NEC Nijmegen at Utrecht

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

22.2%23.8%54.0%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawUtrecht Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.72
1Final Score 0

Utrecht

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles
T 0-0 at Feyenoord
L 0-2 at Twente
T 2-2 vs Almere City
L 1-2 at Groningen
Utrecht
Money Line
W 3-2 at Willem II
W 0-1 vs NAC Breda
T 2-2 at PSV Eindhoven
L 1-0 vs Almere City
T 3-3 at Zwolle

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+328+370+350+365+377+365+377+387.8
Utrecht-129-128-130-133-140-133-128-119.4
Draw+310+277+255+280+274+280+280+298.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen-----+387.8
Utrecht------119.4
Draw-----+298.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +307 to +301
Utrecht ML moved from -122 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-119o2½-120o2½-119o2½-109
Underu3-120u2½+102u2½+100u2½+100u2½-101u2½+100u2½+102u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.4%
 
No47.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.47%
Exactly 224.26%
Exactly 415.15%
Exactly 63.78%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.72%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 58.29%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 036.25%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 017.86%
Exactly 130.77%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 315.22%
Exactly 46.55%
Exactly 52.26%
Exactly 60.65%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.16%
Exactly 222.61%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 39.55%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 062.51%
Exactly 129.37%
Exactly 26.90%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 045.04%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 214.33%
Exactly 33.81%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals7.90%
Wins by 3+ goals2.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals29.74%
Wins by 3+ goals13.17%
Wins by 4+ goals4.77%
Wins by 5+ goals1.44%
Wins by 6+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal14.25%
Wins by 2 goals5.75%
Wins by 3 goals1.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal24.19%
Wins by 2 goals16.58%
Wins by 3 goals8.39%
Wins by 4 goals3.34%
Wins by 5 goals1.09%
Wins by 6 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.53%6.47%
1.575.80%24.20%
2.551.55%48.45%
3.529.41%70.59%
4.514.27%85.73%
5.55.98%94.02%
6.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.75%36.25%
1.526.97%73.03%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.14%17.86%
1.551.37%48.63%
2.524.87%75.13%
3.59.66%90.34%
4.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.84%28.16%
1.536.16%63.84%
2.513.54%86.46%
3.53.99%96.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Score012345
0
6.47%
11.15%
9.61%
5.52%
2.38%
0.82%
1
6.57%
11.32%
9.75%
5.60%
2.41%
0.83%
2
3.33%
5.74%
4.95%
2.84%
1.22%
0.42%
3
1.13%
1.94%
1.67%
0.96%
0.41%
0.14%
4
0.29%
0.49%
0.42%
0.24%
0.10%
0.04%
NEC Nijmegen
1-06.57%
2-03.33%
2-15.74%
3-01.13%
3-11.94%
3-21.67%
4-00.29%
4-10.49%
4-20.42%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-06.47%
1-111.32%
2-24.95%
3-30.96%
4-40.10%
Utrecht
0-111.15%
0-29.61%
1-29.75%
0-35.52%
1-35.60%
2-32.84%
0-42.38%
1-42.41%
2-41.22%
3-40.41%
0-50.82%
1-50.83%
2-50.42%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Score01234
0
28.16%
22.46%
8.96%
2.38%
0.47%
1
13.23%
10.55%
4.21%
1.12%
0.22%
2
3.11%
2.48%
0.99%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.49%
0.39%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-013.23%
2-03.11%
2-12.48%
3-00.49%
3-10.39%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-028.16%
1-110.55%
2-20.99%
Utrecht
0-122.46%
0-28.96%
1-24.21%
0-32.38%
1-31.12%
2-30.26%
0-40.47%
1-40.22%