Willem II at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Willem II

13.4%19.1%67.5%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.16
1Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard
L 2-1 vs Ajax
L 1-3 at Heerenveen
L 2-0 vs Almere City
L 0-1 at Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 0-1 at Heerenveen
W 1-2 vs RKC Waalwijk
L 0-2 at Sparta Rotterdam
T 3-3 vs AZ Alkmaar
W 1-0 at Utrecht

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+462+476+440+470+468+470+476+501.0
NEC Nijmegen-166-176-180-185-188-185-176-160.1
Draw+319+338+310+335+332+335+338+358.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II-----+501.0
NEC Nijmegen------160.1
Draw-----+358.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +460 to +440
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -180 to -190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-133o2¾-110o2¾-106o2¾-108o2¾-106o2½-133o2¾+104
Underu2½+104u2½+113u2¾-110u2¾-114u2¾-112u2¾-114u2¾-110u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.96%
Exactly 222.38%
Exactly 416.82%
Exactly 65.06%
Exactly 80.81%
 
Exactly 114.90%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.10%
Exactly 72.17%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 042.96%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.33%
Exactly 34.32%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 011.55%
Exactly 124.93%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 319.36%
Exactly 410.45%
Exactly 54.51%
Exactly 61.62%
Exactly 70.50%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.89%
Exactly 224.07%
Exactly 43.88%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.62%
Exactly 311.16%
Exactly 51.08%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 067.63%
Exactly 126.45%
Exactly 25.17%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 036.81%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.38%
Exactly 36.12%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals4.05%
Wins by 3+ goals0.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals43.50%
Wins by 3+ goals23.10%
Wins by 4+ goals10.23%
Wins by 5+ goals3.83%
Wins by 6+ goals1.22%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal9.37%
Wins by 2 goals3.12%
Wins by 3 goals0.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal23.94%
Wins by 2 goals20.40%
Wins by 3 goals12.88%
Wins by 4 goals6.40%
Wins by 5 goals2.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.90%
Wins by 7 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.04%4.96%
1.580.14%19.86%
2.557.76%42.24%
3.535.35%64.65%
4.518.53%81.47%
5.58.43%91.57%
6.53.37%96.63%
7.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.04%42.96%
1.520.74%79.26%
2.55.41%94.59%
3.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.45%11.55%
1.563.52%36.48%
2.536.62%63.38%
3.517.26%82.74%
4.56.81%93.19%
5.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.11%24.89%
1.540.49%59.51%
2.516.42%83.58%
3.55.27%94.73%
4.51.39%98.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
4.96%
10.71%
11.56%
8.32%
4.49%
1.94%
1
4.19%
9.05%
9.77%
7.03%
3.79%
1.64%
2
1.77%
3.82%
4.13%
2.97%
1.60%
0.69%
3
0.50%
1.08%
1.16%
0.84%
0.45%
0.19%
4
0.11%
0.23%
0.25%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
Willem II
1-04.19%
2-01.77%
2-13.82%
3-00.50%
3-11.08%
3-21.16%
4-00.11%
4-10.23%
4-20.25%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-04.96%
1-19.05%
2-24.13%
3-30.84%
NEC Nijmegen
0-110.71%
0-211.56%
1-29.77%
0-38.32%
1-37.03%
2-32.97%
0-44.49%
1-43.79%
2-41.60%
3-40.45%
0-51.94%
1-51.64%
2-50.69%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
24.89%
24.88%
12.43%
4.14%
1.03%
0.21%
1
9.74%
9.73%
4.86%
1.62%
0.40%
0.08%
2
1.90%
1.90%
0.95%
0.32%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.25%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Willem II
1-09.74%
2-01.90%
2-11.90%
3-00.25%
3-10.25%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-024.89%
1-19.73%
2-20.95%
NEC Nijmegen
0-124.88%
0-212.43%
1-24.86%
0-34.14%
1-31.62%
2-30.32%
0-41.03%
1-40.40%
0-50.21%
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