NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 16, 2025

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Dartmouth Big Green (4-5)
Holy Cross Crusaders (5-6)
55.8%
44.2%
-120
+101
-120
+100
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1-109
+1½-110
73.9
71.5
145.4
o147½-105
u147½-105
o146½-110
u147-110
Sacred Heart Pioneers (4-6)
UMass Lowell River Hawks (4-8)
60.8%
39.2%
-175
+150
-140
+130
-3-105
+3½-110
-2½-109
+2½-109
78.7
75.1
153.8
o152-110
u153-110
o153-110
u153½-110
USC Upstate Spartans (6-6)
South Carolina State Bulldogs (0-11)
84.9%
15.1%
-500
+360
-525
+425
-9½-105
+9½-110
-10-109
+10-109
82.5
71.8
154.3
o147½-105
u148½-115
o147½-110
u148½-110
Lipscomb Bisons (6-4)
Duke Blue Devils (10-0)
0.3%
99.7%


+33+110
-33-110
+33-109
-33-109
58.0
95.0
153.0
o152-110
u152+100
o152-110
u152½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toledo Rockets (5-5)
Michigan State Spartans (9-1)
0.7%
99.3%

+2400
-7000
+23½-110
-23-108
+23½-110
-23-109
62.1
91.9
154.0
o151-110
u151½-110
o151-110
u151½-110
Belmont Bruins (10-1)
Evansville Purple Aces (4-7)
81.8%
18.2%
-380
+335
-400
+350
-8-110
+8-105
-8-110
+8½-109
80.2
70.5
150.7
o148½-105
u148½-110
o148½-110
u149-110
DePaul Blue Demons (8-3)
St. John's Red Storm (6-3)
3.6%
96.4%
+1150
-3500
+1500
-2500
+19½-105
-19½-105
+19½-109
-19½-109
67.8
87.2
155.0
o149-110
u149½-110
o149½-110
u150-110
South Carolina Gamecocks (7-3)
Clemson Tigers (8-3)
15.5%
84.5%
+600
-850
+625
-900
+12½-105
-12½-110
+12½-109
-12½-109
65.9
76.5
142.4
o142½-108
u142½-110
o142½-110
u143-110
Rider Broncs (1-8)
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (3-7)
12.8%
87.2%
+390
-490
+425
-550
+9½-105
-9½-110
+10-109
-10-109
63.7
75.1
138.8
o129-110
u130-109
o129-110
u130-110
Louisville Cardinals (9-1)
Tennessee Volunteers (7-3)
47.4%
52.6%
+130
-150
+140
-150
+3-110
-3-105
+3-105
-3-109
77.9
79.0
156.9
o157-105
u157½-110
o157-110
u157½-110
FIU Golden Panthers (5-3)
Miami Hurricanes (9-2)
5.2%
94.8%

+2200
-5600
+22½-110
-22½-105
+22-109
-21½-110
70.5
87.3
157.8
o161-105
u161-110
o160½-110
u160½-110
UTRGV Vaqueros (3-6)
Lamar Cardinals (5-4)
39.7%
60.3%
+140
-165
+155
-160
+3½-105
-3½-105
+3½-109
-3½-109
68.2
71.7
139.9
o139-110
u139½-110
o138-110
u139-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tarleton State Texans (7-4)
MS Valley State Delta Devils (1-9)
99.2%
0.8%
-1600
+800
-1400
+900
-14½-105
+15-110
-14½-110
+15-109
86.8
57.8
144.6
o142-110
u142½-110
o141-110
u142-110
Chicago State Cougars (2-9)
Bowling Green Falcons (7-3)
3.7%
96.3%

+2200
-4800
+21-110
-20½-115
+21½-109
-21-110
65.2
84.6
149.8
o147½-115
u149-105
o148-110
u148½-110
Canisius Golden Griffins (5-6)
Rhode Island Rams (7-4)
3.6%
96.4%

+2200
-5800
+22-105
-22-110
+22-109
-22-109
59.3
78.7
138.0
o136½-110
u137-110
o136½-110
u136½-110
UMKC Kangarros (2-9)
Oklahoma Sooners (7-3)
0.2%
99.8%


