Ajax at Willem II

Updated

Ajax

85.2%10.0%4.8%
Ajax WinDrawWin
3.14Projected Goals 0.66
1Final Score 0

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Twente-600
W 0-3 vs Heracles Almelo-1000
W 2-1 at PSV Eindhoven-115
W 3-0 at Utrecht-220
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard
Willem II
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+305
W 1-3 vs RKC Waalwijk+125
L 1-0 vs Twente+240
L 0-2 at Zwolle+190
L 1-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-675-800-667-715-854-667-667-534.5
Willem II+1600+1600+1400+1999+1757+1400+1999+1899.3
Draw+675+750+740+809+801+740+809+829.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-920-----775-775-534.5
Willem II+2200----+2000+2000+1899.3
Draw+850----+750+750+829.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Willem II: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -709 to -716
Willem II ML moved from +1500 to +1400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Willem II: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Willem II ML moved from +2100 to +2000

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-118o3½-115o3½-122o3½-112-o3½-122o3½-112o3½-109
Underu3¼-102u3½-105u3½+102u3½-103-u3½+102u3½+102u3½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-109
Under-----u3½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.24%
Exactly 216.16%
Exactly 419.44%
Exactly 69.35%
Exactly 82.41%
Exactly 100.39%
 
Exactly 18.50%
Exactly 320.46%
Exactly 514.77%
Exactly 75.08%
Exactly 91.02%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 04.35%
Exactly 113.63%
Exactly 221.37%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 417.51%
Exactly 510.98%
Exactly 65.74%
Exactly 72.57%
Exactly 81.01%
Exactly 90.35%
Exactly 100.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 051.47%
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 211.35%
Exactly 32.51%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.22%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 46.87%
Exactly 60.71%
 
Exactly 130.29%
Exactly 315.62%
Exactly 52.42%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 023.42%
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 311.94%
Exactly 44.33%
Exactly 51.26%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 073.53%
Exactly 122.61%
Exactly 23.48%
Exactly 30.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals67.82%
Wins by 3+ goals46.89%
Wins by 4+ goals28.01%
Wins by 5+ goals14.52%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals1.11%
Wins by 3+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal17.35%
Wins by 2 goals20.92%
Wins by 3 goals18.88%
Wins by 4 goals13.49%
Wins by 5 goals7.93%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal3.66%
Wins by 2 goals0.93%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.76%2.24%
1.589.26%10.74%
2.573.10%26.90%
3.552.64%47.36%
4.533.21%66.79%
5.518.44%81.56%
6.59.08%90.92%
7.54.01%95.99%
8.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.65%4.35%
1.582.02%17.98%
2.560.64%39.36%
3.538.31%61.69%
4.520.80%79.20%
5.59.82%90.18%
6.54.08%95.92%
7.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.53%51.47%
1.514.34%85.66%
2.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.78%17.22%
1.552.49%47.51%
2.525.85%74.15%
3.510.22%89.78%
4.53.35%96.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Willem II
Score0123
0
2.24%
1.49%
0.49%
0.11%
1
7.02%
4.66%
1.55%
0.34%
2
11.00%
7.31%
2.43%
0.54%
3
11.50%
7.64%
2.54%
0.56%
4
9.01%
5.99%
1.99%
0.44%
5
5.65%
3.75%
1.25%
0.28%
Ajax
1-07.02%
2-011.00%
2-17.31%
3-011.50%
3-17.64%
3-22.54%
4-09.01%
4-15.99%
4-21.99%
4-30.44%
5-05.65%
5-13.75%
5-21.25%
5-30.28%
Draw
0-02.24%
1-14.66%
2-22.43%
3-30.56%
Willem II
0-11.49%
0-20.49%
1-21.55%
0-30.11%
1-30.34%
2-30.54%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Willem II
Score0123
0
17.22%
5.29%
0.81%
0.08%
1
25.00%
7.69%
1.18%
0.12%
2
18.14%
5.58%
0.86%
0.09%
3
8.78%
2.70%
0.42%
0.04%
4
3.19%
0.98%
0.15%
0.02%
5
0.93%
0.28%
0.04%
0.00%
6
0.22%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-025.00%
2-018.14%
2-15.58%
3-08.78%
3-12.70%
3-20.42%
4-03.19%
4-10.98%
4-20.15%
5-00.93%
5-10.28%
6-00.22%
Draw
0-017.22%
1-17.69%
2-20.86%
Willem II
0-15.29%
0-20.81%
1-21.18%
1-30.12%