Reds at Guardians

Updated
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
39.4%60.6%
Reds WinGuardians Win
3.79Projected Runs 4.91
5Final Score 4
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Connor Overton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-01.591.059

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-34.681.347

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Jose Quintana+140
L 1-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Zach Thompson-119
W 8-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Mitch Keller+100
W 4-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Connor Overton • PIT: JT Brubaker+128
W 11-14 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+181
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 1-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Joe Ryan+135
W 3-2 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Devin Smeltzer-126
L 8-12 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Sonny Gray+145
L 1-4 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Cal Quantrill • CHW: Lucas Giolito+175
W 12-9 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • CHW: Michael Kopech+172

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • CTyler StephensonUnknown
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • PLucas SimsUnknown

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • RFJosh NaylorRest
  • DHFranmil ReyesRest
NW 2 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)62°62°61°60°
Humidity51%51%53%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 2 mphW 1 mphWNW 2 mphNNE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+152+130+137+142+136+137+142+144.6
Guardians-162-155-148-152-148-148-148-144.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+140+145+134+136+142+145+145+144.6
Guardians-150-155-147-146-155-155-146-144.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +153 to +140
Guardians ML moved from -161 to -168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +142 to +134
Guardians ML moved from -154 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-140+1½-145+1½-152+1½-145+1½-152+1½-152+1½-145+1½-138
Guardians-1½+120-1½+125-1½+132-1½+125-1½+132-1½+132-1½+132-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-155+1½-145+1½-153+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-138
Guardians-1½+135-1½+125-1½+134-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+134-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½-105o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-109
Underu8+100u8½-115u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8½-115u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-120o8½-105o8-115o8-120o8-120o8-115o8-109
Underu8-110u8+100u8½-115u8-105u8+100u8+100u8½-115u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8-130
The Under moved from u8+110 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-120