+29-107
-29-110
+29½-109
-29-110
58.5
96.7
155.2
o153-112
u154-110
o153½-110
u154-110
Florida State Seminoles (5-5)
Dayton Flyers (8-3)
30.5%
69.5%
+245
-290
+250
-300
+6½-109
-6½-110
+7-109
-7-109
76.7
82.5
159.2
o161½-110
u161½-110
o161-110
u162-110
North Carolina A&T Aggies (5-4)
UNC Greensboro Spartans (3-8)
26.6%
73.4%
+235
-280
+240
-250
+6½-108
-6-113
+6½-110
-6-109
70.3
77.5
147.8
o147-103
u146-105
o147-110
u147½-110
Miami RedHawks (10-0)
Wright State Raiders (5-6)
57.0%
43.0%
+100
-104
-105
-109
+1-105
+1-109
+1-110
+0-109
78.2
75.5
153.7
o148½-110
u149-110
o149-110
u149-110
All Bet Values Active
Little Rock Trojans (2-8)
Morehead State Eagles (3-7)
42.2%
57.8%
+148
-165
+150
-160
+3½-110
-3½-110
+3½-109
-3½-109
69.2
72.2
141.4
o139½-110
u140½-110
o139-110
u139½-110
Marist Red Foxes (7-2)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-4)
24.5%
75.5%
+240
-280
+250
-280
+6½-106
-6-115
+6½-109
-6½-109
64.6
72.5
137.1
o139½-110
u140-105
o140-110
u140-110
LIU Sharks (6-4)
Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-5)
5.0%
95.0%

+1000
-1500
+16½-110
-16-110
+16-109
-15½-110
67.9
84.9
152.8
o152½-110
u153½-115
o152½-110
u152½-110
Le Moyne Dolphins (5-5)
Texas Longhorns (7-4)
0.9%
99.1%


+30½-110
-29½-114
+31-110
-30-109
61.5
89.9
151.4
o153½-105
u153½-115
o153-110
u153-110
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (5-7)
Missouri State Bears (4-5)
30.3%
69.7%
+186
-215
+190
-215
+5-110
-4½-115
+5-109
-5-109
72.5
78.4
150.9
o144-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Valparaiso Beacons (6-4)
Northwestern Wildcats (6-4)
6.1%
93.9%
+1011
-1900
+1100
-1700
+16½-105
-16½-108
+16½-109
-16½-109
66.0
82.0
148.0
o143½-110
u144-110
o144-110
u144½-110
Northern Colorado Bears (9-1)
Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-3)
2.7%
97.3%

+2400
-7000
+24½-110
-24-110
+24-109
-24-109
68.4
90.2
158.6
o152-104
u151½-110
o151½-110
u152-110
ETSU Buccaneers (8-3)
UNC Tar Heels (9-1)
1.7%
98.3%
+1096
-1800
+1100
-1800
+17-106
-17-110
+17-110
-16½-109
62.6
87.4
150.0
o150-115
u151-105
o150-110
u150½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Butler Bulldogs (8-2)
Connecticut Huskies (10-1)
4.7%
95.3%
+950
-1600
+900
-1400
+15-110
-15-109
+15-109
-14½-110
66.7
84.1
150.8
o145½-110
u146½-110
o145½-110
u147½-110
All Bet Values Active
Towson Tigers (6-4)
Kansas Jayhawks (8-3)
3.4%
96.6%
+979
-1700
+1000
-1600
+16-105
-16-110
+16½-110
-16-109
58.4
78.5
136.9
o134½-115
u135-105
o134-110
u135-110
Pacific Tigers (8-3)
Brigham Young Cougars (9-1)
1.8%
98.2%

+2600
-7500
+23½-105
-24+100
+24-110
-23½-109
61.8
86.4
148.2
o148½-104
u147½-105
o147½-110
u148-110
Abilene Christian Wildcats (7-3)
Arizona Wildcats (9-0)
0.3%
99.7%


+34-110
-33½-115
+34½-110
-34-109
56.6
93.2
149.8
o144+100
u144-110
o142½-110
u144-110
Queens Royals (5-6)
Arkansas Razorbacks (8-2)
0.8%
99.2%

