-0.71726
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.9%
46.1%
+110
-120
+112
-119
+1½-190
-1½+174
+1½-185
-1½+165
2
7
-0.62755-0.62491-0.77364
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland Guardians
40.2%
59.8%
+165
-179
+175
-180
+1½-135
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+125
2
3
-0.46259-0.44830-0.51353
Texas Rangers
San Francisco Giants
43.8%
56.2%
+134
-144
+135
-145
+1½-165
-1½+151
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
4
-0.54473-0.54173-0.57702
Texas Rangers
San Francisco Giants
46.9%
53.1%
+131
-138
+135
-137
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
3
-0.55767-0.55166-0.63346
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.8%
52.2%
+110
-120
+110
-116
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+181
2
5
-0.62755-0.63482-0.65053
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
44.0%
56.0%
+162
-176
+165
-169
+1½-119
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+113
5
4
-0.98235-0.98016-0.82007
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
50.3%
49.7%
-127
+117
-128
+123
-1½+120
+1½-136
-1½+117
+1½-130
1
4
-0.79483-0.81180-0.69890
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.9%
40.1%
-154
+144
-150
+145
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+114
+1½-125
14
1
-0.51639-0.51896-0.51283
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
49.1%
50.9%
+101
-106
+100
+100
-1½+148
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-163
1
6
-0.67645-0.69315-0.67535
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
60.9%
39.1%
-185
+170
-180
+170
-1½-120
+1½+108
-1½-115
+1½+105
1
2
-1.01255-1.00641-0.93920
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
45.3%
54.7%
+108
-114
+110
-115
+1½-182
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+176
4
3
-0.74575-0.75294-0.79147
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
47.0%
53.0%
-125
+125
-125
+120
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-140
11
1
-0.58778-0.59784-0.75438
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
46.8%
53.2%
+129
-134
+128
-130
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+155
2
10
-0.56676-0.57435-0.63179
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
36.5%
63.5%
+149
-162
+150
-159
+1½-160
-1½+144
+1½-165
-1½+150
6
5
-0.93201-0.93009-1.00838
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.