NAC Breda at Almere City

Updated

NAC Breda

34.0%25.8%40.2%
NAC Breda WinDrawAlmere City Win
1.28Projected Goals 1.41
1Final Score 1

Almere City

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 0-1 at Utrecht
T 0-0 vs Feyenoord
L 0-5 at RKC Waalwijk
T 1-1 vs Heracles Almelo
Almere City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Twente
L 1-0 vs Ajax
L 1-2 at Feyenoord
T 2-2 at NEC Nijmegen
W 1-0 at Utrecht

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+148+236+225+220+232+220+236+236.2
Almere City+175+124+120+121+114+121+124+132.2
Draw+266+237+215+250+243+250+250+267.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+236.2
Almere City-----+132.2
Draw-----+267.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 20.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +239 to +232
Almere City ML moved from +122 to +116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+120o2½-103o2½-110o2½-111o2½-109o2½-111o2½-103o2½-101
Underu3-141u2½-114u2½-110u2½-109u2½-111u2½-109u2½-109u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.5%
 
No45.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.82%
Exactly 224.59%
Exactly 414.78%
Exactly 63.55%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.31%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 57.94%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 027.94%
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 222.72%
Exactly 39.66%
Exactly 43.08%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 024.40%
Exactly 134.42%
Exactly 224.27%
Exactly 311.41%
Exactly 44.02%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.84%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 39.24%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 055.41%
Exactly 132.72%
Exactly 29.66%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 052.04%
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 211.10%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals14.69%
Wins by 3+ goals4.98%
Wins by 4+ goals1.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals18.86%
Wins by 3+ goals6.98%
Wins by 4+ goals2.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Almere City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal19.24%
Wins by 2 goals9.71%
Wins by 3 goals3.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.06%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal21.28%
Wins by 2 goals11.88%
Wins by 3 goals4.91%
Wins by 4 goals1.59%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.18%6.82%
1.574.87%25.13%
2.550.29%49.71%
3.528.28%71.72%
4.513.50%86.50%
5.55.56%94.44%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.06%27.94%
1.536.44%63.56%
2.513.72%86.28%
3.54.07%95.93%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.60%24.40%
1.541.18%58.82%
2.516.90%83.10%
3.55.49%94.51%
4.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.16%28.84%
1.535.30%64.70%
2.513.01%86.99%
3.53.77%96.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Almere City
Score012345
0
6.82%
9.62%
6.78%
3.19%
1.12%
0.32%
1
8.69%
12.26%
8.65%
4.07%
1.43%
0.40%
2
5.54%
7.82%
5.51%
2.59%
0.91%
0.26%
3
2.36%
3.32%
2.34%
1.10%
0.39%
0.11%
4
0.75%
1.06%
0.75%
0.35%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.19%
0.27%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
NAC Breda
1-08.69%
2-05.54%
2-17.82%
3-02.36%
3-13.32%
3-22.34%
4-00.75%
4-11.06%
4-20.75%
4-30.35%
5-00.19%
5-10.27%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-06.82%
1-112.26%
2-25.51%
3-31.10%
4-40.12%
Almere City
0-19.62%
0-26.78%
1-28.65%
0-33.19%
1-34.07%
2-32.59%
0-41.12%
1-41.43%
2-40.91%
3-40.39%
0-50.32%
1-50.40%
2-50.26%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Almere City
Score01234
0
28.84%
18.83%
6.15%
1.34%
0.22%
1
17.03%
11.12%
3.63%
0.79%
0.13%
2
5.03%
3.28%
1.07%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.99%
0.65%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
NAC Breda
1-017.03%
2-05.03%
2-13.28%
3-00.99%
3-10.65%
3-20.21%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-028.84%
1-111.12%
2-21.07%
Almere City
0-118.83%
0-26.15%
1-23.63%
0-31.34%
1-30.79%
2-30.23%
0-40.22%
1-40.13%