NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Drake Bulldogs (12-19)
Southern Illinois Salukis (16-15)
36.8%
63.2%
+186
-200
+190
-200
+4½-110
-4½-109
+4½-109
-4-110
67.0
71.3
138.3
o138-110
u138-106
o138-110
u138½-110
South Carolina State Bulldogs (8-21)
North Carolina Central Eagles (12-16)
27.8%
72.2%
+275
-350
+300
-330
+7½-110
-7-110
+8-109
-7-105
68.0
74.9
142.9
o141-110
u141½-105
o140½-110
u142-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
James Madison Dukes (18-14)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (16-15)
58.0%
42.0%
-120
+105
-115
+105
-1-110
+1½-105
-1-109
+1½-110
73.8
70.9
144.7
o142-110
u142½-105
o142-110
u142½-110
Sacred Heart Pioneers (13-18)
Iona Gaels (18-13)
36.7%
63.3%
+160
-180
+165
-175
+4-110
-4-105
+4-105
-3½-110
72.1
76.4
148.5
o148½-110
u149-110
o148½-110
u149-110
Bucknell Bison (10-22)
Navy Midshipmen (25-6)
9.8%
90.2%
+800
-2000
+975
-1400
+15½-120
-14½-110
+15-110
-14-110
60.5
73.7
134.2
o133½-110
u134-110
o133½-110
u133½-110
American University Eagles (16-15)
Boston University Terriers (15-16)
42.8%
57.2%
+107
-125
+110
-115
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1-109
69.3
72.0
141.3
o141-115
u142-105
o141½-110
u142½-110
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (12-19)
Colgate Raiders (17-14)
25.3%
74.7%
+215
-250
+230
-250
+5½-105
-5-115
+6-110
-5½-109
71.3
78.9
150.2
o154½-115
u155½-110
o155-110
u155½-110
Holy Cross Crusaders (11-21)
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+210
-240
+215
-240
+5½-105
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-105
66.8
73.0
139.8
o141½-110
u142-110
o142-110
u143-110
MTSU Blue Raiders (15-14)
FIU Golden Panthers (14-15)
46.7%
53.3%
+100
-112
-109
-109
+1½-110
+0-110
+0-109
+0-109
75.8
77.3
153.1
o153½-110
u153½-110
o153-110
u154½-110
Sam Houston State Bearkats (21-8)
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (9-20)
72.5%
27.5%
-300
+274
-300
+280
-7-110
+7-106
-7-109
+7-105
76.6
69.5
146.1
o148-110
u148½-110
o147½-110
u148-110
Tulane Green Wave (17-12)
Temple Owls (15-14)
39.1%
60.9%
+180
-195
+175
-195
+5-112
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-109
71.0
74.6
145.6
o144½-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (23-6)
East Carolina Pirates (11-18)
78.3%
21.7%
-500
+400
-430
+400
-9½-105
+9½-105
-9½-109
+9½-109
80.6
72.0
152.6
o156-110
u156½-105
o156-110
u157-110
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (16-13)
Liberty Flames (24-5)
16.4%
83.6%
+383
-475
+400
-450
+9½-110
-9½-109
+10-109
-9-110
63.9
74.1
138.0
o138-105
u139-110
o137½-110
u138-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Howard Bison (20-10)
Norfolk State Spartans (15-15)
64.5%
35.5%
-230
+190
-250
+215
-5½-105
+5½-110
-5-110
+5½-109
74.6
69.9
144.5
o149-110
u149-105
o148-110
u148½-110
Delaware State Hornets (6-22)
MD E Shore Fighting Hawks (9-21)
28.0%
72.0%
+200
-240
+215
-250
+5-106
-5-110
+5½-109
-5-105
60.6
67.3
127.9
o124-110
u125-110
o124½-110
u125½-110
Eastern Illinois Panthers (13-19)
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (21-10)
25.7%
74.3%
+350
-450
+400
-450
+9-105
-9-110
+10-109
-9-110
59.5
67.1
126.6
o122-110
u122+108
o122-110
u122-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (10-22)
North Dakota State Bison (24-7)
18.1%
81.9%
+550
-700
+650
-800
+11½-107
-11½-110
+12-109
-12-109
69.6
79.2
148.8
o145½-110
u146-104
o145-110
u146½-110
Indiana State Sycamores (11-20)
Valparaiso Beacons (17-14)
41.4%
58.6%
+152
-165
+160
-175
+3½-110
-3½-105
+4-109
-3½-105
69.0
72.0
141.0
o138-110
u138½-110
o138½-110
u139-110
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (17-13)
Florida A&M Rattlers (13-15)
60.7%
39.3%

-145
+125
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2½-109
+2½-109
75.5
72.0
147.5
o146-110
u147-115
o145-110
u145½-110
Michigan Wolverines (27-2)
Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9)
