Excelsior at Volendam

Updated

Excelsior

45.5%27.6%26.9%
Excelsior WinDrawVolendam Win
1.34Projected Goals 0.97
2Final Score 1

Volendam

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam
W 0-1 vs Twente
L 1-4 at Utrecht
L 2-1 vs Feyenoord
L 0-5 at NEC Nijmegen
Volendam
Money Line
L 0-3 at Go Ahead Eagles
T 1-1 vs Ajax
T 2-2 at Telstar
T 2-2 vs AZ Alkmaar
T 1-1 at Heerenveen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+185+199+200+195+201+190+201+212.2
Volendam+138+125+118+117+119+115+125+131.5
Draw+273+282+260+300+269+275+282+303.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior-----+212.2
Volendam-----+131.5
Draw-----+303.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Volendam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 50.0%
Volendam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Volendam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +196 to +190
Volendam ML moved from +124 to +117

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3-132o3-112o3-107o3-112o3-107o3-107o3+103
Underu3-108u3+112u3-108u3-113u3-108u3-113u3+112u3-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+103
Under-----u3-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-112 to o3¼-104
The Under moved from u3½-124 to u3¼-113

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.90%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 411.80%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.90%
Exactly 320.41%
Exactly 55.46%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 026.04%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 223.57%
Exactly 310.57%
Exactly 43.56%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Volendam
Exactly 038.03%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.77%
Exactly 35.73%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.28%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 053.63%
Exactly 133.41%
Exactly 210.41%
Exactly 32.16%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Volendam
Exactly 063.91%
Exactly 128.61%
Exactly 26.40%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals21.32%
Wins by 3+ goals7.78%
Wins by 4+ goals2.27%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%
Volendam
Wins by 2+ goals9.55%
Wins by 3+ goals2.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Volendam
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal24.09%
Wins by 2 goals13.54%
Wins by 3 goals5.51%
Wins by 4 goals1.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%
Volendam
Wins by 1 goal17.31%
Wins by 2 goals6.99%
Wins by 3 goals2.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.10%9.90%
1.567.20%32.80%
2.540.73%59.27%
3.520.32%79.68%
4.58.52%91.48%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.96%26.04%
1.538.93%61.07%
2.515.35%84.65%
3.54.78%95.22%
4.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Volendam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.97%38.03%
1.525.20%74.80%
2.57.43%92.57%
3.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.72%34.28%
1.529.02%70.98%
2.59.38%90.62%
3.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Volendam
Score01234
0
9.90%
9.57%
4.63%
1.49%
0.36%
1
13.32%
12.88%
6.23%
2.01%
0.49%
2
8.96%
8.67%
4.19%
1.35%
0.33%
3
4.02%
3.89%
1.88%
0.61%
0.15%
4
1.35%
1.31%
0.63%
0.20%
0.05%
5
0.36%
0.35%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-013.32%
2-08.96%
2-18.67%
3-04.02%
3-13.89%
3-21.88%
4-01.35%
4-11.31%
4-20.63%
4-30.20%
5-00.36%
5-10.35%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-09.90%
1-112.88%
2-24.19%
3-30.61%
Volendam
0-19.57%
0-24.63%
1-26.23%
0-31.49%
1-32.01%
2-31.35%
0-40.36%
1-40.49%
2-40.33%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Volendam
Score0123
0
34.28%
15.34%
3.43%
0.51%
1
21.36%
9.56%
2.14%
0.32%
2
6.65%
2.98%
0.67%
0.10%
3
1.38%
0.62%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.22%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-021.36%
2-06.65%
2-12.98%
3-01.38%
3-10.62%
3-20.14%
4-00.22%
Draw
0-034.28%
1-19.56%
2-20.67%
Volendam
0-115.34%
0-23.43%
1-22.14%
0-30.51%
1-30.32%