Utrecht at Ajax

Updated

Utrecht

23.8%23.2%53.0%
Utrecht WinDrawAjax Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.80
3Final Score 4

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Heerenveen
W 0-2 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 2-1 at Ajax
W 0-2 vs NAC Breda
L 0-5 at Excelsior
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Groningen
T 0-0 at Heerenveen
L 2-1 vs Utrecht
T 2-2 vs PSV Eindhoven
W 2-0 at NAC Breda

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+260-+220+220+214+220+220+236.9
Ajax-113-+112+118+117+118+118+129.5
Draw+290-+255+255+270+255+270+273.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht-----+236.9
Ajax-----+129.5
Draw-----+273.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +226 to +214
Ajax ML moved from +119 to +113

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102-o2¾-120o2¾-119o3+101o2¾-119o2¾-119o2¾-108
Underu3-118-u2¾+100u2¾-101u3-121u2¾-101u3-121u2¾+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-108
Under-----u2¾+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.5%
 
No43.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.36%
Exactly 222.95%
Exactly 416.37%
Exactly 64.67%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.69%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.58%
Exactly 71.95%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 032.32%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.62%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 016.59%
Exactly 129.80%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 316.03%
Exactly 47.20%
Exactly 52.59%
Exactly 60.77%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.80%
Exactly 223.68%
Exactly 43.62%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 310.69%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 059.27%
Exactly 131.00%
Exactly 28.11%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 043.53%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 215.05%
Exactly 34.17%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals9.07%
Wins by 3+ goals2.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals29.60%
Wins by 3+ goals13.39%
Wins by 4+ goals4.99%
Wins by 5+ goals1.55%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal14.67%
Wins by 2 goals6.40%
Wins by 3 goals2.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.33%
Wins by 2 goals16.20%
Wins by 3 goals8.40%
Wins by 4 goals3.44%
Wins by 5 goals1.16%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.64%5.36%
1.578.95%21.05%
2.556.00%44.00%
3.533.61%66.39%
4.517.24%82.76%
5.57.66%92.34%
6.52.99%97.01%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.68%32.32%
1.531.18%68.82%
2.510.56%89.44%
3.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.41%16.59%
1.553.60%46.40%
2.526.84%73.16%
3.510.81%89.19%
4.53.61%96.39%
5.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.20%25.80%
1.539.24%60.76%
2.515.56%84.44%
3.54.87%95.13%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Ajax
Score012345
0
5.36%
9.63%
8.65%
5.18%
2.33%
0.84%
1
6.06%
10.88%
9.77%
5.85%
2.63%
0.94%
2
3.42%
6.14%
5.52%
3.30%
1.48%
0.53%
3
1.29%
2.31%
2.08%
1.24%
0.56%
0.20%
4
0.36%
0.65%
0.59%
0.35%
0.16%
0.06%
Utrecht
1-06.06%
2-03.42%
2-16.14%
3-01.29%
3-12.31%
3-22.08%
4-00.36%
4-10.65%
4-20.59%
4-30.35%
Draw
0-05.36%
1-110.88%
2-25.52%
3-31.24%
4-40.16%
Ajax
0-19.63%
0-28.65%
1-29.77%
0-35.18%
1-35.85%
2-33.30%
0-42.33%
1-42.63%
2-41.48%
3-40.56%
0-50.84%
1-50.94%
2-50.53%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Ajax
Score01234
0
25.80%
21.46%
8.92%
2.47%
0.51%
1
13.50%
11.22%
4.67%
1.29%
0.27%
2
3.53%
2.93%
1.22%
0.34%
0.07%
3
0.62%
0.51%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-013.50%
2-03.53%
2-12.93%
3-00.62%
3-10.51%
3-20.21%
Draw
0-025.80%
1-111.22%
2-21.22%
Ajax
0-121.46%
0-28.92%
1-24.67%
0-32.47%
1-31.29%
2-30.34%
0-40.51%
1-40.27%