MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.8%
59.2%
+160
-167
+157
-164
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
5
-0.47734-0.48443-0.52378
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
47.9%
52.1%
+115
-120
+112
-120
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
5
7
-0.61587-0.62198-0.65114
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
47.6%
52.4%
-107
+105
-103
+100
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
5
2
-0.66446-0.68579-0.74305
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
34.3%
65.7%
+185
-199
+185
-200
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½+100
5
9
-0.41955-0.41870-0.42030
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
56.6%
43.4%
-155
+145
-150
+144
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-128
9
3
-0.51109-0.51906-0.56948
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
45.6%
54.4%
+115
-120
+115
-118
+1½-175
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+168
10
5
-0.77690-0.77236-0.78454
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
40.7%
59.3%
+135
-142
+132
-136
+1½-155
-1½+141
+1½-155
-1½+150
0
4
-0.54364-0.55753-0.52330
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
41.2%
58.8%
+185
-194
+185
-195
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½+100
-1½+120
2
0
-1.06273-1.06441-0.88625
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
30.0%
70.0%
+225
-235
+215
-236
+1½+120
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-110
0
3
-0.36111-0.36750-0.35639
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
40.2%
59.8%
+145
-153
+145
-152
+1½-130
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
9
11
-0.51368-0.51498-0.51346
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
40.8%
59.2%
-112
+105
-110
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155

4
6
-0.73449-0.72981-0.52356
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
36.8%
63.2%
+125
-130
+123
-129
+1½-170
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+165
0
5
-0.57912-0.58438-0.45895
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.3%
63.7%
+225
-240
+230
-242
+1½+125
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-125
2
4
-0.35798-0.35341-0.45146
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
48.5%
51.5%
-129
+125
-127
+122
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-130
10
9
-0.58082-0.58967-0.72357
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
42.8%
57.2%
+158
-157
+157
-160
+1½-140
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+125
7
4
-0.94585-0.94969-0.84889
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
44.6%
55.4%
+135
-128
+134
-132
+1½-174
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
2
8
-0.56574-0.56070-0.59014
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.