Ajax at Groningen

Updated

Ajax

77.0%15.1%7.9%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.45Projected Goals 0.65
3Final Score 1

Groningen

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Feyenoord-210
W 3-2 at Cambuur-750
W 2-3 vs RKC Waalwijk
L 1-2 at Go Ahead Eagles-600
W 1-0 at Willem II-775
Groningen
Money Line
W 3-1 at Utrecht+350
W 3-4 vs NEC Nijmegen-110
T 1-1 at Feyenoord+1200
W 0-1 vs Willem II-135
T 1-1 at Zwolle+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-480-335-370-368-374-370-335-302.3
Groningen+1138+800+950+1034+915+950+1034+1051.2
Draw+559+425+490+515+479+490+515+518.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-400-----450-450-302.3
Groningen+1050----+1100+1100+1051.2
Draw+510----+560+560+518.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -370 to -385
Groningen ML moved from +1015 to +915

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Groningen: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -400 to -450
No Steam Moves On Groningen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-110o3-115o3-118o3-116-o3-118o3-115o3-109
Underu3¼-110u3-105u3-102u3+101-u3-102u3+101u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-109
Under-----u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-111 to u3-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.8%
 
No56.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.48%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 417.36%
Exactly 65.58%
Exactly 80.96%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.92%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.78%
Exactly 72.47%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 08.61%
Exactly 121.11%
Exactly 225.89%
Exactly 321.16%
Exactly 412.98%
Exactly 56.36%
Exactly 62.60%
Exactly 70.91%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 052.09%
Exactly 133.97%
Exactly 211.08%
Exactly 32.41%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.75%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 311.76%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 032.12%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.71%
Exactly 37.84%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 073.93%
Exactly 122.33%
Exactly 23.37%
Exactly 30.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals54.43%
Wins by 3+ goals32.15%
Wins by 4+ goals15.95%
Wins by 5+ goals6.72%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals1.89%
Wins by 3+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Groningen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.47%
Wins by 2 goals22.27%
Wins by 3 goals16.20%
Wins by 4 goals9.23%
Wins by 5 goals4.31%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal5.97%
Wins by 2 goals1.56%
Wins by 3 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.52%4.48%
1.581.60%18.40%
2.559.99%40.01%
3.537.62%62.38%
4.520.26%79.74%
5.59.49%90.51%
6.53.91%96.09%
7.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.39%8.61%
1.570.28%29.72%
2.544.40%55.60%
3.523.23%76.77%
4.510.26%89.74%
5.53.89%96.11%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.91%52.09%
1.513.94%86.06%
2.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.25%23.75%
1.542.11%57.89%
2.517.56%82.44%
3.55.80%94.20%
4.51.58%98.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Groningen
Score0123
0
4.48%
2.92%
0.95%
0.21%
1
11.00%
7.17%
2.34%
0.51%
2
13.48%
8.79%
2.87%
0.62%
3
11.02%
7.19%
2.34%
0.51%
4
6.76%
4.41%
1.44%
0.31%
5
3.32%
2.16%
0.71%
0.15%
Ajax
1-011.00%
2-013.48%
2-18.79%
3-011.02%
3-17.19%
3-22.34%
4-06.76%
4-14.41%
4-21.44%
4-30.31%
5-03.32%
5-12.16%
5-20.71%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-04.48%
1-17.17%
2-22.87%
3-30.51%
Groningen
0-12.92%
0-20.95%
1-22.34%
0-30.21%
1-30.51%
2-30.62%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Groningen
Score0123
0
23.75%
7.17%
1.08%
0.11%
1
26.97%
8.14%
1.23%
0.12%
2
15.31%
4.62%
0.70%
0.07%
3
5.80%
1.75%
0.26%
0.03%
4
1.65%
0.50%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.37%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-026.97%
2-015.31%
2-14.62%
3-05.80%
3-11.75%
3-20.26%
4-01.65%
4-10.50%
5-00.37%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-023.75%
1-18.14%
2-20.70%
Groningen
0-17.17%
0-21.08%
1-21.23%
0-30.11%
1-30.12%