NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
James Madison Dukes (18-14)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (16-15)
58.0%
42.0%
-135
+120
-130
+115
-2-110
+2-107
-2-109
+2½-110
73.8
70.9
144.7
o143½-110
u143½-105
o142½-110
u144-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Sacred Heart Pioneers (13-18)
Iona Gaels (18-13)
36.7%
63.3%
+155
-165
+145
-160
+3½-110
-3-110
+3-109
-3-109
72.1
76.4
148.5
o149½-110
u150-105
o149½-110
u150½-110
Bucknell Bison (10-22)
Navy Midshipmen (25-6)
9.8%
90.2%
+800
-2000
+950
-1300
+15½-120
-14-110
+15-110
-14-109
60.5
73.7
134.2
o133½-110
u134-110
o133½-110
u133½-110
American University Eagles (16-15)
Boston University Terriers (15-16)
42.8%
57.2%
+107
-125
+110
-115
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1-109
69.3
72.0
141.3
o141-115
u142-105
o141½-110
u142-110
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (12-19)
Colgate Raiders (17-14)
25.3%
74.7%
+222
-250
+230
-250
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-110
-5½-109
71.3
78.9
150.2
o155½-105
u155½-110
o155-110
u155½-110
Holy Cross Crusaders (11-21)
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+210
-240
+215
-240
+5½-105
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-105
66.8
73.0
139.8
o142-110
u142-110
o142-110
u143-110
MTSU Blue Raiders (15-14)
FIU Golden Panthers (14-15)
46.7%
53.3%
-115
-105
-110
+100
+0-110
+0-102
+0-110
+1-109
75.8
77.3
153.1
o153½-110
u154-110
o153-110
u154½-110
Sam Houston State Bearkats (21-8)
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (9-20)
72.5%
27.5%
-300
+274
-300
+280
-7-110
+7-106
-7-109
+7-105
76.6
69.5
146.1
o148-110
u148½-110
o147½-110
u148-110
Tulane Green Wave (17-12)
Temple Owls (15-14)
40.0%
60.0%
+170
-195
+175
-190
+5-112
-4½-106
+5-110
-4-109
70.6
74.0
144.6
o144½-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (23-6)
East Carolina Pirates (11-18)
78.3%
21.7%
-500
+400
-430
+400
-9½-105
+9½-109
-9½-109
+9½-109
80.6
72.0
152.6
o156-110
u156½-105
o156-110
u157-110
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (16-13)
Liberty Flames (24-5)
16.4%
83.6%
+334
-420
+360
-400
+8½-102
-8½-110
+9-109
-8½-110
63.9
74.1
138.0
o138-105
u138½-110
o137½-110
u138-110
Howard Bison (20-10)
Norfolk State Spartans (15-15)
64.5%
35.5%
-245
+205
-250
+225
-5½-110
+6-105
-5-115
+6-110
74.6
69.9
144.5
o149-110
u149½-105
o148½-110
u149-110
Delaware State Hornets (6-22)
MD E Shore Fighting Hawks (9-21)
28.0%
72.0%
+200
-240
+245
-250
+5½-110
-5-110
+5½-105
-5-110
60.6
67.3
127.9
o124½-110
u125-110
o124-110
u124½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Eastern Illinois Panthers (13-19)
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (21-10)
25.7%
74.3%
+300
-350
+335
-370
+8-110
-8-106
+8-109
-8-109
59.5
67.1
126.6
o126-110
u126½-108
o125½-110
u126½-110
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (10-22)
North Dakota State Bison (24-7)
18.1%
81.9%
+561
-750
+650
-800
+12½-110
-11½-110
+12-109
-12-109
69.6
79.2
148.8
o147½-110
u148½-110
o147-110
u147½-110
Indiana State Sycamores (11-20)
Valparaiso Beacons (17-14)
41.4%
58.6%
+140
-150
+140
-160
+2½-106
-2½-110
+3-110
-2½-109
69.0
72.0
141.0
o140½-110
u141½-110
o141-110
u141½-110
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (17-13)
Florida A&M Rattlers (13-15)
60.7%
39.3%

-145
+125
-2½-110
+2½-105
-2½-109
+2½-109
75.5
72.0
147.5
o146-110
u146-110
o145-110
u145½-110
Michigan Wolverines (27-2)
Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9)
77.8%
22.2%
-400
+330
-380
+340
-8½-105
+9½-110
-8-109
+9-105
78.1
69.7
147.8
o147-107
u147½-115
o146½-110
u147-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Prairie View A&M Panthers (13-17)
Texas Southern Tigers (12-16)
38.6%
61.4%
+115
-135
+130
-130
+2-110
-2-105
+2-109
-2-105
77.0
80.8
157.8
o153-115
u154-110
o153-110
u154½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Grambling State Tigers (12-18)
Alabama State Hornets (10-20)
45.0%
55.0%
