MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
58.9%
41.1%
-129
+120
-128
+124
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-135
3
4
-0.80829-0.81527-0.88812
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
55.9%
44.1%
-185
+175
-195
+181
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-120
+1½+107
15
3
-0.44201-0.42684-0.58193
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
58.8%
41.2%
-104
-103
-105
-105
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-165
5
2
-0.69075-0.69315-0.53028
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
42.0%
58.0%
+135
-142
+130
-136
+1½-154
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
8
7
-0.86900-0.84572-0.86864
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
50.3%
49.7%
+134
-141
+137
-145
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
1
-0.86479-0.87936-0.68728
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
39.2%
60.8%
+103
-111
+107
-113
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
4
-0.66023-0.64680-0.49793
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
43.1%
56.9%
+120
-127
+117
-123
+1½-170
-1½+156
+1½-170
-1½+160
1
2
-0.59337-0.60629-0.56370
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
53.6%
46.4%
-146
+141
-145
+140
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+115
+1½-125
1
2
-0.88984-0.88571-0.76893
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
62.7%
37.3%
-157
+150
-158
+150
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-105
12
3
-0.50180-0.50055-0.46734
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
50.3%
49.7%
+125
-131
+125
-130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+141
1
5
-0.57745-0.57912-0.70005
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
47.7%
52.3%
-103
+100
+100
-105
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+175
6
11
-0.70055-0.68102-0.64907
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
61.1%
38.9%
-121
+120
-118
+117
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
7
0
-0.60426-0.61578-0.49213
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.6%
64.4%
+205
-215
+200
-220
+1½+100
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½+100
5
6
-0.38958-0.38995-0.43965
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
49.5%
50.5%
+135
-140
+132
-130
+1½-152
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
8
4
-0.86488-0.83723-0.70302
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
50.6%
49.4%
-101
+100
+103
-103
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
9
7
-0.69067-0.70804-0.68187
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
34.9%
65.1%
+180
-190
+182
-190
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+111
0
2
-0.43229-0.43035-0.42886
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.