MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 23, 2025
Games for Dec 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees
43.7%
56.3%
+136
-143
+134
-139
+1½-151
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
4
1
-0.87079-0.85906-0.82865
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
37.6%
62.4%
+170
-185
+180
-185
+1½-130
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+115
4
2
-1.01255-1.03586-0.97894
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
40.6%
59.4%
+158
-172
+161
-170
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-129
-1½+111
7
4
-0.96753-0.97204-0.90130
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
45.0%
55.0%
+153
-163
+150
-157
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+129
0
1
-0.49333-0.50367-0.59846
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
45.9%
54.1%
-101
-109
+102
-110


12
13
-0.67472-0.66532-0.61430
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
55.2%
44.8%
-137
+131
-136
+130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
3
6
-0.84814-0.84390-0.80263
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
48.1%
51.9%
+113
-123
+118
-123
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+186
3
2
-0.77696-0.78955-0.73126
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
46.0%
54.0%
+144
-154
+148
-155
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+136
0
3
-0.51639-0.50886-0.61543
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
47.7%
52.3%
+109
-118
+118
-120
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
6
-0.63337-0.61031-0.64770
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
52.7%
47.3%
-109
+100
-112
+105
+1½-230
-1½+200

6
0
-0.67229-0.65406-0.64046
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
39.8%
60.2%
+170
-182
+170
-184
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+103
2
6
-0.45353-0.45213-0.50791
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
49.8%
50.2%
+100
+111
-116
+110


0
1
-0.72027-0.75509-0.68931
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
50.6%
49.4%
-112
+105
-112
+106
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
2
6
-0.73382-0.73635-0.70611
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
51.9%
48.1%
-105
-103
-105
-102


14
7
-0.68844-0.68605-0.65498
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
50.0%
50.0%
-123
+114
-120
+115
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+136
+1½-155
1
3
-0.77949-0.77596-0.69261
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
52.7%
47.3%
-107
-103
-105
+100
+1½-210
-1½+185

2
4
-0.70249-0.70528-0.74902
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.