NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Drake Bulldogs (12-19)
Southern Illinois Salukis (16-15)
36.4%
63.6%
+190
-220
+190
-220
+5-105
-5-108
+5-109
-4½-110
66.9
71.4
138.3
o135½-110
u135½-101
o135-110
u135½-110
South Carolina State Bulldogs (8-21)
North Carolina Central Eagles (12-16)
27.8%
72.2%
+325
-435
+375
-400
+8½-105
-9-105
+9½-109
-8½-105
68.0
74.9
142.9
o142-110
u143-110
o142-110
u143½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
James Madison Dukes (18-14)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (16-15)
58.0%
42.0%
-125
+110
-125
+105
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-109
+1½-109
73.8
70.9
144.7
o141-115
u142½-110
o141½-110
u142½-110
Sacred Heart Pioneers (13-18)
Iona Gaels (18-13)
36.7%
63.3%
+157
-165
+165
-170
+3½-104
-3½-110
+4-105
-3½-110
72.1
76.4
148.5
o146½-110
u147-110
o147-110
u147½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Bucknell Bison (10-22)
Navy Midshipmen (25-6)
9.8%
90.2%
+950
-3333
+1050
-1600
+15½-105
-15-110
+16½-110
-15-109
60.5
73.7
134.2
o134½-110
u135½-110
o134½-110
u135½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
American University Eagles (16-15)
Boston University Terriers (15-16)
42.8%
57.2%
+110
-125
+110
-120
+2-115
-1½-110
+2-110
-1-109
69.3
72.0
141.3
o139½-110
u140-110
o139-110
u139½-110
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (12-19)
Colgate Raiders (17-14)
25.3%
74.7%
+256
-300
+265
-310
+7-110
-7-110
+7½-110
-7-109
71.3
78.9
150.2
o152½-110
u153-110
o153-110
u153½-110
Holy Cross Crusaders (11-21)
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+235
-275
+265
-310
+6½-105
-6-115
+7-109
-7-109
66.8
73.0
139.8
o141-110
u141½-110
o140-110
u141-110
MTSU Blue Raiders (15-14)
FIU Golden Panthers (14-15)
46.7%
53.3%
+105
-115
+110
-120
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-110
-1-109
75.8
77.3
153.1
o153½-110
u154-110
o153-110
u153½-110
Sam Houston State Bearkats (21-8)
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (9-20)
72.5%
27.5%
-290
+263
-300
+275
-7-109
+7½-112
-7-109
+7-105
76.6
69.5
146.1
o148-110
u149-110
o147½-110
u148-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Tulane Green Wave (17-12)
Temple Owls (15-14)
39.1%
60.9%
+180
-195
+175
-195
+5-112
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-109
71.0
74.6
145.6
o144½-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (23-6)
East Carolina Pirates (11-18)
78.3%
21.7%
-500
+400
-450
+400
-9½-105
+9½-110
-9½-109
+10-110
80.6
72.0
152.6
o155½-110
u155½-105
o155½-110
u156½-110
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (16-13)
Liberty Flames (24-5)
16.4%
83.6%
+383
-420
+375
-430
+9½-110
-9-109
+9½-109
-9-105
63.9
74.1
138.0
o138-110
u139-110
o138-110
u138½-110
Howard Bison (20-10)
Norfolk State Spartans (15-15)
64.5%
35.5%
-235
+195
-250
+215
-5-115
+5½-110
-5-110
+5½-109
74.6
69.9
144.5
o148½-110
u149-110
o148-110
u148½-110
Delaware State Hornets (6-22)
MD E Shore Fighting Hawks (9-21)
28.0%
72.0%
+255
-310
+260
-310
+7-110
-6½-115
+7-109
-7-109
60.6
67.3
127.9
o125-110
u125½-110
o125-110
u125½-110
Eastern Illinois Panthers (13-19)
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (21-10)
25.7%
74.3%
+350
-420
+375
-420
+9-110
-8½-112
+9½-109
-8½-110
59.5
67.1
126.6
o122-112
u123-110
o122-110
u122-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (10-22)
North Dakota State Bison (24-7)
18.1%
81.9%
+600
-700
+600
-800
+11½-107
-11½-109
+12-109
-12-109
69.6
79.2
148.8
o144½-110
u145-115
o144-110
u144½-110
Indiana State Sycamores (11-20)
Valparaiso Beacons (17-14)
41.4%
58.6%
+149
-165
+160
-165
+3½-110
-3½-107
+4-109
-3½-105
69.0
72.0
141.0
o136½-110
u137-111
o137-110
u137-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (17-13)
Florida A&M Rattlers (13-15)
60.7%
39.3%
-145
+116
-145
+125
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2½-109
+2½-109
75.5
72.0
147.5
o145-105
u145½-110
o145-110
u145½-110
Michigan Wolverines (27-2)
Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9)
77.8%
22.2%
-390
+316
-400
+330
-8½-104
+8½-110
-8-109
+8½-110
78.1
69.7
147.8
o147-110
u147-110
o147½-110
u147½-110
Prairie View A&M Panthers (13-17)
Texas Southern Tigers (12-16)
38.6%
61.4%
+120
-140
+130
-135
+2½-110
-2-112
+3½-110
-2-109
77.0
80.8
157.8
o155½-110
u156½-110
o155½-110
u156-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Grambling State Tigers (12-18)
Alabama State Hornets (10-20)
45.0%
55.0%
+135
-160
+145
-160
+3½-110
-3-115
+3½-109
-3-110
71.4
73.4
144.8
o144½-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Coppin State Eagles (7-23)
Morgan State Bears (13-15)
26.0%
74.0%
+230
-280
+245
-280
+6½-110
-6½-110
+7-110
-6½-109
70.5
78.0
148.5
o149½-110
u149½-105
o149-110
u150-110
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (18-11)
Missouri State Bears (13-16)
56.8%
43.2%
-139
+128
-140
+125
-2-112
+2½-110
-2-110
+2½-109
75.9
73.3
149.2
o153-110
u153½-110
o152½-110
u153-110
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (12-17)
Michigan State Spartans (24-5)
5.1%
94.9%
+1250
-4500
+1800
-3800
+20-110
-19½-110
+20-109
-19½-110
61.9
78.8
140.7
o141½-110
u141½-110
o140-110
u140½-110
UT Arlington Mavericks (15-13)
Tarleton State Texans (14-16)
48.7%
51.3%
+120
-135
+135
-140
+2½-113
-2-110
+3-109
-2-115
68.7
69.3
138.0
o135½-110
u136-110
o136-110
u136½-110
MS Valley State Delta Devils (3-28)
Jackson State Tigers (10-20)
13.7%
86.3%
+440
-714
+490
-600
+10½-110
-10½-110
+11-110
-10½-109
68.4
79.6
148.0
o145-110
u145-110
o145-110
u145½-110
Georgia Southern Eagles (17-15)
Arkansas State Red Wolves (20-11)
29.4%
70.6%
+280
-330
+280
-340
+7½-110
-7-110
+7½-109
-7½-105
79.3
85.3
164.6
o167½-110
u167½-110
o167-110
u167½-110
Utah Valley Wolverines (22-7)
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-19)
82.1%
17.9%
-450
+360
-420
+375
-9-107
+9-105
-8-109
+9-110
79.4
69.5
148.9
o150½-110
u151½-110
o151½-110
u152-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Southern University Jaguars (14-16)
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (17-13)
50.6%
49.4%
-102
-122
+105
-120
+1-105
-1½-105
+1½-109
-1-110
74.1
73.8
147.9
o144½-110
u145-115
o145-110
u146-110
Manhattan Jaspers (12-19)
Fairfield Stags (19-12)
33.2%
66.8%
+195
-225
+195
-220
+5½-110
-5½-104
+5½-110
-5-109
72.2
77.6
149.8
o149-110
u149½-110
o148-110
u148½-110
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (14-15)
New Mexico State Aggies (13-15)
35.5%
64.5%
+220
-250
+240
-260
+6-105
-5½-110
+6½-109
-6-110
69.3
74.0
143.3
o143½-110
u144-110
o143-110
u143½-110
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions (12-18)
Alcorn State Braves (8-21)
56.4%
43.6%
-150
+130
-145
+145
-2½-110
+3-108
-2½-110
+3-109
77.7
75.2
152.9
o147-105
u147½-110
o146½-110
u147-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
South Florida Bulls (21-8)
Memphis Tigers (12-17)
67.3%
32.7%
-280
+235
-280
+245
-6½-110
+6½-109
-6-110
+6½-109
83.3
77.8
161.1
o160½-110
u161½-115
o160-110
u160½-110
Kennesaw State Owls (18-11)
UTEP Miners (10-19)
62.3%
37.7%
-130
+115
-135
+125
-2-105
+2-110
-2-110
+2½-109
76.4
72.5
148.9
o147-105
u148-115
o147½-110
u148-110
Pepperdine Waves (9-22)
Portland Pilots (13-18)
38.0%
62.0%
+120
-135
+130
-135
+2-105
-2-110
+2½-109
-2½-105
73.0
76.8
149.8
o151½-110
u152½-112
o152-110
u152-110
Cal State Northridge Matadors (18-12)
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-22)
73.9%
26.1%
-330
+280
-350
+290
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7-110
+7½-109
85.3
77.9
163.2
o165-108
u165-110
o165-110
u165½-110
Lindenwood Lions (18-14)
SE Missouri State Redhawks (19-12)
43.0%
57.0%
+160
-180
+170
-180
+3½+100
-3½-110
+4½-109
-3½-110
72.7
75.3
148.0
o147-113
u148-105
o147½-110
u147½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17)
St. Thomas Tommies (23-8)
32.5%
67.5%
+220
-260
+220
-260
+6-104
-6-110
+6-109
-5½-110
72.5
78.0
150.5
o149-110
u149½-110
o149½-110
