Sparta R'dam at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Sparta Rotterdam

42.5%26.4%31.1%
Sparta R'dam WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.40Projected Goals 1.16
0Final Score 3

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Twente
W 1-0 at Excelsior
L 4-0 vs Feyenoord
W 3-0 at Go Ahead Eagles
W 1-2 vs Utrecht
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 1-2 at NAC Breda
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar
L 0-4 at Groningen
L 0-2 at Ajax
L 4-1 vs NEC Nijmegen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta R'dam+132+175+174+158+170+163+175+184.0
Heracles Almelo+193+148+140+136+143+133+148+151.6
Draw+274+266+255+270+261+270+270+299.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta R'dam-----+184.0
Heracles Almelo-----+151.6
Draw-----+299.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sparta R'dam: 30.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sparta R'dam: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sparta R'dam ML moved from +135 to +129
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +150 to +143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106o3+113o2¾-120o3+100o2¾-121o3+100o2¾-120o3+109
Underu3-124u3-133u2¾+100u3-120u2¾-101u3-120u3-120u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+109
Under-----u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.76%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 413.81%
Exactly 63.01%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.83%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 57.06%
Exactly 71.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 024.69%
Exactly 134.53%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 311.26%
Exactly 43.94%
Exactly 51.10%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 031.42%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.06%
Exactly 38.13%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.61%
Exactly 221.45%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 052.32%
Exactly 133.89%
Exactly 210.98%
Exactly 32.37%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 058.51%
Exactly 131.36%
Exactly 28.40%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals20.05%
Wins by 3+ goals7.44%
Wins by 4+ goals2.21%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals12.59%
Wins by 3+ goals3.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal22.36%
Wins by 2 goals12.61%
Wins by 3 goals5.23%
Wins by 4 goals1.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal18.50%
Wins by 2 goals8.64%
Wins by 3 goals2.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.24%7.76%
1.572.41%27.59%
2.547.06%52.94%
3.525.46%74.54%
4.511.65%88.35%
5.54.59%95.41%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.31%24.69%
1.540.78%59.22%
2.516.62%83.38%
3.55.36%94.64%
4.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.58%31.42%
1.532.20%67.80%
2.511.15%88.85%
3.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.39%30.61%
1.533.15%66.85%
2.511.70%88.30%
3.53.24%96.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sparta R'dam
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
7.76%
8.98%
5.20%
2.01%
0.58%
0.13%
1
10.85%
12.56%
7.27%
2.81%
0.81%
0.19%
2
7.59%
8.79%
5.09%
1.96%
0.57%
0.13%
3
3.54%
4.10%
2.37%
0.92%
0.26%
0.06%
4
1.24%
1.43%
0.83%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.35%
0.40%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-010.85%
2-07.59%
2-18.79%
3-03.54%
3-14.10%
3-22.37%
4-01.24%
4-11.43%
4-20.83%
4-30.32%
5-00.35%
5-10.40%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-07.76%
1-112.56%
2-25.09%
3-30.92%
Heracles Almelo
0-18.98%
0-25.20%
1-27.27%
0-32.01%
1-32.81%
2-31.96%
0-40.58%
1-40.81%
2-40.57%
3-40.26%
0-50.13%
1-50.19%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Sparta R'dam
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
30.61%
16.41%
4.40%
0.79%
0.11%
1
19.83%
10.63%
2.85%
0.51%
0.07%
2
6.42%
3.44%
0.92%
0.16%
0.02%
3
1.39%
0.74%
0.20%
0.04%
0.00%
4
0.22%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-019.83%
2-06.42%
2-13.44%
3-01.39%
3-10.74%
3-20.20%
4-00.22%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-030.61%
1-110.63%
2-20.92%
Heracles Almelo
0-116.41%
0-24.40%
1-22.85%
0-30.79%
1-30.51%
2-30.16%
0-40.11%