Cubs at Red Sox

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(22-15)
Rank10
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
55.5%44.5%
Cubs WinRed Sox Win
4.37Projected Runs 3.73
7Final Score 1

Boston Red Sox

(19-17)
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G3.5
Rank10
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G3.5

Pitching

Shota Imanaga (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
43-00.840.75

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-00.660.988

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Justin Verlander • CHC: Javier Assad+133
W 3-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Spencer Arrighetti • CHC: Jameson Taillon+100
W 2-7 vs Houston AstrosHOU: J.P. France • CHC: Jordan Wicks+100
L 6-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-116
W 3-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Roddery Munoz • CHC: Shota Imanaga-205
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-6 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Chase Anderson • CLE: Triston McKenzie+117
W 8-0 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Cooper Criswell • CLE: Carlos Carrasco+118
L 1-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Tanner Houck • CLE: Ben Lively+112
W 6-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Josh Winckowski • PIT: Martín Pérez+138
W 4-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Kutter Crawford • PIT: Mitch Keller+105

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PCaleb Kilian60-day IL
  • PJulian Merryweather60-day IL
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
  • PDrew Smyly15-day IL
  • CFCody Bellinger10-day IL
  • PJustin Steele15-day IL
  • PKyle Hendricks15-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PChris MurphyOut for Season
  • PIsaiah Campbell15-day IL
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
  • 2BRomy Gonzalez10-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story60-day IL
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
  • -Bryan Mata15-day IL
  • -Liam Hendriks60-day IL
  • PBrayan Bello15-day IL
  • 1BTriston Casas10-day IL
  • PNick Pivetta15-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock10-day IL
SE 7 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)52°50°48°46°
Humidity39%42%46%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSE 7 mphSSE 7 mphSSE 6 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+100-106-111-108-105-108-105-102.8
Red Sox-110-104-109-102-105-102-102+102.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+100-103-105-107-105-105-103-102.8
Red Sox-110-107-105-108-105-105-105+102.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -104 to -110
Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -105
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-215+1½-226-1½+155+1½-220+1½-235+1½-220+1½-199
Red Sox-1½+185-1½+194+1½-180-1½+190-1½+195-1½+190-1½+199
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-215+1½-220+1½-220+1½-220+1½-220+1½-220+1½-220+1½-199
Red Sox-1½+185-1½+190-1½+192-1½+180-1½+190-1½+190-1½+192-1½+199

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-125o7½-113o7½-120o7½-113o7½-110o7½-113o7½-110o7½-103
Underu8+105u7½-103u7½+100u7½-107u7½-110u7½-107u7½+100u7½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-103
Underu8-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+110 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+115 to o8+105
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-125
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