NAC Breda at Excelsior

Updated

NAC Breda

25.3%23.5%51.2%
NAC Breda WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.75
0Final Score 1

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
L 1-0 vs PSV Eindhoven
L 1-2 at Volendam
W 0-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles
T 3-3 at Heerenveen
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
Excelsior
Money Line
W 2-1 at Ajax
L 2-1 vs Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 at Telstar
L 0-2 at Go Ahead Eagles
W 0-1 vs Fortuna Sittard

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+205--+177+175+175+175+188.6
Excelsior+123--+145+145+145+145+157.1
Draw+260--+255+260+260+260+277.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+188.6
Excelsior-----+157.1
Draw-----+277.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Excelsior: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +183 to +177
Excelsior ML moved from +145 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110--o3+105o2¾-120o3+105o2¾-120o3+114
Underu2¾-110--u3-125u2¾+100u3-125u3-125u3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+114
Under-----u3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.8%
 
No43.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.41%
Exactly 223.01%
Exactly 416.32%
Exactly 64.63%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.78%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.52%
Exactly 71.93%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 031.25%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 017.31%
Exactly 130.36%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 315.57%
Exactly 46.83%
Exactly 52.39%
Exactly 60.70%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.91%
Exactly 223.63%
Exactly 43.59%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.99%
Exactly 310.64%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 058.36%
Exactly 131.43%
Exactly 28.46%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 044.39%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 214.64%
Exactly 33.96%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals9.94%
Wins by 3+ goals3.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals28.09%
Wins by 3+ goals12.46%
Wins by 4+ goals4.54%
Wins by 5+ goals1.38%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Excelsior
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal15.30%
Wins by 2 goals6.87%
Wins by 3 goals2.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal23.08%
Wins by 2 goals15.64%
Wins by 3 goals7.91%
Wins by 4 goals3.17%
Wins by 5 goals1.04%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.59%5.41%
1.578.81%21.19%
2.555.80%44.20%
3.533.42%66.58%
4.517.10%82.90%
5.57.58%92.42%
6.52.95%97.05%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.75%31.25%
1.532.40%67.60%
2.511.26%88.74%
3.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.69%17.31%
1.552.33%47.67%
2.525.71%74.29%
3.510.14%89.86%
4.53.32%96.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.09%25.91%
1.539.10%60.90%
2.515.47%84.53%
3.54.83%95.17%
4.51.24%98.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Excelsior
Score012345
0
5.41%
9.49%
8.32%
4.86%
2.13%
0.75%
1
6.29%
11.04%
9.68%
5.66%
2.48%
0.87%
2
3.66%
6.42%
5.63%
3.29%
1.44%
0.51%
3
1.42%
2.49%
2.18%
1.28%
0.56%
0.20%
4
0.41%
0.72%
0.63%
0.37%
0.16%
0.06%
NAC Breda
1-06.29%
2-03.66%
2-16.42%
3-01.42%
3-12.49%
3-22.18%
4-00.41%
4-10.72%
4-20.63%
4-30.37%
Draw
0-05.41%
1-111.04%
2-25.63%
3-31.28%
4-40.16%
Excelsior
0-19.49%
0-28.32%
1-29.68%
0-34.86%
1-35.66%
2-33.29%
0-42.13%
1-42.48%
2-41.44%
3-40.56%
0-50.75%
1-50.87%
2-50.51%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Excelsior
Score01234
0
25.91%
21.04%
8.54%
2.31%
0.47%
1
13.95%
11.33%
4.60%
1.25%
0.25%
2
3.76%
3.05%
1.24%
0.34%
0.07%
3
0.67%
0.55%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
NAC Breda
1-013.95%
2-03.76%
2-13.05%
3-00.67%
3-10.55%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-025.91%
1-111.33%
2-21.24%
Excelsior
0-121.04%
0-28.54%
1-24.60%
0-32.31%
1-31.25%
2-30.34%
0-40.47%
1-40.25%
Heerenveen at Zwolle
Heracles Almelo at Fortuna Sittard