MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
48.3%
51.7%
-111
+102
-112
+107
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+143
+1½-155
1
2
-0.72400-0.73888-0.65965
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
50.7%
49.3%
-115
+107
-111
+109
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+142
+1½-155
0
4
-0.74537-0.74169-0.70800
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
52.1%
47.9%
-111
+104
-112
+105
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+139
+1½-150
3
5
-0.72909-0.73382-0.73708
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
40.5%
59.5%
+189
-205
+190
-210
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-105
0
7
-0.41529-0.41146-0.51852
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
65.2%
34.8%
-215
+197
-210
+200
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-145
+1½+135
6
5
-0.40099-0.40015-0.42812
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
50.3%
49.7%
+121
-131
+126
-130
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
0
-0.81238-0.82303-0.68772
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
46.7%
53.3%
-101
-104
-102
-102
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+156
+1½-165
7
12
-0.68595-0.69315-0.62831
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
47.6%
52.4%
+110
-119
+113
-118
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
6
9
-0.62933-0.62452-0.64649
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
44.8%
55.2%
-125
+115
-124
+118
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+128
+1½-140
9
1
-0.60825-0.60358-0.80341
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
47.5%
52.5%
-110
+103
-108
+105
-1½+153
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
0
4
-0.72433-0.72486-0.64386
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
35.9%
64.1%
+148
-160
+150
-157
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
5
-0.50395-0.50367-0.44468
Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
44.8%
55.2%
+149
-160
+152
-155
+1½-127
-1½+115
+1½-124
-1½+110
4
11
-0.50236-0.50251-0.59502
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
39.5%
60.5%
+153
-165
+164
-166
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
4
2
-0.94595-0.97363-0.93003
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
59.6%
40.4%
-152
+147
-152
+145
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
2
5
-0.91222-0.90736-0.90666
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
36.4%
63.6%
+153
-162
+155
-162
+1½-119
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+115
3
5
-0.49423-0.49117-0.45223
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
52.2%
47.8%
+105
-113
+106
-112
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+166
6
3
-0.73601-0.73635-0.65053
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.