AZ Alkmaar at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

29.0%23.2%47.8%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.79
2Final Score 1

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Cambuur-400
W 2-1 at Fortuna Sittard-210
W 0-1 vs Groningen-250
W 1-4 vs Willem II-410
W 2-1 at Ajax+1000
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Ajax+295
W 1-0 at Groningen-270
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles-725
W 4-1 at RKC Waalwijk-500
W 2-1 at NEC Nijmegen-390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+370+280+280--+280+280+290.3
PSV Eindhoven-140+100-115---115+100+111.6
Draw+275+235+255--+255+255+268.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+435----+355+355+290.3
PSV Eindhoven-165-----130-130+111.6
Draw+315----+275+275+268.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +280 to +270
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from +100 to -115

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
AZ Alkmaar: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 80.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +400 to +355
No Steam Moves On PSV Eindhoven ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o2½-112o2½-109o3+162-o2½-109o2½-109o2½-101
Underu3-122u2½-108u2½-111u3-177-u2½-111u2½-108u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.2%
 
No44.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.62%
Exactly 223.29%
Exactly 416.09%
Exactly 64.44%
Exactly 80.66%
 
Exactly 116.18%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.26%
Exactly 71.83%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 033.70%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.93%
Exactly 37.23%
Exactly 41.97%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 016.67%
Exactly 129.87%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 315.98%
Exactly 47.15%
Exactly 52.56%
Exactly 60.77%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.37%
Exactly 223.43%
Exactly 43.47%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 310.41%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 060.44%
Exactly 130.43%
Exactly 27.66%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 043.63%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.01%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals8.51%
Wins by 3+ goals2.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals30.17%
Wins by 3+ goals13.67%
Wins by 4+ goals5.10%
Wins by 5+ goals1.58%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal14.34%
Wins by 2 goals6.08%
Wins by 3 goals1.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal23.63%
Wins by 2 goals16.50%
Wins by 3 goals8.58%
Wins by 4 goals3.52%
Wins by 5 goals1.18%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.38%5.62%
1.578.21%21.79%
2.554.92%45.08%
3.532.57%67.43%
4.516.49%83.51%
5.57.22%92.78%
6.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.30%33.70%
1.529.65%70.35%
2.59.71%90.29%
3.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.33%16.67%
1.553.46%46.54%
2.526.71%73.29%
3.510.73%89.27%
4.53.58%96.42%
5.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.63%26.37%
1.538.48%61.52%
2.515.06%84.94%
3.54.65%95.35%
4.51.18%98.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
5.62%
10.07%
9.02%
5.38%
2.41%
0.86%
1
6.11%
10.95%
9.81%
5.86%
2.62%
0.94%
2
3.32%
5.95%
5.33%
3.18%
1.43%
0.51%
3
1.20%
2.16%
1.93%
1.15%
0.52%
0.19%
4
0.33%
0.59%
0.53%
0.31%
0.14%
0.05%
AZ Alkmaar
1-06.11%
2-03.32%
2-15.95%
3-01.20%
3-12.16%
3-21.93%
4-00.33%
4-10.59%
4-20.53%
4-30.31%
Draw
0-05.62%
1-110.95%
2-25.33%
3-31.15%
4-40.14%
PSV Eindhoven
0-110.07%
0-29.02%
1-29.81%
0-35.38%
1-35.86%
2-33.18%
0-42.41%
1-42.62%
2-41.43%
3-40.52%
0-50.86%
1-50.94%
2-50.51%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Score01234
0
26.37%
21.87%
9.07%
2.51%
0.52%
1
13.28%
11.01%
4.57%
1.26%
0.26%
2
3.34%
2.77%
1.15%
0.32%
0.07%
3
0.56%
0.47%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-013.28%
2-03.34%
2-12.77%
3-00.56%
3-10.47%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-026.37%
1-111.01%
2-21.15%
PSV Eindhoven
0-121.87%
0-29.07%
1-24.57%
0-32.51%
1-31.26%
2-30.32%
0-40.52%
1-40.26%