2022-23 FCS Playoff Projections

The road to Frisco, the home of the 2022-2023 Fall FCS National Championship game, starts on November 20th, 2021 with the Selection Show. On that day, twenty-four teams will be given the opportunity to work their way through the bracket to win a National Championship. Here, we attempt to project the FCS Playoff bracket to find out who those teams are. Of the fifteen FCS conferences, ten are awarded automatic bids as conference champions. One, the AQ7, is a combination of the WAC and A-Sun conferences which gets one more auto-bid. The other thirteen teams come from an at at-large pool of the best of the rest non-conference champions.

For more reading, see our FCS College Football Ratings and our CFB game predictions.

We’ve analyzed the teams and understand how the selection process works, so below is our projected FCS Playoff field for the year. In preseason, this list is mostly a crap-shoot, however, as more games are played we will be able to more accurately predict where the FCS teams will land in the bracket.

Our FCS Playoff Bracket attempts to analyze everything that the selection committee would look at. This includes record, conference record, conference championships, strength of schedules, big wins, RPI and more. Remember, this list is not who we think should make the tournament, but who we think the committee will select to make the tournament.

Updated on 9/26/2022 @ 12:05pm EST.

FCS Playoff Bracket Projection

Seed Team Record Conference
1 N Dakota St 3-1 Missouri Valley
TN Martin 2-2 Ohio Valley
S Illinois 2-2 Missouri Valley
8 Incarnate Word 3-1 Southland
E Washington 1-2 Big Sky
Davidson 3-1 Pioneer
5 Montana St 3-1 Big Sky
Holy Cross 4-0 Patriot
SE Louisiana 2-2 Southland
4 CS Sacramento 3-0 Big Sky
Jackson St 4-0 Southwestern Athletic
Delaware 4-0 Colonial
3 S Dakota St 3-1 Missouri Valley
Chattanooga 3-1 Southern
SF Austin 2-2 Western Athletic
6 Missouri St 2-2 Missouri Valley
Villanova 2-2 Colonial
NC A&T 1-3 Big South
2 Montana 4-0 Big Sky
Richmond 3-1 Colonial
William & Mary 3-1 Colonial
7 Weber St 4-0 Big Sky
Northern Iowa 1-3 Missouri Valley
Sacred Heart 2-2 Northeast

Just missing the cut, here are our last four out…

Seed Team Record Conference
L1 Austin Peay 4-1 Atlantic Sun
L2 Furman 3-1 Southern
L3 Youngstown St 2-1 Missouri Valley
L4 Elon 3-1 Colonial

FCS Projected Automatic Bids

As mentioned above, there are ten teams that are awarded automatic bids due to being a conference champion. In both the SWAC and MEAC, the conference champions play in the Celebration Bowl. However, teams that are not winners of those conferences are still eligible to make the FCS Playoff. The Ivy League is the only FCS conference that completely sits out of the playoff.

Conference Projected Bids Projected Auto Bid
Big Sky 5 Montana
Big South 1 NC A&T
Colonial 4 Richomnd
FCS Independents 0 No Auto Bid
Missouri Valley 5 N Dakota St
Northeast 1 Sacred Heart
Ohio Valley 1 TN Martin
Patriot 1 Holy Cross
Pioneer 1 Davidson
Southern 1 Chattanooga
Southland 2 SE Louisiana
Western Athletic 1 SF Austin
Southwestern Athletic 1 No Auto Bid
Mid-Eastern Athletic  0 No Auto Bid
Atlantic Sun 0 No Auto Bid
Ivy League 0 No Auto Bid