NAC Breda at Twente

Updated

NAC Breda

4.2%8.4%87.4%
WinDrawTwente Win
0.73Projected Goals 3.51
2Final Score 2

Twente

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
L 1-0 vs AZ Alkmaar
L 0-3 at NEC Nijmegen
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard
L 0-2 at Feyenoord
T 1-1 vs Willem II
Twente
Money Line
L 0-1 at Excelsior
W 2-1 at Heerenveen
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven
L 0-1 at Zwolle
L 2-3 at AZ Alkmaar

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+568+509+475+470+508+470+509+501.3
Twente-212-187-204-200-208-200-187-171.7
Draw+373+346+350+370+353+370+370+395.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+501.3
Twente------171.7
Draw-----+395.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Twente: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 10.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +490 to +470
Twente ML moved from -185 to -204

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+111o3+113o3+102o3-105o3+103o3-105o3+113o3+104
Underu3-131u3-133u3-122u3-115u3-125u3-115u3-115u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+104
Under-----u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-122 to u2¾-112

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.44%
Exactly 212.93%
Exactly 419.40%
Exactly 611.64%
Exactly 83.74%
Exactly 100.75%
Exactly 120.10%
 
Exactly 16.10%
Exactly 318.29%
Exactly 516.46%
Exactly 77.05%
Exactly 91.76%
Exactly 110.29%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 047.90%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 212.98%
Exactly 33.18%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 03.00%
Exactly 110.52%
Exactly 218.45%
Exactly 321.56%
Exactly 418.90%
Exactly 513.25%
Exactly 67.75%
Exactly 73.88%
Exactly 81.70%
Exactly 90.66%
Exactly 100.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 014.03%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 48.70%
Exactly 61.12%
 
Exactly 127.55%
Exactly 317.72%
Exactly 53.42%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 071.12%
Exactly 124.24%
Exactly 24.13%
Exactly 30.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 019.72%
Exactly 132.02%
Exactly 225.99%
Exactly 314.06%
Exactly 45.71%
Exactly 51.85%
Exactly 60.50%
Exactly 70.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals1.01%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals72.30%
Wins by 3+ goals52.94%
Wins by 4+ goals33.96%
Wins by 5+ goals19.10%
Wins by 6+ goals9.46%
Wins by 7+ goals4.14%
Wins by 8+ goals1.59%
Wins by 9+ goals0.51%
Wins by 10+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Twente
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal3.14%
Wins by 2 goals0.83%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal15.02%
Wins by 2 goals19.36%
Wins by 3 goals18.98%
Wins by 4 goals14.86%
Wins by 5 goals9.64%
Wins by 6 goals5.32%
Wins by 7 goals2.55%
Wins by 8 goals1.08%
Wins by 9 goals0.40%
Wins by 10 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.56%1.44%
1.592.47%7.53%
2.579.53%20.47%
3.561.24%38.76%
4.541.84%58.16%
5.525.38%74.62%
6.513.74%86.26%
7.56.69%93.31%
8.52.95%97.05%
9.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.10%47.90%
1.516.85%83.15%
2.53.87%96.13%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.00%3.00%
1.586.48%13.52%
2.568.03%31.97%
3.546.47%53.53%
4.527.58%72.42%
5.514.32%85.68%
6.56.58%93.42%
7.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.97%14.03%
1.558.42%41.58%
2.531.37%68.63%
3.513.65%86.35%
4.54.95%95.05%
5.51.53%98.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Twente
Score012345
0
1.44%
5.04%
8.83%
10.33%
9.05%
6.35%
1
1.06%
3.71%
6.50%
7.60%
6.66%
4.67%
2
0.39%
1.37%
2.39%
2.80%
2.45%
1.72%
NAC Breda
1-01.06%
2-00.39%
2-11.37%
Draw
0-01.44%
1-13.71%
2-22.39%
3-30.69%
4-40.11%
Twente
0-15.04%
0-28.83%
1-26.50%
0-310.33%
1-37.60%
2-32.80%
0-49.05%
1-46.66%
2-42.45%
3-40.60%
0-56.35%
1-54.67%
2-51.72%
3-50.42%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Twente
Score0123456
0
14.03%
22.77%
18.48%
10.00%
4.06%
1.32%
0.36%
1
4.78%
7.76%
6.30%
3.41%
1.38%
0.45%
0.12%
2
0.81%
1.32%
1.07%
0.58%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
NAC Breda
1-04.78%
2-00.81%
2-11.32%
Draw
0-014.03%
1-17.76%
2-21.07%
Twente
0-122.77%
0-218.48%
1-26.30%
0-310.00%
1-33.41%
2-30.58%
0-44.06%
1-41.38%
2-40.24%
0-51.32%
1-50.45%
0-60.36%
1-60.12%
PSV Eindhoven at NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen at Feyenoord