Brewers at Reds

Updated

Milwaukee Brewers

(16-8)
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
57.0%43.0%
Brewers WinReds Win
4.78Projected Runs 4.04
5Final Score 4

Cincinnati Reds

(14-11)
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-43.681.194

Brandon Williamson (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-05.021.465

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 1-3 at Toronto Blue JaysMIL: Freddy Peralta • TOR: Kevin Gausman+170
W 4-2 at Toronto Blue JaysMIL: Julio Teheran • TOR: Alek Manoah+143
L 2-7 at Toronto Blue JaysMIL: Adrian Houser • TOR: Yusei Kikuchi+142
W 5-7 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • MIL: Colin Rea+115
L 3-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • MIL: Corbin Burnes-106
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 2-8 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Hunter Greene • BOS: Chris Sale+151
W 5-4 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Luke Weaver • BOS: James Paxton+147
W 9-8 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Ben Lively • BOS: Brayan Bello+155
W 8-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Drew Smyly+153
W 8-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Jameson Taillon+153

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 2BBrice TurangRest
  • RFTyrone TaylorRest
  • PWade MileyUnknown
  • PEric LauerUnknown
  • DHJesse Winker10-day IL
  • 1BLuke Voit10-day IL
  • 1BRowdy TellezRest
  • SSWilly AdamesUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 1BWil Myers10-day IL
  • 3BSpencer SteerRest
  • PNick LodoloUnknown
  • PCasey LeguminaUnknown
  • LFT.J. FriedlQuestionable
  • PConnor OvertonOut for Season
  • PDerek LawUnknown
  • PReiver Sanmartin60-day IL
NE 7 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)91°90°89°86°
Humidity27%28%31%36%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNE 7 mphNE 7 mphNE 7 mphNE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-161-156-165-158-156-158-156-150.7
Reds+148+146+139+146+146+146+146+150.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-180-154-161-170-157-162-154-150.7
Reds+152+144+147+143+144+137+147+150.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -151 to -157
Reds ML moved from +149 to +139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -160 to -170
Reds ML moved from +150 to +144

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½-112-1½-108-1½-115-1½-110-1½-115-1½-110-1½-108-1½+100
Reds+1½-108+1½-108+1½-105+1½-110+1½-105+1½-110+1½-105+1½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½-115-1½-110-1½-113-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½+100
Reds+1½-105+1½-110+1½-105+1½-105+1½-110+1½-110+1½-105+1½+100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10-108o10-115o10-114o10-110o10-114o10-108o10-104
Underu9½-110u10-108u10-110u10-106u10-110u10-106u10-106u10+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o10-120o10-115o10-115o10-110o10-115o10-110o10-104
Underu9½-105u10+100u10-105u10-105u10-110u10-105u10+100u10+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10-115
The Under moved from u10-103 to u10-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10+100 to u10-105
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