AZ Alkmaar at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

38.3%27.4%34.3%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.18
1Final Score 2

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
T 3-3 vs Feyenoord
W 2-1 at Heracles Almelo
W 1-0 at NAC Breda
T 2-2 at Volendam
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 2-3 at Heerenveen
L 5-3 vs PSV Eindhoven
L 2-3 at Fortuna Sittard
W 0-3 vs NAC Breda
W 4-1 at Heracles Almelo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+109+103-106-102+100-102+103+113.8
NEC Nijmegen+233+236+230+205+221+205+236+229.3
Draw+283+301+300+305+303+305+305+337.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-----+113.8
NEC Nijmegen-----+229.3
Draw-----+337.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +100 to -101
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +220 to +212

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3½+109o3¼-115o3¼-118o3¼-116o3¼-118o3¼-115o3¼-107
Underu3-123u3½-128u3¼-105u3¼-102u3¼-104u3¼-102u3½-128u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-107
Under-----u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-115 to u3¼-104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.75%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 412.84%
Exactly 62.54%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.32%
Exactly 321.08%
Exactly 56.25%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 028.38%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 030.85%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 221.34%
Exactly 38.36%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.38%
Exactly 220.59%
Exactly 42.18%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.74%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 055.81%
Exactly 132.55%
Exactly 29.49%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 058.01%
Exactly 131.59%
Exactly 28.60%
Exactly 31.56%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals16.80%
Wins by 3+ goals5.73%
Wins by 4+ goals1.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals14.22%
Wins by 3+ goals4.56%
Wins by 4+ goals1.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals11.08%
Wins by 3 goals4.17%
Wins by 4 goals1.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal20.05%
Wins by 2 goals9.66%
Wins by 3 goals3.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.25%8.75%
1.569.93%30.07%
2.543.96%56.04%
3.522.88%77.12%
4.510.04%89.96%
5.53.79%96.21%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.62%28.38%
1.535.88%64.12%
2.513.37%86.63%
3.53.92%96.08%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.15%30.85%
1.532.87%67.13%
2.511.54%88.46%
3.53.17%96.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.62%32.38%
1.531.11%68.89%
2.510.52%89.48%
3.52.78%97.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
8.75%
10.29%
6.05%
2.37%
0.70%
0.16%
1
11.03%
12.97%
7.63%
2.99%
0.88%
0.21%
2
6.94%
8.17%
4.80%
1.88%
0.55%
0.13%
3
2.92%
3.43%
2.02%
0.79%
0.23%
0.05%
4
0.92%
1.08%
0.64%
0.25%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.23%
0.27%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-011.03%
2-06.94%
2-18.17%
3-02.92%
3-13.43%
3-22.02%
4-00.92%
4-11.08%
4-20.64%
4-30.25%
5-00.23%
5-10.27%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-08.75%
1-112.97%
2-24.80%
3-30.79%
NEC Nijmegen
0-110.29%
0-26.05%
1-27.63%
0-32.37%
1-32.99%
2-31.88%
0-40.70%
1-40.88%
2-40.55%
3-40.23%
0-50.16%
1-50.21%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
32.38%
17.63%
4.80%
0.87%
0.12%
1
18.88%
10.28%
2.80%
0.51%
0.07%
2
5.51%
3.00%
0.82%
0.15%
0.02%
3
1.07%
0.58%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-018.88%
2-05.51%
2-13.00%
3-01.07%
3-10.58%
3-20.16%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-032.38%
1-110.28%
2-20.82%
NEC Nijmegen
0-117.63%
0-24.80%
1-22.80%
0-30.87%
1-30.51%
2-30.15%
0-40.12%
Sparta R'dam at Heracles Almelo
Heerenveen at Utrecht