MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
57.0%
43.0%
-140
+134
-140
+136
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
7
3
-0.54962-0.54604-0.56254
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
48.8%
51.2%
+118
-128
+120
-125
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+168
1
6
-0.59724-0.59784-0.66873
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
46.6%
53.4%
+118
-128
+120
-123
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+176
4
5
-0.59724-0.60110-0.62713
Washington Nationals
New York Yankees
40.0%
60.0%
+158
-172
+160
-163
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
11
4
-0.96753-0.95988-0.91617
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
39.0%
61.0%
+141
-147
+138
-144
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
3
-0.52899-0.53763-0.49356
Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels
49.1%
50.9%
+138
-148
+140
-144
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
8
3
-0.88390-0.88228-0.71206
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
43.8%
56.2%
+130
-139
+132
-134
+1½-160
-1½+144
+1½-162
-1½+150
1
3
-0.55823-0.56115-0.57659
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
50.3%
49.7%
-109
+100
-108
+103
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
3
2
-0.67229-0.66719-0.68794
Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics
50.8%
49.2%
-130
+126
-129
+124
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+126
+1½-140
10
4
-0.57821-0.58361-0.67631
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
43.0%
57.0%
+124
-134
+125
-130
+1½-165
-1½+151
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
0
-0.82538-0.82055-0.84404
New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals
47.5%
52.5%
-109
+104
+100
+100
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-170
4
1
-0.66266-0.69315-0.74488
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
35.1%
64.9%
+160
-171
+162
-165
+1½-132
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+116
4
3
-0.97101-0.96748-1.04600
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
34.4%
65.6%
+179
-192
+180
-190
+1½-108
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½+100
9
12
-0.43508-0.43510-0.42214
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
34.9%
65.1%
+173
-185
+180
-190
+1½-125
-1½+106
+1½-125
-1½+112
7
4
-1.01960-1.04185-1.05197
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
47.0%
53.0%
-118
+110
-117
+110
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
0
2
-0.75927-0.75717-0.63452
Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics
41.7%
58.3%
+121
-128
+124
-130
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
9
4
-0.80679-0.81805-0.87548
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.