Almere City at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

Almere City

2.5%6.5%90.9%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.55Projected Goals 3.62
0Final Score 5

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

Almere City
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
W 2-0 at Willem II
T 1-1 vs NAC Breda
L 0-1 at Twente
L 1-0 vs Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 3-1 at Groningen
L 2-0 vs Ajax
W 3-0 at RKC Waalwijk
W 1-2 vs Heerenveen
L 2-3 at Go Ahead Eagles

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+1800+1828+1800+1700+1735+1700+1828+1800.0
PSV Eindhoven-850-851-950-900-975-900-851-578.6
Draw+775+972+850+900+915+900+972+955.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City-----+1800.0
PSV Eindhoven------578.6
Draw-----+955.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Almere City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 10.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +1892 to +1828
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -833 to -900

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-102o4-108o4-110o4-120o4-109o4-120o4-108o4-109
Underu3¾-118u4-109u4-110u4+100u4-111u4+100u4+100u4+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4-109
Under-----u4+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-133 to o4-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.1%
 
No58.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.54%
Exactly 213.43%
Exactly 419.47%
Exactly 611.29%
Exactly 83.51%
Exactly 100.68%
 
Exactly 16.44%
Exactly 318.67%
Exactly 516.24%
Exactly 76.73%
Exactly 91.63%
Exactly 110.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 057.72%
Exactly 131.72%
Exactly 28.71%
Exactly 31.60%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 02.67%
Exactly 19.68%
Exactly 217.53%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 419.17%
Exactly 513.88%
Exactly 68.38%
Exactly 74.34%
Exactly 81.96%
Exactly 90.79%
Exactly 100.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 014.50%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 48.40%
Exactly 61.04%
 
Exactly 128.00%
Exactly 317.40%
Exactly 53.25%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 077.54%
Exactly 119.73%
Exactly 22.51%
Exactly 30.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 018.69%
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 226.29%
Exactly 314.69%
Exactly 46.16%
Exactly 52.07%
Exactly 60.58%
Exactly 70.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals0.50%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals77.47%
Wins by 3+ goals58.73%
Wins by 4+ goals39.07%
Wins by 5+ goals22.80%
Wins by 6+ goals11.72%
Wins by 7+ goals5.32%
Wins by 8+ goals2.12%
Wins by 9+ goals0.71%
Wins by 10+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Almere City
PSV Eindhoven
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal2.02%
Wins by 2 goals0.43%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal13.33%
Wins by 2 goals18.75%
Wins by 3 goals19.65%
Wins by 4 goals16.27%
Wins by 5 goals11.08%
Wins by 6 goals6.40%
Wins by 7 goals3.20%
Wins by 8 goals1.41%
Wins by 9 goals0.55%
Wins by 10 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.46%1.54%
1.592.02%7.98%
2.578.59%21.41%
3.559.93%40.07%
4.540.46%59.54%
5.524.22%75.78%
6.512.93%87.07%
7.56.20%93.80%
8.52.69%97.31%
9.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.28%57.72%
1.510.56%89.44%
2.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.33%2.67%
1.587.64%12.36%
2.570.11%29.89%
3.548.94%51.06%
4.529.78%70.22%
5.515.89%84.11%
6.57.51%92.49%
7.53.17%96.83%
8.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.50%14.50%
1.557.51%42.49%
2.530.48%69.52%
3.513.07%86.93%
4.54.67%95.33%
5.51.42%98.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almere City
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
1.54%
5.59%
10.12%
12.22%
11.06%
8.01%
1
0.85%
3.07%
5.56%
6.71%
6.08%
4.40%
2
0.23%
0.84%
1.53%
1.84%
1.67%
1.21%
Almere City
1-00.85%
2-00.23%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-01.54%
1-13.07%
2-21.53%
3-30.34%
PSV Eindhoven
0-15.59%
0-210.12%
1-25.56%
0-312.22%
1-36.71%
2-31.84%
0-411.06%
1-46.08%
2-41.67%
3-40.31%
0-58.01%
1-54.40%
2-51.21%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Almere City
PSV Eindhoven
Score01234567
0
14.50%
24.31%
20.38%
11.39%
4.78%
1.60%
0.45%
0.11%
1
3.69%
6.18%
5.19%
2.90%
1.22%
0.41%
0.11%
0.03%
2
0.47%
0.79%
0.66%
0.37%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Almere City
1-03.69%
2-00.47%
2-10.79%
Draw
0-014.50%
1-16.18%
2-20.66%
PSV Eindhoven
0-124.31%
0-220.38%
1-25.19%
0-311.39%
1-32.90%
2-30.37%
0-44.78%
1-41.22%
2-40.15%
0-51.60%
1-50.41%
0-60.45%
1-60.11%
0-70.11%
Heerenveen at Sparta R'dam
Go Ahead Eag at NAC Breda