2021-22 Fall FCS Playoff Projections


The road to Frisco, the home of the 2021-2022 Fall FCS National Championship game, starts on November 21st, 2021 with the Selection Show. On that day, twenty-four teams will be given the opportunity to work their way through the bracket to win a National Championship. Here, we attempt to project the FCS Playoff bracket to find out who those teams are. Of the fifteen FCS conferences, ten are awarded automatic bids as conference champions. One, the AQ7, is a combination of the WAC and A-Sun conferences which gets one more auto-bid. The other thirteen teams come from an at at-large pool of the best of the rest non-conference champions.

For more reading, see our FCS College Football Ratings and our CFB game predictions.

We’ve analyzed the teams and understand how the selection process works, so below is our projected FCS Playoff field for the year. In preseason, this list is mostly a crap-shoot, however, as more games are played we will be able to more accurately predict where the FCS teams will land in the bracket.

Our FCS Playoff Bracket attempts to analyze everything that the selection committee would look at. This includes record, conference record, conference championships, strength of schedules, big wins, RPI and more. Remember, this list is not who we think should make the tournament, but who we think the committee will select to make the tournament.

Updated on 11/21/2021 @ 8:05am EST.

FCS Playoff Bracket Projection

Seed Team Record Conference
1 Sam Houston St 10-0 Western Athletic
SF Austin 8-3 Western Athletic
Incarnate Word 9-2 Southland
8 Missouri St 8-3 Missouri Valley
S Illinois 7-4 Missouri Valley
Sacred Heart 8-3 Northeast
5 E Washington 9-2 Big Sky
UC Davis 8-3 Big Sky
Northern Iowa 6-5 Missouri Valley
4 CS Sacramento 9-2 Big Sky
South Dakota 7-4 Missouri Valley
Florida A&M 8-2 Southwestern Athletic
3 James Madison 10-1 Colonial
ETSU 9-1 Southern
TN Martin 9-2 Ohio Valley
6 Villanova 9-2 Colonial
Kennesaw 10-1 Big South
Holy Cross 9-2 Patriot
2 N Dakota St 10-1 Missouri Valley
S Dakota St 8-3 Missouri Valley
SE Louisiana 8-3 Southland
7 Montana 9-2 Big Sky
Montana St 9-2 Big Sky
Davidson 8-2 Pioneer

Just missing the cut, here are our last four out…

Seed Team Record Conference
L1 Weber St 6-5 Big Sky
L2 E Kentucky 7-4 Atlantic Sun
L3 Rhode Island 7-4 Colonial
L4 William & Mary 6-5 Colonial

FCS Projected Automatic Bids

As mentioned above, there are ten teams that are awarded automatic bids due to being a conference champion. In both the SWAC and MEAC, the conference champions play in the Celebration Bowl. However, teams that are not winners of those conferences are still eligible to make the FCS Playoff. The Ivy League is the only FCS conference that completely sits out of the playoff.

Conference Projected Bids Projected Auto Bid
Big Sky 5 CS Sacramento
Big South 1 Kennesaw
Colonial 2 Villanova
FCS Independents 0 No Auto Bid
Missouri Valley 6 N Dakota St
Northeast 1 Sacred Heart
Ohio Valley 1 TN Martin
Patriot 1 Holy Cross
Pioneer 1 Davidson
Southern 1 ETSU
Southland 2 Incarnate Word
Western Athletic 2 Sam Houston St
Southwestern Athletic 1 No Auto Bid
Mid-Eastern Athletic  0 No Auto Bid
Atlantic Sun 0 No Auto Bid
Ivy League 0 No Auto Bid