PSV Eindhoven at Ajax

Updated

PSV Eindhoven

43.6%24.9%31.4%
PSV Eindhoven WinDrawAjax Win
1.55Projected Goals 1.27
2Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Zwolle
W 2-0 at Sparta Rotterdam
W 3-4 vs Utrecht
L 1-3 at Telstar
L 3-2 vs NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
Money Line
W 2-0 at NAC Breda
W 3-0 at Heracles Almelo
L 2-1 vs Twente
T 1-1 at Feyenoord
W 0-4 vs Sparta Rotterdam

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven+152-+156+156+156+156+156+169.7
Ajax+138-+139+144+144+144+144+157.1
Draw+295-+295+295+295+295+295+316.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven-----+169.7
Ajax-----+157.1
Draw-----+316.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from +164 to +156
Ajax ML moved from +140 to +132

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾+106-o3½-112o3½-115o3½-115o3½-115o3½-112o3½-104
Underu3¾-126-u3½-108u3½-105u3½-105u3½-105u3½-105u3½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-104
Under-----u3½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.7%
 
No43.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.96%
Exactly 223.70%
Exactly 415.70%
Exactly 64.16%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.81%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.86%
Exactly 71.68%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 021.33%
Exactly 132.96%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 313.11%
Exactly 45.06%
Exactly 51.56%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 027.95%
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 222.71%
Exactly 39.65%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.10%
Exactly 223.10%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 310.05%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 048.90%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.51%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 055.42%
Exactly 132.71%
Exactly 29.65%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals21.72%
Wins by 3+ goals8.62%
Wins by 4+ goals2.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.69%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals13.42%
Wins by 3+ goals4.51%
Wins by 4+ goals1.21%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal21.80%
Wins by 2 goals13.10%
Wins by 3 goals5.86%
Wins by 4 goals2.06%
Wins by 5 goals0.58%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal17.99%
Wins by 2 goals8.92%
Wins by 3 goals3.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.04%5.96%
1.577.22%22.78%
2.553.52%46.48%
3.531.24%68.76%
4.515.54%84.46%
5.56.68%93.32%
6.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.67%21.33%
1.545.71%54.29%
2.520.25%79.75%
3.57.14%92.86%
4.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.05%27.95%
1.536.42%63.58%
2.513.71%86.29%
3.54.06%95.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.90%27.10%
1.537.51%62.49%
2.514.42%85.58%
3.54.36%95.64%
4.51.08%98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Score012345
0
5.96%
7.60%
4.84%
2.06%
0.66%
0.17%
1
9.21%
11.74%
7.48%
3.18%
1.01%
0.26%
2
7.12%
9.07%
5.78%
2.46%
0.78%
0.20%
3
3.67%
4.67%
2.98%
1.27%
0.40%
0.10%
4
1.42%
1.80%
1.15%
0.49%
0.16%
0.04%
5
0.44%
0.56%
0.36%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
PSV Eindhoven
1-09.21%
2-07.12%
2-19.07%
3-03.67%
3-14.67%
3-22.98%
4-01.42%
4-11.80%
4-21.15%
4-30.49%
5-00.44%
5-10.56%
5-20.36%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-05.96%
1-111.74%
2-25.78%
3-31.27%
4-40.16%
Ajax
0-17.60%
0-24.84%
1-27.48%
0-32.06%
1-33.18%
2-32.46%
0-40.66%
1-41.01%
2-40.78%
3-40.40%
0-50.17%
1-50.26%
2-50.20%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Score01234
0
27.10%
16.00%
4.72%
0.93%
0.14%
1
19.39%
11.44%
3.38%
0.66%
0.10%
2
6.93%
4.09%
1.21%
0.24%
0.04%
3
1.65%
0.98%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.30%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
PSV Eindhoven
1-019.39%
2-06.93%
2-14.09%
3-01.65%
3-10.98%
3-20.29%
4-00.30%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-027.10%
1-111.44%
2-21.21%
Ajax
0-116.00%
0-24.72%
1-23.38%
0-30.93%
1-30.66%
2-30.24%
0-40.14%