NAC Breda at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

NAC Breda

16.2%19.1%64.6%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.04Projected Goals 2.25
0Final Score 3

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard
L 3-1 vs Zwolle
T 1-1 at AZ Alkmaar
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles
L 1-3 at Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 3-0 at Ajax
T 1-1 vs Willem II
L 0-1 at Heerenveen
W 1-2 vs RKC Waalwijk
L 0-2 at Sparta Rotterdam

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+199+611+575+600+602+600+611+649.7
NEC Nijmegen+125-222-235-240-240-240-222-193.4
Draw+230+376+340+350+373+350+376+381.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+649.7
NEC Nijmegen------193.4
Draw-----+381.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 10.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +614 to +602
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -220 to -235

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o3+103o3+102o2¾-125o3-101o2¾-125o2¾-125o2¾-114
Underu2½-118u3-121u3-122u2¾+105u3-119u2¾+105u3-119u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-114
Under-----u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.8%
 
No42.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.74%
Exactly 220.19%
Exactly 418.17%
Exactly 66.55%
Exactly 81.26%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.28%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 511.95%
Exactly 73.07%
Exactly 90.46%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 035.38%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.10%
Exactly 36.61%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 010.56%
Exactly 123.74%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 320.00%
Exactly 411.24%
Exactly 55.05%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.83%
Exactly 225.28%
Exactly 44.88%
Exactly 60.38%
 
Exactly 133.22%
Exactly 312.82%
Exactly 51.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 061.81%
Exactly 129.73%
Exactly 27.15%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 035.32%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.13%
Exactly 36.64%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals5.62%
Wins by 3+ goals1.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals41.73%
Wins by 3+ goals22.42%
Wins by 4+ goals10.11%
Wins by 5+ goals3.88%
Wins by 6+ goals1.26%
Wins by 7+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal10.56%
Wins by 2 goals4.12%
Wins by 3 goals1.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal22.86%
Wins by 2 goals19.31%
Wins by 3 goals12.31%
Wins by 4 goals6.24%
Wins by 5 goals2.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.93%
Wins by 7 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.26%3.74%
1.583.98%16.02%
2.563.80%36.20%
3.541.68%58.32%
4.523.50%76.50%
5.511.56%88.44%
6.55.01%94.99%
7.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.62%35.38%
1.527.86%72.14%
2.58.76%91.24%
3.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.44%10.56%
1.565.70%34.30%
2.539.01%60.99%
3.519.02%80.98%
4.57.78%92.22%
5.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.17%21.83%
1.544.95%55.05%
2.519.67%80.33%
3.56.84%93.16%
4.51.96%98.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
3.74%
8.40%
9.44%
7.08%
3.98%
1.79%
1
3.88%
8.73%
9.81%
7.35%
4.13%
1.86%
2
2.02%
4.53%
5.10%
3.82%
2.15%
0.96%
3
0.70%
1.57%
1.76%
1.32%
0.74%
0.33%
4
0.18%
0.41%
0.46%
0.34%
0.19%
0.09%
NAC Breda
1-03.88%
2-02.02%
2-14.53%
3-00.70%
3-11.57%
3-21.76%
4-00.18%
4-10.41%
4-20.46%
4-30.34%
Draw
0-03.74%
1-18.73%
2-25.10%
3-31.32%
4-40.19%
NEC Nijmegen
0-18.40%
0-29.44%
1-29.81%
0-37.08%
1-37.35%
2-33.82%
0-43.98%
1-44.13%
2-42.15%
3-40.74%
0-51.79%
1-51.86%
2-50.96%
3-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
21.83%
22.72%
11.83%
4.10%
1.07%
0.22%
1
10.50%
10.93%
5.69%
1.97%
0.51%
0.11%
2
2.53%
2.63%
1.37%
0.47%
0.12%
0.03%
3
0.40%
0.42%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
NAC Breda
1-010.50%
2-02.53%
2-12.63%
3-00.40%
3-10.42%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-021.83%
1-110.93%
2-21.37%
NEC Nijmegen
0-122.72%
0-211.83%
1-25.69%
0-34.10%
1-31.97%
2-30.47%
0-41.07%
1-40.51%
2-40.12%
0-50.22%
1-50.11%
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