Excelsior at Go Ahead Eag

Updated

Excelsior

10.2%16.9%72.8%
WinDrawGo Ahead Eag Win
0.74Projected Goals 2.32
0Final Score 2

Go Ahead Eagles

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Fortuna Sittard
L 1-2 at Heerenveen
L 2-1 vs PSV Eindhoven
W 2-1 at Volendam
L 1-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam
Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
L 1-2 at PSV Eindhoven
T 1-1 vs NEC Nijmegen
L 2-4 at Telstar
W 2-0 at Zwolle
W 0-3 vs Volendam

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+326+231+210+210+210+210+231+226.4
Go Ahead Eag-134+109+113+114+114+114+114+125.3
Draw+329+285+265+280+290+280+290+300.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior-----+226.4
Go Ahead Eag-----+125.3
Draw-----+300.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 10.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +220 to +212
Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +100 to -102

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-103o3-108o3-109o3-109o3-109o3-103o3+101
Underu3+102u3-114u3-112u3-111u3-111u3-111u3-111u3-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+101
Under-----u3-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.67%
Exactly 221.93%
Exactly 417.14%
Exactly 65.36%
Exactly 80.90%
 
Exactly 114.32%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.50%
Exactly 72.35%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 047.62%
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 213.10%
Exactly 33.24%
Exactly 40.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 09.82%
Exactly 122.78%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 320.46%
Exactly 411.87%
Exactly 55.51%
Exactly 62.13%
Exactly 70.71%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.22%
Exactly 224.35%
Exactly 44.08%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.34%
Exactly 311.51%
Exactly 51.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 070.93%
Exactly 124.36%
Exactly 24.18%
Exactly 30.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 034.14%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.72%
Exactly 37.06%
Exactly 41.90%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals2.70%
Wins by 3+ goals0.51%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals49.48%
Wins by 3+ goals27.92%
Wins by 4+ goals13.18%
Wins by 5+ goals5.28%
Wins by 6+ goals1.80%
Wins by 7+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal7.43%
Wins by 2 goals2.18%
Wins by 3 goals0.46%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal23.29%
Wins by 2 goals21.57%
Wins by 3 goals14.73%
Wins by 4 goals7.90%
Wins by 5 goals3.48%
Wins by 6 goals1.29%
Wins by 7 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.33%4.67%
1.581.01%18.99%
2.559.08%40.92%
3.536.69%63.31%
4.519.54%80.46%
5.59.04%90.96%
6.53.68%96.32%
7.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.38%47.62%
1.517.05%82.95%
2.53.94%96.06%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.18%9.82%
1.567.40%32.60%
2.540.96%59.04%
3.520.50%79.50%
4.58.62%91.38%
5.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.78%24.22%
1.541.44%58.56%
2.517.09%82.91%
3.55.58%94.42%
4.51.50%98.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
Score012345
0
4.67%
10.85%
12.59%
9.74%
5.65%
2.62%
1
3.47%
8.05%
9.34%
7.23%
4.19%
1.95%
2
1.29%
2.99%
3.47%
2.68%
1.56%
0.72%
3
0.32%
0.74%
0.86%
0.66%
0.38%
0.18%
Excelsior
1-03.47%
2-01.29%
2-12.99%
3-00.32%
3-10.74%
3-20.86%
Draw
0-04.67%
1-18.05%
2-23.47%
3-30.66%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-110.85%
0-212.59%
1-29.34%
0-39.74%
1-37.23%
2-32.68%
0-45.65%
1-44.19%
2-41.56%
3-40.38%
0-52.62%
1-51.95%
2-50.72%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
Score012345
0
24.22%
26.02%
13.98%
5.01%
1.35%
0.29%
1
8.32%
8.94%
4.80%
1.72%
0.46%
0.10%
2
1.43%
1.54%
0.82%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.16%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-08.32%
2-01.43%
2-11.54%
3-00.16%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-024.22%
1-18.94%
2-20.82%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-126.02%
0-213.98%
1-24.80%
0-35.01%
1-31.72%
2-30.30%
0-41.35%
1-40.46%
0-50.29%