Ajax at Emmen

Updated

Ajax

88.2%8.2%3.6%
Ajax WinDrawWin
3.37Projected Goals 0.61
3Final Score 3

Emmen

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Vitesse-700
L 2-1 vs PSV Eindhoven-110
W 4-1 at RKC Waalwijk-350
W 1-7 vs Excelsior-1600
W 4-2 at Volendam-675
Emmen
Money Line
W 1-0 at Fortuna Sittard+195
T 0-0 vs Groningen+130
L 1-2 at Vitesse+375
T 1-1 vs Volendam-115
L 1-3 at Sparta Rotterdam+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-401-310-325-320-318-320-310-275.6
Emmen+1092+848+750+910+897+910+910+933.7
Draw+543+461+440+425+469+425+469+489.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-320-----380-380-275.6
Emmen+810----+1000+1000+933.7
Draw+450----+490+490+489.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Emmen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Emmen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Emmen: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -331 to -340
Emmen ML moved from +920 to +897

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Emmen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Emmen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Emmen: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -370 to -380
Emmen ML moved from +825 to +800

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+114o3-122o3-122o3-120o3½+139o3-120o3-120o3½+145
Underu3½-134u3+104u3+102u3+100u3½-154u3+100u3½-150u3½-145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+145
Under-----u3½-145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-115 to u3-103

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.87%
Exactly 214.82%
Exactly 419.54%
Exactly 610.30%
Exactly 82.91%
Exactly 100.51%
 
Exactly 17.45%
Exactly 319.64%
Exactly 515.54%
Exactly 75.86%
Exactly 91.29%
Exactly 110.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.44%
Exactly 111.60%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 321.94%
Exactly 418.48%
Exactly 512.45%
Exactly 66.99%
Exactly 73.36%
Exactly 81.42%
Exactly 90.53%
Exactly 100.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Emmen
Exactly 054.37%
Exactly 133.13%
Exactly 210.09%
Exactly 32.05%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.85%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 47.60%
Exactly 60.86%
 
Exactly 129.20%
Exactly 316.51%
Exactly 52.80%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 021.02%
Exactly 132.79%
Exactly 225.57%
Exactly 313.29%
Exactly 45.18%
Exactly 51.62%
Exactly 60.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Emmen
Exactly 075.42%
Exactly 121.28%
Exactly 23.00%
Exactly 30.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals72.73%
Wins by 3+ goals52.69%
Wins by 4+ goals33.23%
Wins by 5+ goals18.28%
Emmen
Wins by 2+ goals0.76%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Emmen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.41%
Wins by 2 goals20.03%
Wins by 3 goals19.46%
Wins by 4 goals14.95%
Wins by 5 goals9.45%
Emmen
Wins by 1 goal2.78%
Wins by 2 goals0.65%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.13%1.87%
1.590.68%9.32%
2.575.86%24.14%
3.556.22%43.78%
4.536.68%63.32%
5.521.14%78.86%
6.510.84%89.16%
7.54.98%95.02%
8.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.56%3.44%
1.584.95%15.05%
2.565.41%34.59%
3.543.47%56.53%
4.525.00%75.00%
5.512.55%87.45%
6.55.56%94.44%
7.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Emmen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.63%54.37%
1.512.50%87.50%
2.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.15%15.85%
1.554.95%45.05%
2.528.06%71.94%
3.511.55%88.45%
4.53.95%96.05%
5.51.15%98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Emmen
Score012
0
1.87%
1.14%
0.35%
1
6.31%
3.84%
1.17%
2
10.62%
6.47%
1.97%
3
11.93%
7.27%
2.21%
4
10.05%
6.12%
1.86%
5
6.77%
4.12%
1.26%
Ajax
1-06.31%
2-010.62%
2-16.47%
3-011.93%
3-17.27%
3-22.21%
4-010.05%
4-16.12%
4-21.86%
4-30.38%
5-06.77%
5-14.12%
5-21.26%
5-30.26%
Draw
0-01.87%
1-13.84%
2-21.97%
3-30.45%
Emmen
0-11.14%
0-20.35%
1-21.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Emmen
Score012
0
15.85%
4.47%
0.63%
1
24.73%
6.98%
0.98%
2
19.28%
5.44%
0.77%
3
10.02%
2.83%
0.40%
4
3.91%
1.10%
0.16%
5
1.22%
0.34%
0.05%
6
0.32%
0.09%
0.01%
Ajax
1-024.73%
2-019.28%
2-15.44%
3-010.02%
3-12.83%
3-20.40%
4-03.91%
4-11.10%
4-20.16%
5-01.22%
5-10.34%
6-00.32%
Draw
0-015.85%
1-16.98%
2-20.77%
Emmen
0-14.47%
0-20.63%
1-20.98%