+2600
-8000
+24-110
-23½-110
+24-109
-24-109
70.0
99.5
169.5
o171-105
u171-110
o171½-110
u171½-110
Southern University Jaguars (4-6)
California Baptist Lancers (8-3)
11.2%
88.8%
+550
-850
+625
-800
+12-110
-12-110
+12½-110
-12-109
68.4
80.4
148.8
o154-105
u154½-110
o154-110
u154½-110
Montana State Bobcats (4-7)
Cal Poly Mustangs (5-6)
52.5%
47.5%
-155
+136
-155
+140
-2½-110
+3-110
-3-109
+3-109
80.8
79.8
160.6
o159-103
u159-110
o159½-110
u160½-110
UC San Diego Tritons (9-1)
Loyola Marymount Lions (7-3)
55.0%
45.0%
-118
+104
-120
+105
-1-110
+1-105
-1-109
+1-109
73.6
71.7
145.3
o146-110
u147-110
o146-110
u147½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 15, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pacific Tigers
California Golden Bears
10.5%
89.5%
+320
-370
+330
-400
+8-110
-8-105
+8-109
-7½-110
61
67
-0.26425-0.25519-0.11081
Omaha Mavericks
Portland State Vikings
24.6%
75.4%
+600
-700
+525
-650
+13-110
-12½-110
+12½-109
-11½-110
60
55
-1.96362-1.85893-1.40283
UMKC Kangarros
Eastern Washington Eagles
26.5%
73.5%
+370
-470
+400
-480
+9½-110
-9½-110
+10-110
-9½-109
66
90
-0.22955-0.21645-0.30824
Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado State Rams
46.5%
53.5%
+110
-125
+115
-130
+2-112
-1½-110
+2-109
-1½-110
86
91
-0.61904-0.60042-0.62470
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Oregon State Beavers
13.0%
87.0%
+561
-714
+550
-600
+11-110
-11-101
+11½-110
-10½-109
70
81
-0.15912-0.16509-0.13933
Vermont Catamounts
Pepperdine Waves
50.7%
49.3%
-120
+100
-120
+110
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+2-109
65
56
-0.65059-0.62755-0.67863
Sam Houston State Bearkats
Texas Southern Tigers
73.1%
26.9%
-310
+255
-255
+270
-7-105
+7½-110
-6-110
+7½-110
82
70
-0.31667-0.31937-0.31341
LIU Sharks
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
54.8%
45.2%
-115
-104
-115
+125
-1-110
+1-110
-1-110
+2½-110
87
82
-0.66943-0.60482-0.60164
Temple Owls
Saint Joseph's Hawks
49.8%
50.2%
-130
+115
-130
+125
-2½+100
+2-110
-2-109
+2½-110
69
70
-0.79536-0.82055-0.68892
Baylor Bears
Memphis Tigers
60.7%
39.3%
-155
+140
-155
+140
-3-110
+3½-110
-3-109
+3½-110
71
78
-0.89968-0.89968-0.93377
SE Missouri State Redhawks
Chattanooga Mocs
29.2%
70.8%
+156
-175
+160
-170
+3½-110
-3-112
+3½-109
-3½-109
74
70
-0.96664-0.96964-1.22994
Longwood Lancers
Morgan State Bears
73.9%
26.1%
-270
+220
-230
+220
-6-109
+6-110
-5-110
+6½-110
84
80
-0.35645-0.37044-0.30280
Le Moyne Dolphins
Binghamton Bearcats
59.7%
40.3%

-125
+125
-3-105
+3-110
-1½-110
+2½-109
78
63
-0.58778-0.51552
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Michigan Wolverines
4.0%
96.0%

+2500
-7500
+25-105
-25-110
+25-109
-25-109
60
101
-0.03823-0.04084
Maryland Terrapins
Iowa Hawkeyes
21.2%
78.8%
+470
-600
+525
-700
+11-110
-10½-110
+11-109
-11-109
64
83
-0.18621-0.16793-0.23861
New Mexico State Aggies
Abilene Christian Wildcats
62.9%
37.1%
-120
+105
-125
+110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-109
+2-110
69
77
-0.75056-0.77319-0.99048
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks193121-46 (0.694)26-0.52493 
Sportsbooks193125-47 (0.702)21-0.51870 
DRatings193145-48 (0.751)0-0.46034
0.06458
0.05836

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.