Almere City at Heerenveen

Updated

Almere City

15.7%20.7%63.6%
WinDrawHeerenveen Win
0.88Projected Goals 2.01
1Final Score 2

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

Almere City
Money Line
L 0-5 at PSV Eindhoven
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
W 2-0 at Willem II
T 1-1 vs NAC Breda
L 0-1 at Twente
Heerenveen
Money Line
L 1-3 at Sparta Rotterdam
W 1-3 vs Willem II
L 0-2 at Utrecht
T 1-1 vs Heracles Almelo
L 1-2 at PSV Eindhoven

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+361+320+300+260+330+260+330+290.6
Heerenveen-133-120-125-121-135-121-120-101.9
Draw+296+291+270+285+296+285+296+317.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City-----+290.6
Heerenveen------101.9
Draw-----+317.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 40.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +310 to +300
Heerenveen ML moved from -156 to -162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3+111o3+102o3+110o2¾-125o3+110o3+111o3+119
Underu2½+115u3-130u3-122u3-130u2¾+103u3-130u3-122u3-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+119
Under-----u3-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%
 
No49.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.56%
Exactly 223.21%
Exactly 416.15%
Exactly 64.50%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.06%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.34%
Exactly 71.86%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 041.40%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 216.10%
Exactly 34.73%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 013.42%
Exactly 126.96%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.12%
Exactly 49.10%
Exactly 53.65%
Exactly 61.22%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.23%
Exactly 223.49%
Exactly 43.50%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 310.48%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 066.48%
Exactly 127.14%
Exactly 25.54%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 039.46%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.06%
Exactly 35.29%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals4.93%
Wins by 3+ goals1.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals39.05%
Wins by 3+ goals19.58%
Wins by 4+ goals8.11%
Wins by 5+ goals2.79%
Wins by 6+ goals0.78%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Almere City
Heerenveen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal10.73%
Wins by 2 goals3.75%
Wins by 3 goals0.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal24.43%
Wins by 2 goals19.47%
Wins by 3 goals11.47%
Wins by 4 goals5.31%
Wins by 5 goals2.02%
Wins by 6 goals0.63%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.44%5.56%
1.578.38%21.62%
2.555.17%44.83%
3.532.82%67.18%
4.516.66%83.34%
5.57.32%92.68%
6.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.60%41.40%
1.522.09%77.91%
2.55.99%94.01%
3.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.58%13.42%
1.559.62%40.38%
2.532.55%67.45%
3.514.43%85.57%
4.55.34%94.66%
5.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.77%26.23%
1.538.66%61.34%
2.515.18%84.82%
3.54.70%95.30%
4.51.19%98.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almere City
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
5.56%
11.16%
11.21%
7.50%
3.77%
1.51%
1
4.90%
9.84%
9.88%
6.61%
3.32%
1.33%
2
2.16%
4.34%
4.36%
2.92%
1.46%
0.59%
3
0.64%
1.28%
1.28%
0.86%
0.43%
0.17%
4
0.14%
0.28%
0.28%
0.19%
0.09%
0.04%
Almere City
1-04.90%
2-02.16%
2-14.34%
3-00.64%
3-11.28%
3-21.28%
4-00.14%
4-10.28%
4-20.28%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-05.56%
1-19.84%
2-24.36%
3-30.86%
Heerenveen
0-111.16%
0-211.21%
1-29.88%
0-37.50%
1-36.61%
2-32.92%
0-43.77%
1-43.32%
2-41.46%
3-40.43%
0-51.51%
1-51.33%
2-50.59%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Almere City
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
26.23%
24.39%
11.34%
3.51%
0.82%
0.15%
1
10.71%
9.96%
4.63%
1.44%
0.33%
0.06%
2
2.19%
2.03%
0.95%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.30%
0.28%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Almere City
1-010.71%
2-02.19%
2-12.03%
3-00.30%
3-10.28%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-026.23%
1-19.96%
2-20.95%
Heerenveen
0-124.39%
0-211.34%
1-24.63%
0-33.51%
1-31.44%
2-30.29%
0-40.82%
1-40.33%
0-50.15%