MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 23, 2025
Games for Dec 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
40.3%
59.7%
+192
-205
+200
-210
+1½+100
-1½-111
+1½+102
-1½-110
5
7
-0.41180-0.40015-0.51525
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
52.5%
47.5%
-128
+118
-125
+120
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
4
3
-0.59724-0.59784-0.64398
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
49.0%
51.0%
-105
-101
-102
-105

+1½-195
-1½+175
5
3
-0.68363-0.70029-0.71404
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
47.7%
52.3%
+121
-131
+124
-130
+1½-166
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+160
0
10
-0.58663-0.58212-0.64856
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
43.2%
56.8%
+162
-172
+163
-170
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
0
2
-0.47225-0.47244-0.56622
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
42.5%
57.5%
+164
-174
+163
-170
+1½-113
-1½+105
+1½-124
-1½+106
8
2
-0.98452-0.97678-0.85503
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
56.4%
43.6%
-144
+134
-141
+137
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-118
7
0
-0.54473-0.54302-0.57295
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
37.7%
62.3%
+241
-260
+240
-260
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+118
-1½-120
1
0
-1.24206-1.23998-0.97641
Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates
51.9%
48.1%
-122
+112
-120
+115
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
9
6
-0.61967-0.61667-0.65591
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
32.9%
67.1%
+188
-203
+190
-205
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½+105
-1½+100
0
8
-0.41756-0.41412-0.39845
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
48.6%
51.4%
-112
+104
-112
+105

-1½+145
+1½-160
6
2
-0.65643-0.65406-0.72083
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
49.4%
50.6%
-119
+112
-115
+112
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-145
10
2
-0.62491-0.63228-0.70617
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.9%
65.1%
+234
-260
+237
-260
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-125
6
5
-1.22738-1.23368-1.05180
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
41.9%
58.1%
+157
-170
+155
-165
+1½-140
-1½+132
+1½-135
-1½+121
7
5
-0.96247-0.95078-0.86988
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.5%
46.5%
-145
+141
-145
+140
-1½+105
+1½-119
-1½+105
+1½-118
1
5
-0.88637-0.88394-0.76611
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
40.5%
59.5%
+176
-192
+175
-190
+1½-115
-1½-101
+1½-115
-1½+102
0
2
-0.43892-0.44150-0.51938
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.