MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
38.9%
61.1%
+132
-140
+137
-141
+1½-155
-1½+148
+1½-150
-1½+138
10
7
-0.85583-0.86986-0.94376
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
52.4%
47.6%
+100
-109
+105
-110
+1½-184
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
2
3
-0.67229-0.65817-0.74259
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
45.2%
54.8%
+108
-113
+108
-115
+1½-180
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+167
7
5
-0.74360-0.74790-0.79345
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
47.6%
52.4%
+133
-143
+136
-142
+1½-155
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
5
4
-0.86339-0.86912-0.74232
Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees
47.5%
52.5%
+114
-118
+111
-118
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
1
3
-0.62235-0.62891-0.64493
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
47.6%
52.4%
+105
-115
+105
-113
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+189
0
7
-0.64814-0.65204-0.64586
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
50.9%
49.1%
-102
-102
-108
+101
-1½+146
+1½-164
-1½+150
+1½-160
8
5
-0.69315-0.67201-0.67617
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
61.8%
38.2%
-181
+175
-185
+175
-1½-121
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½+102
1
0
-0.44760-0.44482-0.48046
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
64.7%
35.3%
-198
+185
-196
+185
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-120
+1½+115
3
4
-1.06250-1.06028-1.04100
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
38.5%
61.5%
+153
-158
+152
-158
+1½-159
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+152
3
1
-0.93583-0.93344-0.95503
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
36.6%
63.4%
+198
-212
+200
-215
+1½+100
-1½-111
+1½-105
-1½-105
6
4
-1.10688-1.11438-1.00512
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
49.1%
50.9%
+101
-109
+105
-105
+1½-208
-1½+180
+1½-196
-1½+185
4
1
-0.71701-0.71785-0.71188
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
49.5%
50.5%
-105
-103
-105
+100
-1½+155
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-170
2
0
-0.68844-0.68116-0.70293
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
51.6%
48.4%
-103
-101
-105
+101
-1½+148
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-167
12
5
-0.68830-0.67871-0.66118
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
48.3%
51.7%
-110
+103
-110
+105
-1½+145
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-155
4
11
-0.72433-0.72940-0.65944
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
46.0%
54.0%
+127
-135
+128
-135
+1½-160
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+145
13
4
-0.83466-0.83716-0.77596
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.