Sparta R'dam at Ajax

Updated

Sparta Rotterdam

8.9%14.5%76.6%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.64
1Final Score 1

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Heerenveen
W 0-2 vs NEC Nijmegen
W 3-0 at Fortuna Sittard
T 1-1 vs Zwolle
T 1-1 at NAC Breda
Ajax
Money Line
L 0-4 at Utrecht
W 2-1 at Willem II
W 1-3 vs NAC Breda
W 2-0 at PSV Eindhoven
T 2-2 vs AZ Alkmaar

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta R'dam+703+540+500+500+531+500+540+532.0
Ajax-253-211-220-213-223-213-211-182.5
Draw+404+388+360+385+374+385+388+410.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta R'dam-----+532.0
Ajax------182.5
Draw-----+410.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sparta R'dam: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sparta R'dam: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sparta R'dam ML moved from +520 to +500
Ajax ML moved from -200 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3-106o3-105o3-108o3-109o3-108o3-105o3+102
Underu3-129u3-111u3-115u3-112u3-111u3-112u3-111u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+102
Under-----u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.21%
Exactly 218.99%
Exactly 418.70%
Exactly 67.37%
Exactly 81.55%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.05%
Exactly 321.76%
Exactly 512.86%
Exactly 73.62%
Exactly 90.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 045.09%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 214.30%
Exactly 33.80%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.13%
Exactly 118.82%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 414.45%
Exactly 57.63%
Exactly 63.36%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 80.42%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.36%
Exactly 225.79%
Exactly 45.44%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.40%
Exactly 313.68%
Exactly 51.73%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 069.16%
Exactly 125.51%
Exactly 24.70%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 029.44%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.01%
Exactly 38.97%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals2.48%
Wins by 3+ goals0.53%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals55.45%
Wins by 3+ goals33.99%
Wins by 4+ goals17.70%
Wins by 5+ goals7.91%
Wins by 6+ goals3.06%
Wins by 7+ goals1.03%
Wins by 8+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal6.38%
Wins by 2 goals1.95%
Wins by 3 goals0.44%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.16%
Wins by 2 goals21.45%
Wins by 3 goals16.29%
Wins by 4 goals9.79%
Wins by 5 goals4.85%
Wins by 6 goals2.04%
Wins by 7 goals0.74%
Wins by 8 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.79%3.21%
1.585.74%14.26%
2.566.75%33.25%
3.544.99%55.01%
4.526.29%73.71%
5.513.43%86.57%
6.56.06%93.94%
7.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.91%45.09%
1.519.00%81.00%
2.54.69%95.31%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.87%7.13%
1.574.05%25.95%
2.549.19%50.81%
3.527.30%72.70%
4.512.85%87.15%
5.55.21%94.79%
6.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.64%20.36%
1.547.24%52.76%
2.521.45%78.55%
3.57.77%92.23%
4.52.32%97.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sparta R'dam
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.21%
8.49%
11.21%
9.87%
6.52%
3.44%
1
2.56%
6.76%
8.93%
7.86%
5.19%
2.74%
2
1.02%
2.69%
3.56%
3.13%
2.07%
1.09%
3
0.27%
0.71%
0.94%
0.83%
0.55%
0.29%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-02.56%
2-01.02%
2-12.69%
3-00.27%
3-10.71%
3-20.94%
Draw
0-03.21%
1-16.76%
2-23.56%
3-30.83%
4-40.11%
Ajax
0-18.49%
0-211.21%
1-28.93%
0-39.87%
1-37.86%
2-33.13%
0-46.52%
1-45.19%
2-42.07%
3-40.55%
0-53.44%
1-52.74%
2-51.09%
3-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Sparta R'dam
Ajax
Score012345
0
20.36%
24.90%
15.22%
6.21%
1.90%
0.46%
1
7.51%
9.18%
5.61%
2.29%
0.70%
0.17%
2
1.38%
1.69%
1.04%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
3
0.17%
0.21%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-07.51%
2-01.38%
2-11.69%
3-00.17%
3-10.21%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-020.36%
1-19.18%
2-21.04%
Ajax
0-124.90%
0-215.22%
1-25.61%
0-36.21%
1-32.29%
2-30.42%
0-41.90%
1-40.70%
2-40.13%
0-50.46%
1-50.17%