Groningen at Ajax

Updated

Groningen

4.5%10.8%84.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.54Projected Goals 2.87
1Final Score 6

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Volendam-130
L 3-2 vs Cambuur-150
L 0-3 at Twente+620
L 2-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+110
L 1-3 at RKC Waalwijk+160
Ajax
Money Line
W 3-2 at Fortuna Sittard-415
T 2-2 at Vitesse-190
W 0-5 vs Heerenveen-650
T 2-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
W 0-3 vs Zwolle-650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+1400+1510+1500+1500+1377+1500+1510+1616.9
Ajax-675-597-725-700-660-700-597-507.3
Draw+700+724+700+800+760+800+800+839.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+1375----+1500+1500+1616.9
Ajax-650-----650-650-507.3
Draw+750----+725+725+839.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +1456 to +1395
Ajax ML moved from -590 to -597

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +1500 to +1300
Ajax ML moved from -600 to -650

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-118o4+102o3¾-122o4+100-o4+100o3¾-122o3½-125
Underu3½-102u4-120u3¾+102u4-120-u4-120u4-120u3½+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-125
Under-----u3½+125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-125 to o3¾-113
The Under moved from u4-137 to u3½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.5%
 
No60.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.29%
Exactly 219.18%
Exactly 418.63%
Exactly 67.24%
Exactly 81.51%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.24%
Exactly 321.83%
Exactly 512.72%
Exactly 73.53%
Exactly 90.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 058.10%
Exactly 131.55%
Exactly 28.57%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.67%
Exactly 116.27%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 416.03%
Exactly 59.20%
Exactly 64.40%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 80.65%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.59%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 45.35%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 313.55%
Exactly 51.69%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 077.77%
Exactly 119.55%
Exactly 22.46%
Exactly 30.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 026.47%
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 223.38%
Exactly 310.36%
Exactly 43.44%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals0.92%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals65.58%
Wins by 3+ goals43.44%
Wins by 4+ goals24.55%
Wins by 5+ goals11.92%
Wins by 6+ goals5.02%
Wins by 7+ goals1.83%
Wins by 8+ goals0.56%
Wins by 9+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal3.59%
Wins by 2 goals0.79%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.00%
Wins by 2 goals22.14%
Wins by 3 goals18.90%
Wins by 4 goals12.62%
Wins by 5 goals6.90%
Wins by 6 goals3.19%
Wins by 7 goals1.27%
Wins by 8 goals0.44%
Wins by 9 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.71%3.29%
1.585.47%14.53%
2.566.29%33.71%
3.544.46%55.54%
4.525.84%74.16%
5.513.12%86.88%
6.55.88%94.12%
7.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.90%58.10%
1.510.35%89.65%
2.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.33%5.67%
1.578.07%21.93%
2.554.72%45.28%
3.532.38%67.62%
4.516.35%83.65%
5.57.14%92.86%
6.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.41%20.59%
1.546.88%53.12%
2.521.16%78.84%
3.57.62%92.38%
4.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.29%
9.45%
13.56%
12.98%
9.31%
5.35%
1
1.79%
5.13%
7.37%
7.05%
5.06%
2.90%
2
0.49%
1.39%
2.00%
1.91%
1.37%
0.79%
Groningen
1-01.79%
2-00.49%
2-11.39%
Draw
0-03.29%
1-15.13%
2-22.00%
3-30.35%
Ajax
0-19.45%
0-213.56%
1-27.37%
0-312.98%
1-37.05%
2-31.91%
0-49.31%
1-45.06%
2-41.37%
3-40.25%
0-55.35%
1-52.90%
2-50.79%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Ajax
Score0123456
0
20.59%
27.36%
18.18%
8.06%
2.68%
0.71%
0.16%
1
5.18%
6.88%
4.57%
2.03%
0.67%
0.18%
0.04%
2
0.65%
0.86%
0.57%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Groningen
1-05.18%
2-00.65%
2-10.86%
Draw
0-020.59%
1-16.88%
2-20.57%
Ajax
0-127.36%
0-218.18%
1-24.57%
0-38.06%
1-32.03%
2-30.25%
0-42.68%
1-40.67%
0-50.71%
1-50.18%
0-60.16%
NEC Nijmegen at Volendam
Fortuna Sittard at Twente