Heerenveen at Ajax

Updated

Heerenveen

2.5%6.6%90.9%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.52Projected Goals 3.56
0Final Score 5

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 2-1 at Vitesse+320
T 3-3 vs Cambuur-135
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+750
W 1-3 vs Groningen+125
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+235
Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
W 0-3 vs Zwolle-650
W 1-0 at NEC Nijmegen-400
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-1100
W 3-1 at Groningen-450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+1600+1300+1250+1684+1460+1250+1684+1478.8
Ajax-800-675-625-668-701-625-625-476.8
Draw+775+700+750+825+771+750+825+808.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+1400----+1300+1300+1478.8
Ajax-675-----650-650-476.8
Draw+800----+775+775+808.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +1440 to +1424
Ajax ML moved from -637 to -673

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +1550 to +1300
Ajax ML moved from -600 to -650

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-112o4+102o3¾-119o4+106-o3¾-119o3¾-119o4+109
Underu3¾-108u4-122u3¾-101u4-121-u3¾-101u4-121u4-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4+109
Under-----u4-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-115 to o4-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.3%
 
No60.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.69%
Exactly 214.09%
Exactly 419.52%
Exactly 610.82%
Exactly 83.21%
Exactly 100.59%
 
Exactly 16.91%
Exactly 319.15%
Exactly 515.92%
Exactly 76.30%
Exactly 91.46%
Exactly 110.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 059.56%
Exactly 130.86%
Exactly 28.00%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 02.85%
Exactly 110.13%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 321.39%
Exactly 419.03%
Exactly 513.55%
Exactly 68.04%
Exactly 74.09%
Exactly 81.82%
Exactly 90.72%
Exactly 100.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.14%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 48.01%
Exactly 60.95%
 
Exactly 128.58%
Exactly 316.98%
Exactly 53.03%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 078.67%
Exactly 118.88%
Exactly 22.26%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 019.24%
Exactly 131.71%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 314.35%
Exactly 45.91%
Exactly 51.95%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals0.46%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals77.24%
Wins by 3+ goals58.18%
Wins by 4+ goals38.36%
Wins by 5+ goals22.15%
Wins by 6+ goals11.24%
Wins by 7+ goals5.04%
Wins by 8+ goals1.98%
Wins by 9+ goals0.66%
Wins by 10+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal1.98%
Wins by 2 goals0.40%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal13.59%
Wins by 2 goals19.06%
Wins by 3 goals19.81%
Wins by 4 goals16.22%
Wins by 5 goals10.90%
Wins by 6 goals6.20%
Wins by 7 goals3.06%
Wins by 8 goals1.33%
Wins by 9 goals0.51%
Wins by 10 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.31%1.69%
1.591.39%8.61%
2.577.30%22.70%
3.558.15%41.85%
4.538.63%61.37%
5.522.71%77.29%
6.511.89%88.11%
7.55.59%94.41%
8.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.44%59.56%
1.59.58%90.42%
2.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.15%2.85%
1.587.02%12.98%
2.569.00%31.00%
3.547.61%52.39%
4.528.58%71.42%
5.515.03%84.97%
6.57.00%93.00%
7.52.91%97.09%
8.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.86%15.14%
1.556.28%43.72%
2.529.30%70.70%
3.512.32%87.68%
4.54.31%95.69%
5.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score012345
0
1.69%
6.03%
10.74%
12.74%
11.33%
8.07%
1
0.88%
3.13%
5.56%
6.60%
5.87%
4.18%
2
0.23%
0.81%
1.44%
1.71%
1.52%
1.08%
Heerenveen
1-00.88%
2-00.23%
2-10.81%
Draw
0-01.69%
1-13.13%
2-21.44%
3-30.30%
Ajax
0-16.03%
0-210.74%
1-25.56%
0-312.74%
1-36.60%
2-31.71%
0-411.33%
1-45.87%
2-41.52%
3-40.26%
0-58.07%
1-54.18%
2-51.08%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score0123456
0
15.14%
24.95%
20.56%
11.29%
4.65%
1.53%
0.42%
1
3.63%
5.99%
4.93%
2.71%
1.12%
0.37%
0.10%
2
0.44%
0.72%
0.59%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Heerenveen
1-03.63%
2-00.44%
2-10.72%
Draw
0-015.14%
1-15.99%
2-20.59%
Ajax
0-124.95%
0-220.56%
1-24.93%
0-311.29%
1-32.71%
2-30.33%
0-44.65%
1-41.12%
2-40.13%
0-51.53%
1-50.37%
0-60.42%
1-60.10%