MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Boston Red Sox
53.1%
46.9%
-153
+145
-150
+143
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½-110
10
2
-0.51368-0.52047-0.63320
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
43.3%
56.7%
+135
-142
+130
-139
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+139
5
6
-0.54364-0.55615-0.56819
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
53.2%
46.8%
-141
+140
-139
+134
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
5
6
-0.87753-0.86067-0.75860
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
62.1%
37.9%
-120
+120
-122
+118
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+131
+1½-140
2
0
-0.60614-0.60622-0.47718
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
46.4%
53.6%
+135
-139
+130
-138
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+141
4
7
-0.54813-0.55769-0.62362
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
41.6%
58.4%
+215
-235
+200
-218
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+102
-1½-115
4
5
-0.36814-0.39141-0.53744
New York Mets
New York Yankees
34.6%
65.4%
+125
-130
+120
-130
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+170
6
4
-0.82187-0.81042-1.06135
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
41.4%
58.6%
+155
-163
+152
-160
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
6
0
-0.95143-0.93976-0.88182
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
66.8%
33.2%
-160
+160
-158
+157
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-120
2
0
-0.48552-0.49161-0.40375
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
34.4%
65.6%
+165
-165
+160
-168
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
2
0
-0.97456-0.97056-1.06647
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
32.9%
67.1%
+180
-189
+180
-190
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+120
8
3
-1.04532-1.04703-1.11161
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
49.9%
50.1%
+133
+120
-123
+115

-1½+150
+1½-165
6
1
-0.71885-0.61024-0.69523
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
69.1%
30.9%
-240
+220
-230
+215
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-134
+1½+120
7
0
-0.36141-0.37143-0.36956
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
37.9%
62.1%
+150
-155
+150
-155
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+145
4
3
-0.92614-0.92614-0.96906
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
32.1%
67.9%
+230
-239
+227
-253
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
7
10
-0.35526-0.34892-0.38768
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.4%
52.6%
+125
-124
+122
-130
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
8
7
-0.80872-0.81504-0.74623
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.