Groningen at Excelsior

Updated

Groningen

36.1%29.1%34.8%
Groningen WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.09
2Final Score 0

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
L 0-2 at NEC Nijmegen
T 1-1 vs Twente
W 2-1 at Fortuna Sittard
L 2-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
Money Line
W 0-1 vs NAC Breda
W 2-1 at Ajax
L 2-1 vs Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 at Telstar
L 0-2 at Go Ahead Eagles

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+117--101+101-101-101-101+109.8
Excelsior+225-+265+250+260+260+265+279.5
Draw+235-+245+265+265+265+265+284.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen-----+109.8
Excelsior-----+279.5
Draw-----+284.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +100 to -101
Excelsior ML moved from +240 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102-o2½-118o2½-113o2½-113o2½-113o2½-113o2½-103
Underu2¾-118-u2½-102u2½-107u2½-107u2½-107u2½-102u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.10%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 410.80%
Exactly 61.74%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.40%
Exactly 319.65%
Exactly 54.75%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 032.89%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 220.34%
Exactly 37.54%
Exactly 42.10%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 033.76%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 37.21%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.14%
Exactly 218.72%
Exactly 41.62%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 059.76%
Exactly 130.77%
Exactly 27.92%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 060.48%
Exactly 130.41%
Exactly 27.65%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals14.52%
Wins by 3+ goals4.44%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals13.72%
Wins by 3+ goals4.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal21.46%
Wins by 2 goals10.08%
Wins by 3 goals3.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal20.96%
Wins by 2 goals9.61%
Wins by 3 goals3.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.90%11.10%
1.564.50%35.50%
2.537.68%62.32%
3.518.03%81.97%
4.57.23%92.77%
5.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.11%32.89%
1.530.54%69.46%
2.510.20%89.80%
3.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.24%33.76%
1.529.59%70.41%
2.59.68%90.32%
3.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.86%36.14%
1.527.08%72.92%
2.58.36%91.64%
3.52.01%97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Excelsior
Score012345
0
11.10%
12.06%
6.55%
2.37%
0.64%
0.14%
1
12.35%
13.41%
7.28%
2.64%
0.72%
0.16%
2
6.86%
7.46%
4.05%
1.47%
0.40%
0.09%
3
2.54%
2.76%
1.50%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.71%
0.77%
0.42%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-012.35%
2-06.86%
2-17.46%
3-02.54%
3-12.76%
3-21.50%
4-00.71%
4-10.77%
4-20.42%
4-30.15%
5-00.16%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-011.10%
1-113.41%
2-24.05%
3-30.54%
Excelsior
0-112.06%
0-26.55%
1-27.28%
0-32.37%
1-32.64%
2-31.47%
0-40.64%
1-40.72%
2-40.40%
3-40.15%
0-50.14%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Excelsior
Score0123
0
36.14%
18.17%
4.57%
0.77%
1
18.61%
9.36%
2.35%
0.39%
2
4.79%
2.41%
0.61%
0.10%
3
0.82%
0.41%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-018.61%
2-04.79%
2-12.41%
3-00.82%
3-10.41%
3-20.10%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-036.14%
1-19.36%
2-20.61%
Excelsior
0-118.17%
0-24.57%
1-22.35%
0-30.77%
1-30.39%
2-30.10%
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