Ajax at Almere City

Updated

Ajax

73.6%16.3%10.1%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.42Projected Goals 0.77
1Final Score 0

Almere City

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles
W 0-4 vs Heracles Almelo
W 2-0 at Fortuna Sittard
W 1-2 vs Feyenoord
W 2-0 at Heerenveen
Almere City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Feyenoord
T 2-2 at NEC Nijmegen
W 1-0 at Utrecht
L 4-1 vs RKC Waalwijk
L 2-0 vs Heracles Almelo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-265-209-210-196-214-196-196-170.6
Almere City+677+566+500+470+516+470+566+498.7
Draw+440+369+340+370+363+370+370+393.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax------170.6
Almere City-----+498.7
Draw-----+393.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Almere City: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -204 to -213
Almere City ML moved from +490 to +470

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-126o3-101o3-105o3-109o3-103o3-109o3-101o3+101
Underu3+107u3-116u3-115u3-111u3-117u3-111u3-111u3-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+101
Under-----u3-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.12%
Exactly 220.96%
Exactly 417.76%
Exactly 66.02%
Exactly 81.09%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.15%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 511.32%
Exactly 72.74%
Exactly 90.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 08.94%
Exactly 121.59%
Exactly 226.06%
Exactly 320.98%
Exactly 412.66%
Exactly 56.11%
Exactly 62.46%
Exactly 70.85%
Exactly 80.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 046.11%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 213.82%
Exactly 33.57%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.85%
Exactly 224.90%
Exactly 44.52%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.73%
Exactly 312.25%
Exactly 51.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 032.70%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.43%
Exactly 37.61%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 069.87%
Exactly 125.05%
Exactly 24.49%
Exactly 30.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals50.91%
Wins by 3+ goals29.42%
Wins by 4+ goals14.29%
Wins by 5+ goals5.90%
Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals2.80%
Wins by 3+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Almere City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.65%
Wins by 2 goals21.49%
Wins by 3 goals15.13%
Wins by 4 goals8.39%
Wins by 5 goals3.82%
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal7.26%
Wins by 2 goals2.21%
Wins by 3 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.88%4.12%
1.582.73%17.27%
2.561.77%38.23%
3.539.49%60.51%
4.521.73%78.27%
5.510.41%89.59%
6.54.39%95.61%
7.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.06%8.94%
1.569.47%30.53%
2.543.40%56.60%
3.522.43%77.57%
4.59.77%90.23%
5.53.65%96.35%
6.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.89%46.11%
1.518.20%81.80%
2.54.38%95.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.15%22.85%
1.543.42%56.58%
2.518.52%81.48%
3.56.27%93.73%
4.51.75%98.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Almere City
Score0123
0
4.12%
3.19%
1.24%
0.32%
1
9.95%
7.71%
2.98%
0.77%
2
12.02%
9.30%
3.60%
0.93%
3
9.67%
7.49%
2.90%
0.75%
4
5.84%
4.52%
1.75%
0.45%
5
2.82%
2.18%
0.84%
0.22%
Ajax
1-09.95%
2-012.02%
2-19.30%
3-09.67%
3-17.49%
3-22.90%
4-05.84%
4-14.52%
4-21.75%
4-30.45%
5-02.82%
5-12.18%
5-20.84%
5-30.22%
Draw
0-04.12%
1-17.71%
2-23.60%
3-30.75%
Almere City
0-13.19%
0-21.24%
1-22.98%
0-30.32%
1-30.77%
2-30.93%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Almere City
Score0123
0
22.85%
8.19%
1.47%
0.18%
1
25.54%
9.16%
1.64%
0.20%
2
14.27%
5.12%
0.92%
0.11%
3
5.32%
1.91%
0.34%
0.04%
4
1.49%
0.53%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.33%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-025.54%
2-014.27%
2-15.12%
3-05.32%
3-11.91%
3-20.34%
4-01.49%
4-10.53%
5-00.33%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-022.85%
1-19.16%
2-20.92%
Almere City
0-18.19%
0-21.47%
1-21.64%
0-30.18%
1-30.20%
2-30.11%