NEC Nijmegen at Zwolle

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

43.8%25.6%30.7%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawZwolle Win
1.53Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 1

Zwolle

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+780
T 0-0 vs Heracles Almelo+150
W 1-0 at Willem II+175
W 2-0 at Go Ahead Eagles+210
L 2-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+875
Zwolle
Money Line
W 1-0 at Heerenveen+200
W 0-2 vs Willem II+150
L 0-1 at Vitesse+525
L 3-1 vs Twente+245
L 1-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+200+290+290+304-+290+304+316.0
Zwolle+140-110-119-106--119-106-103.5
Draw+210+250+285+276-+285+285+298.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+220----+300+300+316.0
Zwolle+120-----115-115-103.5
Draw+255----+275+275+298.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 50.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +260 to +250
Zwolle ML moved from -113 to -119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 50.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
Zwolle ML moved from +100 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2¾+102o2½-126o2½-120-o2½-126o2½-120o2¾+112
Underu2½-122u2¾-122u2½+106u2½+105-u2½+106u2¾-122u2¾-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+112
Under-----u2¾-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.41%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 414.16%
Exactly 63.20%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.28%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.37%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 021.64%
Exactly 133.12%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 312.93%
Exactly 44.95%
Exactly 51.52%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 034.22%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.67%
Exactly 37.03%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.96%
Exactly 221.76%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.74%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 049.23%
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 212.36%
Exactly 32.92%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 060.87%
Exactly 130.22%
Exactly 27.50%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals24.20%
Wins by 3+ goals9.69%
Wins by 4+ goals3.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.79%
Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals9.99%
Wins by 3+ goals2.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.63%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Zwolle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal23.56%
Wins by 2 goals14.51%
Wins by 3 goals6.57%
Wins by 4 goals2.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.66%
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal16.50%
Wins by 2 goals7.12%
Wins by 3 goals2.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.59%7.41%
1.573.32%26.68%
2.548.23%51.77%
3.526.46%73.54%
4.512.30%87.70%
5.54.93%95.07%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.36%21.64%
1.545.24%54.76%
2.519.89%80.11%
3.56.96%93.04%
4.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.78%34.22%
1.529.08%70.92%
2.59.41%90.59%
3.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.04%29.96%
1.533.92%66.08%
2.512.16%87.84%
3.53.42%96.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Zwolle
Score01234
0
7.41%
7.94%
4.26%
1.52%
0.41%
1
11.34%
12.15%
6.52%
2.33%
0.62%
2
8.68%
9.30%
4.99%
1.78%
0.48%
3
4.43%
4.75%
2.54%
0.91%
0.24%
4
1.69%
1.82%
0.97%
0.35%
0.09%
5
0.52%
0.56%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
NEC Nijmegen
1-011.34%
2-08.68%
2-19.30%
3-04.43%
3-14.75%
3-22.54%
4-01.69%
4-11.82%
4-20.97%
4-30.35%
5-00.52%
5-10.56%
5-20.30%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.41%
1-112.15%
2-24.99%
3-30.91%
Zwolle
0-17.94%
0-24.26%
1-26.52%
0-31.52%
1-32.33%
2-31.78%
0-40.41%
1-40.62%
2-40.48%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Zwolle
Score0123
0
29.96%
14.88%
3.69%
0.61%
1
21.24%
10.54%
2.62%
0.43%
2
7.53%
3.74%
0.93%
0.15%
3
1.78%
0.88%
0.22%
0.04%
4
0.31%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-021.24%
2-07.53%
2-13.74%
3-01.78%
3-10.88%
3-20.22%
4-00.31%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-029.96%
1-110.54%
2-20.93%
Zwolle
0-114.88%
0-23.69%
1-22.62%
0-30.61%
1-30.43%
2-30.15%