NEC Nijmegen at Twente

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

16.9%21.6%61.5%
WinDrawTwente Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.93
2Final Score 3

Twente

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 2-1 at Heracles Almelo
W 0-3 vs NAC Breda
W 3-0 at Ajax
T 1-1 vs Willem II
L 0-1 at Heerenveen
Twente
Money Line
L 0-2 at Ajax
L 3-2 vs AZ Alkmaar
W 0-2 vs Utrecht
W 2-0 at Sparta Rotterdam
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+400+347+350+345+350+345+350+377.5
Twente-153-130-140-145-142-145-130-123.0
Draw+325+299+275+290+297+290+299+318.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen-----+377.5
Twente------123.0
Draw-----+318.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Twente: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +349 to +342
Twente ML moved from -133 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+120o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-116o2¾-115o3+120o2¾-104
Underu3-111u3-141u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-104u2¾-105u2¾-104u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-119 to u3-145

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%
 
No49.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.91%
Exactly 223.64%
Exactly 415.76%
Exactly 64.20%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.72%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.92%
Exactly 71.70%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 040.67%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 216.46%
Exactly 34.93%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 014.53%
Exactly 128.03%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.38%
Exactly 48.38%
Exactly 53.23%
Exactly 61.04%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.99%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 43.31%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 310.10%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 065.94%
Exactly 127.46%
Exactly 25.72%
Exactly 30.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 040.94%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.33%
Exactly 34.86%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals5.44%
Wins by 3+ goals1.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals36.79%
Wins by 3+ goals17.89%
Wins by 4+ goals7.16%
Wins by 5+ goals2.39%
Wins by 6+ goals0.64%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Twente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal11.47%
Wins by 2 goals4.11%
Wins by 3 goals1.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal24.60%
Wins by 2 goals18.91%
Wins by 3 goals10.72%
Wins by 4 goals4.78%
Wins by 5 goals1.74%
Wins by 6 goals0.53%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.09%5.91%
1.577.37%22.63%
2.553.73%46.27%
3.531.44%68.56%
4.515.68%84.32%
5.56.76%93.24%
6.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.33%40.67%
1.522.74%77.26%
2.56.28%93.72%
3.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.47%14.53%
1.557.44%42.56%
2.530.41%69.59%
3.513.03%86.97%
4.54.65%95.35%
5.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.01%26.99%
1.537.65%62.35%
2.514.51%85.49%
3.54.41%95.59%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Score012345
0
5.91%
11.40%
11.00%
7.07%
3.41%
1.31%
1
5.32%
10.26%
9.89%
6.36%
3.07%
1.18%
2
2.39%
4.61%
4.45%
2.86%
1.38%
0.53%
3
0.72%
1.38%
1.33%
0.86%
0.41%
0.16%
4
0.16%
0.31%
0.30%
0.19%
0.09%
0.04%
NEC Nijmegen
1-05.32%
2-02.39%
2-14.61%
3-00.72%
3-11.38%
3-21.33%
4-00.16%
4-10.31%
4-20.30%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-05.91%
1-110.26%
2-24.45%
3-30.86%
Twente
0-111.40%
0-211.00%
1-29.89%
0-37.07%
1-36.36%
2-32.86%
0-43.41%
1-43.07%
2-41.38%
3-40.41%
0-51.31%
1-51.18%
2-50.53%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Score012345
0
26.99%
24.11%
10.76%
3.20%
0.72%
0.13%
1
11.24%
10.04%
4.48%
1.33%
0.30%
0.05%
2
2.34%
2.09%
0.93%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.33%
0.29%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-011.24%
2-02.34%
2-12.09%
3-00.33%
3-10.29%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-026.99%
1-110.04%
2-20.93%
Twente
0-124.11%
0-210.76%
1-24.48%
0-33.20%
1-31.33%
2-30.28%
0-40.72%
1-40.30%
0-50.13%