MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
41.0%
59.0%
+161
-175
+162
-174
+1½-140
-1½+128
+1½-135
-1½+125
0
7
-0.47130-0.47064-0.52789
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
41.5%
58.5%
+106
-115
+110
-115
+1½-180
-1½+166
+1½-180
-1½+165
6
0
-0.74282-0.75294-0.87940
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
52.3%
47.7%
-143
+133
-140
+132
-1½+104
+1½-120
-1½+112
+1½-120
4
5
-0.86339-0.85583-0.74070
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
27.2%
72.8%
+283
-320
+290
-310
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+145
-1½-150
0
7
-0.29468-0.29201-0.31759
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
49.2%
50.8%
+103
-110
+102
-106
+1½-220
-1½+195
+1½-218
-1½+195
6
7
-0.66291-0.67401-0.67666
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
37.1%
62.9%
+167
-180
+165
-176
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+108
8
2
-0.99932-0.98948-0.99077
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
47.5%
52.5%
+106
-116
+105
-112
+1½-200
-1½+175

2
0
-0.74492-0.73382-0.74417
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
58.0%
42.0%
-127
+119
-130
+123
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
3
-0.79986-0.81556-0.86652
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
46.4%
53.6%
-116
+110
-113
+110
-1½+166
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-182
0
4
-0.75509-0.74862-0.62394
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
36.5%
63.5%
-102
-106
+100
-104
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+195
3
14
-0.68377-0.68349-0.45437
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
42.7%
57.3%
+135
-145
+133
-142
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
2
-0.87165-0.86171-0.85008
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
41.6%
58.4%
+149
-159
+152
-158
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
14
8
-0.92766-0.93344-0.87810
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
47.3%
52.7%
+128
-124
+120
-125
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
6
7
-0.58350-0.59784-0.64120
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
39.7%
60.3%
+150
-160
+155
-163
+1½-130
-1½+129
+1½-130
-1½+115
8
3
-0.93397-0.94794-0.92432
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
48.3%
51.7%
+104
-111
+107
-110
+1½-184
-1½+166
+1½-185
-1½+166
3
7
-0.65846-0.65350-0.65898
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
65.6%
34.4%
-230
+216
-233
+215
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-138
+1½+125
4
8
-1.16389-1.16443-1.06613
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.