Cubs vs Reds

Updated
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.6
48.8%51.2%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.19Projected Runs 4.31
4Final Score 2
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.6
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
144-63.971.294

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
93-34.41.581

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • CHC: Justin Steele-153
L 6-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Paolo Espino • CHC: Marcus Stroman-208
W 3-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Anibal Sanchez • CHC: Keegan Thompson-188
L 3-0 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • CHC: Adrian Sampson-132
W 0-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • CHC: Drew Smyly+103
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 2-10 at New York MetsCIN: T.J. Zeuch • NYM: Taijuan Walker+280
L 2-6 at New York MetsCIN: Mike Minor • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+255
L 1-5 at New York MetsCIN: Justin Dunn • NYM: Chris Bassitt+297
W 4-2 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Graham Ashcraft • MIL: Corbin Burnes+250
W 7-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Nick Lodolo • MIL: Aaron Ashby+155

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • SSAndrelton Simmons10-day IL
  • 1BAlfonso RivasRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFStuart FairchildRest
  • PHunter GreeneUnknown
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
ENE 7 mph
Field of Dreams, Dyersville, IA
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°75°72°68°
Humidity58%65%71%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindENE 7 mphENE 7 mphENE 6 mphE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+100+103-104+105+100+105+105+104.8
Reds-110-111-116-115-110-115-110-104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+100+100+109+100+101+102+109+104.8
Reds-110-110-119-110-111-112-110-104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +101 to -102
Reds ML moved from -102 to -109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +101 to -101
Reds ML moved from -110 to -118

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+160+1½-188+1½-200+1½-191+1½-200+1½-191+1½-188+1½-180
Reds+1½-185-1½+167-1½+170-1½+166-1½+170-1½+166-1½+170-1½+180
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-200+1½-200+1½-190+1½-200+1½-200+1½-190+1½-190+1½-180
Reds-1½+175-1½+175-1½+168-1½+175-1½+175-1½+170-1½+175-1½+180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-118o9+100o9-102o9+100o9-102o8½-118o9+109
Underu8½+100u8½+102u9-120u9-118u9-120u9-118u9-118u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-110o9+105o9+100o9+100o9+105o9+105o9+109
Underu9-120u9-110u9-125u9-120u9-120u9-125u9-110u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-108 to o9-118
The Under moved from u9-118 to u8½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115