+111
-130
+115
-125
+2-104
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-109
71.4
73.4
144.8
o144½-110
u144½-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Coppin State Eagles (7-23)
Morgan State Bears (13-15)
26.0%
74.0%
+235
-285
+245
-250
+6½-110
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-105
70.5
78.0
148.5
o149½-115
u149½-105
o149-110
u150-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (18-11)
Missouri State Bears (13-16)
56.8%
43.2%
-125
+120
-135
+120
-2-105
+2-105
-2-110
+2½-109
75.9
73.3
149.2
o153½-102
u153-110
o152½-110
u153-110
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (12-17)
Michigan State Spartans (24-5)
5.1%
94.9%
+1250
-4500
+1800
-3800
+19½-106
-19½-105
+20-109
-19-110
61.9
78.8
140.7
o141½-105
u142-110
o141½-110
u142½-110
UT Arlington Mavericks (15-13)
Tarleton State Texans (14-16)
48.7%
51.3%
+130
-145
+135
-140
+2½-105
-2½-110
+3-109
-2-115
68.7
69.3
138.0
o136-110
u136-105
o136½-110
u137½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
MS Valley State Delta Devils (3-28)
Jackson State Tigers (10-20)
13.7%
86.3%
+490
-833
+575
-800
+12-115
-11½-110
+12-110
-11½-109
68.4
79.6
148.0
o145-110
u145-110
o145-110
u145½-110
Georgia Southern Eagles (17-15)
Arkansas State Red Wolves (20-11)
29.4%
70.6%
+285
-330
+310
-310
+7½-106
-7½-110
+7½-109
-7-110
79.3
85.3
164.6
o167½-105
u167½-110
o167-110
u167½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Utah Valley Wolverines (22-7)
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-19)
82.1%
17.9%
-450
+374
-450
+390
-9-110
+9-105
-8½-109
+9-110
79.4
69.5
148.9
o150½-110
u151-110
o150½-110
u151½-110
Southern University Jaguars (14-16)
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (17-13)
50.6%
49.4%
-112
-111
-109
+100
+0-110
+1-110
+0-109
+1-110
74.1
73.8
147.9
o144½-110
u146-110
o145-110
u146-110
Manhattan Jaspers (12-19)
Fairfield Stags (19-12)
33.2%
66.8%
+195
-225
+195
-220
+5½-115
-5-110
+5½-110
-4½-109
72.2
77.6
149.8
o148-110
u149-110
o148-110
u148½-110
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (14-15)
New Mexico State Aggies (13-15)
35.5%
64.5%
+220
-250
+240
-260
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-109
-6-110
69.3
74.0
143.3
o144½+102
u144-110
o143½-110
u144½-110
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions (12-18)
Alcorn State Braves (8-21)
56.4%
43.6%
-120
+101
-125
+120
-1-110
+1½-115
-1-110
+2½-109
77.7
75.2
152.9
o145-110
u146½-115
o146-110
u147-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
South Florida Bulls (21-8)
Memphis Tigers (12-17)
68.8%
31.2%
-275
+241
-280
+255
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6½-105
+7-110
83.6
77.9
161.5
o161½-110
u161½-110
o161-110
u162-110
Kennesaw State Owls (18-11)
UTEP Miners (10-19)
62.3%
37.7%
-140
+128
-145
+125
-2½-106
+2½-110
-2½-109
+2½-109
76.4
72.5
148.9
o147-105
u147-110
o146½-110
u147-110
Pepperdine Waves (9-22)
Portland Pilots (13-18)
38.0%
62.0%
+120
-135
+120
-135
+2½-110
-2½-105
+2½-109
-2½-105
73.0
76.8
149.8
o154½-105
u154½-110
o154-110
u155-110
Cal State Northridge Matadors (18-12)
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-22)
73.9%
26.1%
-330
+285
-350
+300
-7½-108
+7½-109
-7-110
+7½-109
85.3
77.9
163.2
o165½-110
u165½-110
o165-110
u165½-110
Lindenwood Lions (18-14)
SE Missouri State Redhawks (19-12)
43.0%
57.0%
+165
-180
+170
-180
+3½+100
-4-110
+4-105
-4-109
72.7
75.3
148.0
o147½-110
u148-105
o147½-110
u147½-110
South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17)
St. Thomas Tommies (23-8)
32.5%
67.5%
+205
-230
+225
-230
+6-115
-5½-110
+6-110
-5-109
72.5
78.0
150.5
o148½-110
u148½-110
o148-110
u148½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Evansville Purple Aces (7-24)
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)
9.1%
90.9%
+880
-1500
+1000
-1500
+15-110
-14½-115
+15-110
-14½-109
57.4
70.9
128.3
o127-110
u126½+105
o126½-110
u127½-110
UC San Diego Tritons (21-9)
Cal State Fullerton Titans (15-15)