u150-110
Evansville Purple Aces (7-24)
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)
11.8%
88.2%
+975
-1600
+1050
-1600
+15½-110
-15-110
+15½-109
-15-110
58.2
70.0
128.2
o124½-110
u125½-110
o124-110
u125-110
Overall Bet Value Active
UC San Diego Tritons (21-9)
Cal State Fullerton Titans (15-15)
63.0%
37.0%
-165
+145
-165
+160
-4+100
+3½-110
-3½-105
+3½-109
81.3
77.2
158.5
o155½-110
u156½-105
o155½-110
u157-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-16)
California Baptist Lancers (21-8)
19.6%
80.4%
+390
-480
+425
-500
+9½-110
-9½-105
+10½-109
-9½-110
64.6
73.7
138.3
o135½-110
u135½-110
o135-110
u135½-110
Cal Poly Mustangs (13-17)
UC Irvine Anteaters (20-10)
18.8%
81.2%
+400
-500
+425
-500
+9½-108
-9½-110
+10-109
-9½-110
73.6
83.1
156.7
o155½-110
u156-110
o155-110
u155½-110
UC Davis Aggies (17-12)
Long Beach State 49ers (9-21)
55.6%
44.4%
-125
+110
-125
+115
-1½-112
+2-110
-1½-110
+2-109
75.4
73.2
148.6
o150-110
u150-110
o150-110
u151½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Loyola Marymount Lions (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+215
-235
+215
-240
+5½-110
-5½-104
+5½-105
-5½-109
70.5
76.8
147.3
o144½-110
u145½-105
o145½-110
u146-110
Games for Mar 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Brigham Young Cougars
West Virginia Mountaineers
56.8%
43.2%
-150
+143
-135
+130
-2½-111
+3-108
-2½-109
+3-110
71
79
-0.89936-0.84211-0.83968
Furman Paladins
Western Carolina Catamounts
53.7%
46.3%
-105
-112
-109
+100
+1-110
+0-110
+0-109
+1-110
67
86
-0.67779-0.71445-0.76966
Missouri State Bears
Sam Houston State Bearkats
22.5%
77.5%
+252
-300
+260
-300
+6½-105
-6½-110
+7-110
-6½-109
81
86
-0.32120-0.31508-0.25528
Providence Friars
Creighton Bluejays
39.7%
60.3%
+161
-175
+175
-170
+4-110
-3½-110
+4-105
-3½-109
79
76
-0.97867-1.00485-0.92357
Texas A&M Commerce Lions
UTRGV Vaqueros
21.7%
78.3%
+425
-550
+425
-550
+10½-110
-10-109
+10½-109
-10-110
55
63
-0.20303-0.20303-0.24470
Alcorn State Braves
Prairie View A&M Panthers
33.5%
66.5%
+175
-200
+205
-200
+5-110
-5-105
+6-110
-4½-110
51
72
-0.43532-0.39999-0.40816
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
Kennesaw State Owls
15.8%
84.2%
+575
-775
+575
-700
+12-110
-12-105
+12½-110
-11½-109
82
90
-0.15467-0.15642-0.17221
Jackson State Tigers
Texas Southern Tigers
31.1%
68.9%
+215
-250
+220
-250
+6½-116
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-109
57
82
-0.36772-0.36291-0.37180
Alabama State Hornets
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
38.1%
61.9%
+105
-113
+100
-115
+1½-110
-1-104
+1-109
-1-109
89
88
-0.73601-0.72743-0.96582
Lamar Cardinals
Incarnate Word Cardinals
49.4%
50.6%
+104
-120
+100
-115
+1-106
-1½-104
+1-109
-1-109
60
72
-0.64118-0.66000-0.68193
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
North Dakota State Bison
15.8%
84.2%
+600
-850
+625
-800
+12-110
-11½-115
+12-110
-11½-109
63
96
-0.14813-0.14425-0.17203
Colorado State Rams
San Jose State Spartans
77.0%
23.0%
-350
+320
-350
+335
-8½-110
+9-110
-8-110
+8½-105
85
73
-0.26707-0.25895-0.26182
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
SE Missouri State Redhawks
23.7%
76.3%
+280
-340
+280
-330
+7½-105
-7½-110
+7½-109
-7½-109
73
89
-0.29308-0.29484-0.27048
Ball State Cardinals
Northern Illinois Huskies
47.5%
52.5%
+105
-120
+105
-120
+1½-106
-1½-110
+1½-109
-1½-109
79
43
-0.75056-0.75056-0.74478
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Houston Christian Huskies
80.7%
19.3%
-410
+324
-400
+330
-8½-105
+8½-110
-8-109
+8½-110
77
56
-0.25726-0.25519-0.21494
North Carolina Central Eagles
Delaware State Hornets
59.0%
41.0%
-145
+135
-150
+135
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2½-110
+3-109
74
60
-0.54173-0.53604-0.52846
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks4027-12 (0.688)1-0.59975 
Sportsbooks4028-12 (0.700)0-0.58551 
DRatings4027-13 (0.675)0-0.59110
0.00865
-0.00559

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.