NEC Nijmegen at Go Ahead Eag

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

23.7%24.8%51.4%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawGo Ahead Eag Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.62
1Final Score 1

Go Ahead Eagles

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 1-2 vs AZ Alkmaar
L 2-3 at Heerenveen
L 5-3 vs PSV Eindhoven
L 2-3 at Fortuna Sittard
W 0-3 vs NAC Breda
Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
L 2-4 at Telstar
W 2-0 at Zwolle
W 0-3 vs Volendam
T 2-2 at Heerenveen
L 3-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+174+153+140+143+149+143+153+162.7
Go Ahead Eag+129+157+150+144+150+144+157+163.8
Draw+280+292+290+285+288+285+292+316.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen-----+162.7
Go Ahead Eag-----+163.8
Draw-----+316.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +154 to +144
Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +157 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-115o3½-102o3½-110o3½-110o3½-108o3½-110o3½-102o3½+100
Underu3¼-105u3½-116u3½-110u3½-110u3½-112u3½-110u3½-110u3½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+100
Under-----u3½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-111 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.18%
Exactly 224.90%
Exactly 414.40%
Exactly 63.33%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.91%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 57.59%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 036.23%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.67%
Exactly 36.32%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 019.81%
Exactly 132.07%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 314.01%
Exactly 45.67%
Exactly 51.84%
Exactly 60.50%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.53%
Exactly 221.97%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 38.93%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 062.50%
Exactly 129.38%
Exactly 26.90%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 047.26%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 213.28%
Exactly 33.32%
Exactly 40.62%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals8.53%
Wins by 3+ goals2.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals27.24%
Wins by 3+ goals11.50%
Wins by 4+ goals3.96%
Wins by 5+ goals1.13%
Wins by 6+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eagles
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal15.16%
Wins by 2 goals6.19%
Wins by 3 goals1.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal24.18%
Wins by 2 goals15.74%
Wins by 3 goals7.54%
Wins by 4 goals2.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.87%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.82%7.18%
1.573.91%26.09%
2.549.01%50.99%
3.527.14%72.86%
4.512.74%87.26%
5.55.16%94.84%
6.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.77%36.23%
1.526.98%73.02%
2.58.31%91.69%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.19%19.81%
1.548.12%51.88%
2.522.15%77.85%
3.58.14%91.86%
4.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.47%29.53%
1.534.44%65.56%
2.512.48%87.52%
3.53.55%96.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eagles
Score012345
0
7.18%
11.62%
9.41%
5.08%
2.05%
0.67%
1
7.29%
11.80%
9.55%
5.15%
2.09%
0.68%
2
3.70%
5.99%
4.85%
2.62%
1.06%
0.34%
3
1.25%
2.03%
1.64%
0.89%
0.36%
0.12%
4
0.32%
0.51%
0.42%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
NEC Nijmegen
1-07.29%
2-03.70%
2-15.99%
3-01.25%
3-12.03%
3-21.64%
4-00.32%
4-10.51%
4-20.42%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-07.18%
1-111.80%
2-24.85%
3-30.89%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-111.62%
0-29.41%
1-29.55%
0-35.08%
1-35.15%
2-32.62%
0-42.05%
1-42.09%
2-41.06%
3-40.36%
0-50.67%
1-50.68%
2-50.34%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eagles
Score01234
0
29.53%
22.14%
8.30%
2.07%
0.39%
1
13.88%
10.41%
3.90%
0.97%
0.18%
2
3.26%
2.45%
0.92%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.51%
0.38%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-013.88%
2-03.26%
2-12.45%
3-00.51%
3-10.38%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-029.53%
1-110.41%
2-20.92%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-122.14%
0-28.30%
1-23.90%
0-32.07%
1-30.97%
2-30.23%
0-40.39%
1-40.18%
Telstar at AZ Alkmaar
Twente at NEC Nijmegen