77.8%
22.2%
-390
+310
-400
+335
-8-115
+8½-110
-8-109
+8½-110
78.1
69.7
147.8
o145½-110
u146-110
o145-110
u146½-110
Prairie View A&M Panthers (13-17)
Texas Southern Tigers (12-16)
38.6%
61.4%
+115
-135
+130
-130
+2-110
-2-105
+2-109
-2-105
77.0
80.8
157.8
o154-110
u154-105
o153-110
u154½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Grambling State Tigers (12-18)
Alabama State Hornets (10-20)
45.0%
55.0%
+110
-130
+115
-125
+1½-103
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-109
71.4
73.4
144.8
o144-110
u144½-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Coppin State Eagles (7-23)
Morgan State Bears (13-15)
26.0%
74.0%
+230
-280
+245
-280
+6½-105
-6½-110
+7-110
-6½-109
70.5
78.0
148.5
o149-111
u149-105
o149-110
u150-110
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (18-11)
Missouri State Bears (13-16)
56.8%
43.2%
-130
+120
-135
+120
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-109
+2½-110
75.9
73.3
149.2
o153-110
u153-105
o152½-110
u153-110
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (12-17)
Michigan State Spartans (24-5)
5.1%
94.9%
+1250
-4500
+1800
-3800
+19½-110
-19½-108
+20-109
-19½-110
61.9
78.8
140.7
o141½-110
u142½-110
o141-110
u141½-110
UT Arlington Mavericks (15-13)
Tarleton State Texans (14-16)
48.7%
51.3%
+130
-145
+135
-140
+2½-106
-2½-110
+3-109
-2-115
68.7
69.3
138.0
o136-110
u136-105
o136½-110
u137½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
MS Valley State Delta Devils (3-28)
Jackson State Tigers (10-20)
13.7%
86.3%
+490
-833
+575
-800
+12-115
-11½-110
+12-110
-11½-109
68.4
79.6
148.0
o145-110
u145-110
o145-110
u145½-110
Georgia Southern Eagles (17-15)
Arkansas State Red Wolves (20-11)
29.4%
70.6%
+303
-330
+310
-340
+7½-107
-7½-110
+7½-105
-7½-109
79.3
85.3
164.6
o166½-110
u167½-110
o167-110
u167½-110
Utah Valley Wolverines (22-7)
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-19)
82.1%
17.9%
-450
+374
-450
+390
-9-110
+9-105
-8½-109
+9-110
79.4
69.5
148.9
o150½-110
u151½-110
o151½-110
u152-110
Southern University Jaguars (14-16)
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (17-13)
50.6%
49.4%
-112
-111
-109
+100
+0-110
+1-110
+0-109
+1½-110
74.1
73.8
147.9
o145-110
u146-110
o145-110
u146-110
Manhattan Jaspers (12-19)
Fairfield Stags (19-12)
33.2%
66.8%
+195
-225
+195
-220
+5½-115
-5-110
+5½-110
-4½-109
72.2
77.6
149.8
o148-110
u149-110
o148-110
u148½-110
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (14-15)
New Mexico State Aggies (13-15)
35.5%
64.5%
+220
-250
+240
-260
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-109
-6-110
69.3
74.0
143.3
o144-110
u144½-110
o143½-110
u144½-110
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions (12-18)
Alcorn State Braves (8-21)
56.4%
43.6%
-135
+116
-135
+125
-2-110
+2-107
-1½-110
+2½-109
77.7
75.2
152.9
o145½-110
u146½-115
o146-110
u147-110
South Florida Bulls (21-8)
Memphis Tigers (12-17)
67.3%
32.7%
-270
+241
-310
+265
-6½-106
+7-110
-7-109
+7-109
83.3
77.8
161.1
o161-110
u161½-101
o161-110
u162-110
Kennesaw State Owls (18-11)
UTEP Miners (10-19)
62.3%
37.7%
-145
+135
-145
+125
-2½-110
+3-112
-2½-109
+2½-109
76.4
72.5
148.9
o147-105
u147-110
o146½-110
u147-110
Pepperdine Waves (9-22)
Portland Pilots (13-18)
38.0%
62.0%
+120
-135
+120
-135
+2½-110
-2½-105
+2½-109
-2½-105
73.0
76.8
149.8
o154½-105
u154½-110
o154-110
u155-110
Cal State Northridge Matadors (18-12)
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-22)
73.9%
26.1%
-330
+295
-350
+300
-7½-108
+7½-109
-7-110
+7½-109
85.3
77.9
163.2
o165½-110
u165½-110
o165-110
u165½-110
Lindenwood Lions (18-14)
SE Missouri State Redhawks (19-12)
43.0%
57.0%
+165
-180
+170
-185
+3½+100
-4-110
+4½-109
-4-110
72.7
75.3
148.0
o147½-110
u148-105
o147½-110
u147½-110
South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17)
St. Thomas Tommies (23-8)
32.5%
67.5%
+198
-220
+195
-225
+5½-115
-5-110
+5-109
