Ajax at Utrecht

Updated

Ajax

45.0%25.2%29.8%
Ajax WinDrawUtrecht Win
1.53Projected Goals 1.20
0Final Score 4

Utrecht

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 2-1 at Willem II
W 1-3 vs NAC Breda
W 2-0 at PSV Eindhoven
T 2-2 vs AZ Alkmaar
W 1-0 at Zwolle
Utrecht
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Groningen
T 2-2 at Go Ahead Eagles
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen
L 1-0 vs NEC Nijmegen
W 3-2 at Willem II

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-103+104+100-104-106-104+104+108.3
Utrecht+263+257+250+255+261+255+261+276.9
Draw+288+271+245+270+273+270+273+292.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-----+108.3
Utrecht-----+276.9
Draw-----+292.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Utrecht: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +101 to -104
Utrecht ML moved from +265 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3+100o3-102o3-109o3-107o3-109o3+100o3+101
Underu3+100u3-117u3-118u3-111u3-113u3-111u3-111u3-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+101
Under-----u3-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2¾-109

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.8%
 
No45.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.51%
Exactly 224.29%
Exactly 415.11%
Exactly 63.76%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.78%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 58.26%
Exactly 71.47%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 021.60%
Exactly 133.10%
Exactly 225.36%
Exactly 312.96%
Exactly 44.96%
Exactly 51.52%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 030.12%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 221.68%
Exactly 38.67%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.22%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 39.52%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 049.19%
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 212.38%
Exactly 32.93%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 057.38%
Exactly 131.88%
Exactly 28.85%
Exactly 31.64%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals22.45%
Wins by 3+ goals8.91%
Wins by 4+ goals2.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.72%
Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals12.21%
Wins by 3+ goals3.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Utrecht
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.42%
Wins by 2 goals13.54%
Wins by 3 goals6.06%
Wins by 4 goals2.13%
Wins by 5 goals0.60%
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal17.56%
Wins by 2 goals8.30%
Wins by 3 goals2.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.49%6.51%
1.575.71%24.29%
2.551.43%48.57%
3.529.31%70.69%
4.514.19%85.81%
5.55.94%94.06%
6.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.40%21.60%
1.545.30%54.70%
2.519.93%80.07%
3.56.98%93.02%
4.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.88%30.12%
1.533.73%66.27%
2.512.05%87.95%
3.53.38%96.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.78%28.22%
1.536.08%63.92%
2.513.49%86.51%
3.53.97%96.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Utrecht
Score012345
0
6.51%
7.81%
4.68%
1.87%
0.56%
0.13%
1
9.97%
11.96%
7.18%
2.87%
0.86%
0.21%
2
7.64%
9.17%
5.50%
2.20%
0.66%
0.16%
3
3.90%
4.68%
2.81%
1.12%
0.34%
0.08%
4
1.50%
1.79%
1.08%
0.43%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.46%
0.55%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Ajax
1-09.97%
2-07.64%
2-19.17%
3-03.90%
3-14.68%
3-22.81%
4-01.50%
4-11.79%
4-21.08%
4-30.43%
5-00.46%
5-10.55%
5-20.33%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.51%
1-111.96%
2-25.50%
3-31.12%
4-40.13%
Utrecht
0-17.81%
0-24.68%
1-27.18%
0-31.87%
1-32.87%
2-32.20%
0-40.56%
1-40.86%
2-40.66%
3-40.34%
0-50.13%
1-50.21%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Utrecht
Score01234
0
28.22%
15.68%
4.36%
0.81%
0.11%
1
20.02%
11.12%
3.09%
0.57%
0.08%
2
7.10%
3.95%
1.10%
0.20%
0.03%
3
1.68%
0.93%
0.26%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.30%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-020.02%
2-07.10%
2-13.95%
3-01.68%
3-10.93%
3-20.26%
4-00.30%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-028.22%
1-111.12%
2-21.10%
Utrecht
0-115.68%
0-24.36%
1-23.09%
0-30.81%
1-30.57%
2-30.20%
0-40.11%