63.0%
37.0%
-165
+153
-165
+150
-3½-110
+4-113
-3½-109
+3½-105
81.3
77.2
158.5
o156-110
u156½-110
o155½-110
u156½-110
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-16)
California Baptist Lancers (21-8)
19.6%
80.4%
+400
-490
+425
-500
+9½-105
-10-105
+10-109
-9-110
64.6
73.7
138.3
o136½-110
u137-110
o137-110
u137-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cal Poly Mustangs (13-17)
UC Irvine Anteaters (20-10)
18.8%
81.2%
+380
-465
+435
-420
+9½-110
-9½-104
+10-110
-9-110
73.6
83.1
156.7
o157-110
u157½-110
o156½-110
u157-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
UC Davis Aggies (17-12)
Long Beach State 49ers (9-21)
55.6%
44.4%
-130
+110
-130
+115
-2-110
+1½+100
-2-109
+2-109
75.4
73.2
148.6
o150-110
u150-110
o150-110
u151-110
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Loyola Marymount Lions (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+201
-240
+215
-240
+5½-110
-5½-105
+5½-105
-5½-109
70.5
76.8
147.3
o145½-110
u146-110
o146-110
u146½-110
Games for Mar 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Drake Bulldogs (12-19)
Southern Illinois Salukis (16-15)
36.8%
63.2%
+189
-200
+190
-215
+4½-103
-4½-110
+5-109
-4½-115
138.3
o140½-110
u141½-110
o140½-110
u141-110
2nd H
18:50
29
33
South Carolina State Bulldogs (8-21)
North Carolina Central Eagles (12-16)
27.8%
72.2%
+275
-350
+300
-350
+7½-110
-7-110
+8-109
-6½-110
142.9
o140½-110
u141-110
o140½-110
u142-110
1st H
05:37
23
17

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Cincinnati Bearcats
20.9%
79.1%
+383
-480
+400
-475
+10-110
-9½-110
+10-109
-9½-110
68
91
-0.22328-0.21680-0.23496
William & Mary Tribe
North Carolina A&T Aggies
72.1%
27.9%
-350
+285
-325
+295
-8-110
+8-105
-7-110
+8-110
91
88
-0.28815-0.28598-0.32664
Gardner Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
USC Upstate Spartans
13.5%
86.5%
+625
-1000
+650
-850
+12½-110
-11½-110
+12½-109
-12-110
61
71
-0.14126-0.13891-0.14453
North Alabama Lions
West Georgia Wolves
35.5%
64.5%
+180
-220
+185
-210
+5-110
-5-105
+5-109
-5-109
63
75
-0.41837-0.41737-0.43888
Bucknell Bison
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
33.2%
66.8%
+185
-225
+195
-220
+5½-110
-5-110
+5½-109
-5½-109
79
89
-0.41000-0.40084-0.40362
Mercyhurst Lakers
Stonehill Skyhawks
56.2%
43.8%
-120
+100
-109
+125
-1½-106
+2-110
+0-109
+2½-110
75
72
-0.65059-0.61637-0.57588
Maine Black Bears
Binghamton Bearcats
57.1%
42.9%
-120
+100
+100
+108
-1½-110
+1½-105
+1-110
+1½-110
67
74
-0.73760-0.71294-0.84658
New Hampshire Wildcats
Albany Great Danes
33.6%
66.4%
+145
-170
+145
-160
+3½-110
-3-115
+3½-109
-3½-109
61
84
-0.49972-0.50878-0.40932
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Stetson Hatters
65.0%
35.0%
-210
+175
-180
+160
-5-110
+5½-115
-5-109
+5-109
63
78
-1.05182-0.98262-1.05119
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
33.2%
66.8%

+170
-180
+4½-110
-4-110
+4½-109
-4-110
92
75
-1.00641-1.10271
Austin Peay Governors
Bellarmine Knights
66.3%
33.7%
-225
+185
-210
+190
-5-110
+5-105
-4½-109
+5½-110
97
111
-1.08960-1.08672-1.08640
Queens Royals
Central Arkansas Bears
39.0%
61.0%
+130
-150
+125
-135
+3-110
-2½-110
+2½-109
-2-110
79
84
-0.54502-0.57304-0.49380
IPFW Mastodons
IUPUI Jaguars
55.8%
44.2%
-120
+110
-125
+105
-1-115
+2-110
-1-110
+1½-109
87
81
-0.62755-0.63023-0.58345
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
South Dakota Coyotes
61.9%
38.1%
-165
+157
-165
+150
-3½-109
+3½-108
-3-110
+3½-109
70
75
-0.95558-0.93869-0.96611
Campbell Fighting Camels
Towson Tigers
32.8%
67.2%
+186
-210
+190
-200
+5-109
-5-105
+5-109
-5-109
67
71
-0.41617-0.41690-0.39785
UCLA Bruins
Minnesota Golden Gophers
55.8%
44.2%
-120
+110
-120
+105
-1½-104
+1½-109
-1-110
+1½-109
73
78
-0.76336-0.75056-0.81572
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks3725-11 (0.689)1-0.59381 
Sportsbooks3726-11 (0.703)0-0.57723 
DRatings3725-12 (0.676)0-0.58543
0.00839
-0.00820

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.