-5-109
72.5
78.0
150.5
o148-110
u148½-110
o148-110
u148½-110
Evansville Purple Aces (7-24)
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)
9.1%
90.9%
+874
-1500
+1000
-1500
+15-110
-14½-111
+15-110
-14½-109
57.4
70.9
128.3
o127-110
u127½-110
o127-110
u127½-110
UC San Diego Tritons (21-9)
Cal State Fullerton Titans (15-15)
63.0%
37.0%
-165
+153
-165
+145
-4+100
+4-113
-3½-105
+3½-109
81.3
77.2
158.5
o156-110
u156½-110
o155½-110
u156½-110
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-16)
California Baptist Lancers (21-8)
19.6%
80.4%
+400
-490
+425
-500
+9½-105
-10-105
+10-109
-9½-110
64.6
73.7
138.3
o137-110
u137-110
o136½-110
u137-110
Cal Poly Mustangs (13-17)
UC Irvine Anteaters (20-10)
18.8%
81.2%
+383
-480
+435
-500
+9½-106
-9½-110
+10-109
-9½-110
73.6
83.1
156.7
o156½-110
u157-110
o156½-110
u157½-110
UC Davis Aggies (17-12)
Long Beach State 49ers (9-21)
55.6%
44.4%
-130
+110
-130
+115
-1½-116
+2-110
-2-109
+2-109
75.4
73.2
148.6
o150-110
u150-110
o150-110
u151-110
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Loyola Marymount Lions (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+201
-240
+215
-240
+5½-109
-5½-105
+5½-105
-5½-109
70.5
76.8
147.3
o145½-110
u146-110
o146-110
u146½-110
Games for Mar 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Radford Highlanders
Longwood Lancers
52.5%
47.5%
+100
-120
+110
-125
+1½-110
-1½-105
+2-110
-1½-109
74
90
-0.65059-0.61904-0.74486
Elon Phoenix
Monmouth Hawks
41.1%
58.9%
+149
-160
+150
-165
+3½-110
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3-109
57
73
-0.50236-0.49617-0.52924
FIU Golden Panthers
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
44.8%
55.2%
+125
-140
+125
-135
+2-102
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2-109
84
76
-0.83833-0.82968-0.80287
Detroit Titans
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
23.1%
76.9%
+300
-360
+300
-350
+8-106
-8-110
+8-109
-8-109
95
89
-1.41840-1.41371-1.46620
Sacramento State Hornets
Montana State Bobcats
19.7%
80.3%
+255
-300
+300
-310
+7-110
-7-105
+7½-110
-6½-110
61
82
-0.31888-0.28566-0.21943
Louisville Cardinals
Clemson Tigers
60.9%
39.1%
-130
+115
-130
+115
-2-107
+2-110
-2-109
+2-105
75
80
-0.79536-0.79536-0.93964
Tennessee State Tigers
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks
37.5%
62.5%
+125
-140
+130
-135
+2½-110
-2½-106
+2½-105
-2-110
67
42
-0.83833-0.84211-0.97963
The Citadel Bulldogs
Wofford Terriers
14.2%
85.8%
+575
-775
+575
-700
+12-109
-12-110
+12-110
-11-109
93
90
-1.94281-1.93240-1.95207
VMI Keydets
Chattanooga Mocs
17.5%
82.5%
+550
-735
+565
-780
+11½-105
-11½-106
+12-110
-11½-109
79
86
-0.16108-0.15671-0.19293
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
George Mason Patriots
31.0%
69.0%
+157
-170
+160
-170
+3½-110
-3½-105
+3½-109
-3½-105
58
71
-0.48119-0.47678-0.37128
Youngstown State Penguins
Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix
46.6%
53.4%
-104
-110
+100
-115
+1-115
+0-110
+1-109
+0-110
63
85
-0.67968-0.66000-0.62667
San Diego State Aztecs
New Mexico Lobos
45.9%
54.1%
+110
-120
+120
-120
+2-115
-1½-110
+2-110
-1-109
76
81
-0.62755-0.60614-0.61459
Vanderbilt Commodores
Kentucky Wildcats
47.2%
52.8%
+100
-115
-105
-115
+1½-110
-1-110
+1-109
-1-109
77
91
-0.66000-0.67172-0.63945
Boston College Eagles
Miami Hurricanes
8.7%
91.3%
+995
-1700
+1000
-1600
+16-108
-15½-110
+16-110
-15½-109
54
76
-0.09230-0.09220-0.09059
Central Michigan Chippewas
Buffalo Bulls
29.2%
70.8%
+215
-250
+230
-250
+5½-104
-5½-110
+6½-110
-5½-110
75
70
-1.17866-1.21110-1.23011
Oregon Ducks
Northwestern Wildcats
37.5%
62.5%
+150
-155
+150
-155
+3½-108
-3-110
+3½-110
-3-109
62
63
-0.50566-0.50566-0.47068
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks3825-12 (0.671)1-0.60856 
Sportsbooks3826-12 (0.684)0-0.59208 
DRatings3825-13 (0.658)0-0.59813
0.01044
-0.00605

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.